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Posted

Top 25 games

------------------------

Washington at (1) Oregon (3:30 pm, ABC – Regional)

UT-Chattanooga at (2) Auburn (1 pm, ESPN3)

(3) TCU at (5) Utah (3:30 pm, CBS College)

Hawaii at (4) Boise State (3:30 pm, ESPNU)

(6) Alabama at (10) LSU (3:30 pm, CBS)

(7) Nebraska at Iowa State (3:30 pm, ABC – Regional)

(8) Oklahoma at Texas A&M (7 pm, FSN/CSN)

(9) Wisconsin at Purdue (12 pm, BTN – Regional)

(12) Missouri at Texas Tech (8 pm, ABC/ESPN)

(15) Arizona at (13) Stanford (8 pm, ABC/ESPN)

Minnesota at (14) Michigan State (12 pm, BTN – Regional)

(16) Iowa at Indiana (12 pm, BTN – Regional)

(21) Baylor at (17) Oklahoma State (12:30 pm, FSN/CSN)

(18) Arkansas at (19) South Carolina (7 pm, ESPN)

Georgia Tech at (22) Virginia Tech (7:30 pm Thursday, ESPN)

(23) Nevada at Idaho (5 pm, ESPN3)

North Carolina at (24) Florida State (3:30 pm, ABC – Regional)

(25) NC State at Clemson (12 pm, ESPN3)

 

Games of interest

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Western Michigan at Central Michigan (7 pm Friday, ESPNU)

 

Illinois at Michigan (12 pm, ESPN)

Louisville at Syracuse (12 pm, ESPN3)

Virginia at Duke (12 pm, ESPN3)

Charleston Southern at Kentucky (12:30 pm, ESPN3)

Akron at Ball State (1 pm)

Colorado at Kansas (2 pm)

Northwestern at Penn State (3:30 pm, ABC – Regional)

UL Lafayette at Ole Miss (7 pm, ESPNU)

Tennessee at Memphis (7 pm, CBS College)

Oregon State at UCLA (7 pm, Versus)

UL Monroe at Florida International (7:30 pm, ESPN3)

Texas at Kansas State (8 pm, ESPN2)

Arizona State at USC (10:30 pm, FSN/CSN)

 

Other nationally available games

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On TV

Middle Tennessee at Arkansas State (7 pm Tuesday, ESPN2)

 

Rutgers at South Florida (7 pm Wednesday, ESPN2)

 

Buffalo at Ohio (7:30 pm Thursday, ESPNU)

 

Central Florida at Houston (8 pm Friday, ESPN2)

 

Maryland at Miami (12 pm, ESPNU)

Air Force at Army (12 pm, CBS College)

Florida at Vanderbilt (12 pm, SEC Network)

 

ESPN3 games

Idaho State at Georgia (12:30 pm)

Boston College at Wake Forest (3:30 pm)

Fresno State at Louisiana Tech (4 pm)

 

I-AA games of interest

---------------------------------

Lehigh at Holy Cross (12:30 pm)

UC Davis at North Dakota (1 pm, FCS Atlantic)

Northern Iowa at Indiana State (3 pm)

Southern Illinois at North Dakota State (4 pm)

 

Nationally available games outside I-A

-------------------------------------------------

Lafayette at Colgate (1 pm, ESPN3)

Coastal Carolina at VMI (1:30 pm, ESPN3)

Bethune-Cookman at Hampton (2 pm, ESPN3)

Penn at Princeton (3 pm, Versus)

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Posted
It's a weird week in the Big Ten. While the top 3 active teams are playing the bottom 3 teams, it's a pivotal week for the teams in the middle. If Michigan loses to Illinois, they have to beat Purdue and one of Wisconsin and Ohio State to get to 7 wins. If Penn State loses, they have to win at Indiana and beat one of Ohio State and Michigan State to get to 7 wins. Northwestern has the hardest schedule the rest of the way with Iowa, Illinois, and at Wisconsin after this game and Illinois has the easiest, with Minnesota, at Northwestern, and at Fresno State.
Posted (edited)

Auburn will be able to rest starters this weekend as they play their homecoming game against UT-Chattanooga. That should help them prepare for a much improved Georgia team the following weekend. They then have a bye week before playing Alabama in Tuscaloosa.

 

Oregon gets my vote for the #1 team in the country right now....I'm excited to see how all of this unfolds.

Edited by fiver
Posted
Lots of potentially great top-25 games this week. Particularly looking forward to TCU-Utah. Love that TCU D

 

I'm trying to figure what result I should be wanting out of that game as a Boise St fan.

Posted
Lots of potentially great top-25 games this week. Particularly looking forward to TCU-Utah. Love that TCU D

 

I'm trying to figure what result I should be wanting out of that game as a Boise St fan.

 

Probably Utah based on the Computer Bowls. I don't think a win will jump themp over Boise. But a TCU win should jump TCU ahead of Boise in the human polls and they already have the lead in the Computer Polls.

 

TCU has given up 16 points the last 5 games though they haven't played a road game in a month.

Posted
Lots of potentially great top-25 games this week. Particularly looking forward to TCU-Utah. Love that TCU D

 

I'm trying to figure what result I should be wanting out of that game as a Boise St fan.

 

Probably Utah based on the Computer Bowls. I don't think a win will jump themp over Boise. But a TCU win should jump TCU ahead of Boise in the human polls and they already have the lead in the Computer Polls.

 

TCU has given up 16 points the last 5 games though they haven't played a road game in a month.

 

I'm not sure a TCU win will jump them over Boise in the polls. Boise's still closer to Auburn then they are to TCU in the polls. And the fact that Boise beat TCU last year (should be irrelevant but it isn't) and Boise is playing a pretty good team this week should keep them ahead unless TCU just obliterates Utah.

 

But I would still agree that a Utah win is preferable for Boise State fans even though it increases the risk of Alabama passing Boise State.

Posted

Most important thing for Boise is that Nevada keeps winning. Well, that and that they still have to win out themselves.

 

Auburn, Alabama and Oregon all losing wouldn't hurt, either.

 

Ah, they're screwed.

Posted
It'd be great if Michigan could somehow beat Illinois this weekend. Our fans are starting to sound like ND fans with all the bitching and whining.
Posted
Most important thing for Boise is that Nevada keeps winning. Well, that and that they still have to win out themselves.

 

Auburn, Alabama and Oregon all losing wouldn't hurt, either.

 

Ah, they're screwed.

 

Well at least Auburn and Alabama both can't win out.

 

I'm rooting for Oregon vs Boise St for the Championship Game.

Posted
Most important thing for Boise is that Nevada keeps winning. Well, that and that they still have to win out themselves.

 

Auburn, Alabama and Oregon all losing wouldn't hurt, either.

 

Ah, they're screwed.

 

Nevada winning is mostly irrelevant for Boise now. It makes very little impact in the computers. And the way the teams have shook out a win over a 9-1 Nevada team isn't really going to move them in the polls any differently than a 7-3 Nevada team. The team that would really help them to keep winning is Va Tech. If they win out and win the ACC Championship game that would definitely be a boost in the computers and a possible boost in the polls.

 

The game that would really, really help both Boise and TCU is Oregon and Oregon State. If Oregon State pulled off the upset, it would knock Oregon out of the picture and it would provide a decent boost in the computers to both TCU and Boise.

Posted
It'd be great if Michigan could somehow beat Illinois this weekend. Our fans are starting to sound like ND fans with all the bitching and whining.

If Illinois can pull it out this weekend, they have a realistic shot at 9-3 (6-2), finishing with Minnesota, Northwestern and Fresno State.

 

If there's one thing I can count on with a Zook team, though, is that just when things start looking good, they'll throw up an inexplicable L. So, I'm waiting for them to lose at home to Minnesota next week.

Posted (edited)
So if Bama wins 4 more games against ranked opponents (LSU, Mississippi State, Auburn, and whomever they would play in the SEC championship game), should they jump Boise State and play in the national championship? I'm hoping Auburn doesn't allow that to happen...but just want to see what the opinions are on this forum. Edited by fiver
Posted
Most important thing for Boise is that Nevada keeps winning. Well, that and that they still have to win out themselves.

 

Auburn, Alabama and Oregon all losing wouldn't hurt, either.

 

Ah, they're screwed.

 

Nevada winning is mostly irrelevant for Boise now. It makes very little impact in the computers. And the way the teams have shook out a win over a 9-1 Nevada team isn't really going to move them in the polls any differently than a 7-3 Nevada team. The team that would really help them to keep winning is Va Tech. If they win out and win the ACC Championship game that would definitely be a boost in the computers and a possible boost in the polls.

 

The game that would really, really help both Boise and TCU is Oregon and Oregon State. If Oregon State pulled off the upset, it would knock Oregon out of the picture and it would provide a decent boost in the computers to both TCU and Boise.

 

So a perfect storm for Boise St would be Utah beats TCU, Oregon State beats Oregon. Should set up Boise St and the winner of Auburn/Bama for the Championship?

Posted
So if Bama wins 4 more games against ranked opponents (LSU, Mississippi State, Auburn, and whomever they would play in the SEC championship game), should they jump Boise State and play in the national championship? I'm hoping Auburn doesn't allow that to happen...but just want to see what the opinions are on this forum.

 

I dunno if they should, but I think they will.

Posted
So if Bama wins 4 more games against ranked opponents (LSU, Mississippi State, Auburn, and whomever they would play in the SEC championship game), should they jump Boise State and play in the national championship against Oregon? I'm hoping Auburn doesn't allow that to happen...but just want to see what the opinions are on this forum.

 

Lots of one loss teams should jump Boise State. Bama is one of them, although I'm not sure if they'd the best one.

Posted
Most important thing for Boise is that Nevada keeps winning. Well, that and that they still have to win out themselves.

 

Auburn, Alabama and Oregon all losing wouldn't hurt, either.

 

Ah, they're screwed.

 

Nevada winning is mostly irrelevant for Boise now. It makes very little impact in the computers. And the way the teams have shook out a win over a 9-1 Nevada team isn't really going to move them in the polls any differently than a 7-3 Nevada team. The team that would really help them to keep winning is Va Tech. If they win out and win the ACC Championship game that would definitely be a boost in the computers and a possible boost in the polls.

 

The game that would really, really help both Boise and TCU is Oregon and Oregon State. If Oregon State pulled off the upset, it would knock Oregon out of the picture and it would provide a decent boost in the computers to both TCU and Boise.

 

If that happens one of TCU, Boise, or Utah would be in the title in game.

Posted
Most important thing for Boise is that Nevada keeps winning. Well, that and that they still have to win out themselves.

 

Auburn, Alabama and Oregon all losing wouldn't hurt, either.

 

Ah, they're screwed.

 

Nevada winning is mostly irrelevant for Boise now. It makes very little impact in the computers. And the way the teams have shook out a win over a 9-1 Nevada team isn't really going to move them in the polls any differently than a 7-3 Nevada team. The team that would really help them to keep winning is Va Tech. If they win out and win the ACC Championship game that would definitely be a boost in the computers and a possible boost in the polls.

 

The game that would really, really help both Boise and TCU is Oregon and Oregon State. If Oregon State pulled off the upset, it would knock Oregon out of the picture and it would provide a decent boost in the computers to both TCU and Boise.

 

So a perfect storm for Boise St would be Utah beats TCU, Oregon State beats Oregon. Should set up Boise St and the winner of Auburn/Bama for the Championship?

Unless the SEC East winner (Florida or South Carolina, most likely) wins the SEC championship. Then it may just set up Boise State-Utah.

Posted

Top 10 according to Sagarin's predictor, which takes margin of victory into account (and thus on average is a better predictor of future results):

1. Oregon

2. TCU

3. Alabama

4. Stanford

5. Boise State

6. Missouri

7. Ohio State

8. Oklahoma

9. Nebraska

10. Iowa

 

Before any Auburn fans chime in, they're 15th. Their schedule strength is improving, but they still have had the fortune of all their tough games at home, and haven't really looked impressive in a win aside from a 20 point win over Arkansas where they pulled away late.

 

Boise State is likely to keep sliding down this list as well as their schedule strength continues to take a dive. Aside from admitting Auburn is probably better than their predictor rating, this is a pretty accurate list in terms of my consideration, personally.

Posted
Top 10 according to Sagarin's predictor, which takes margin of victory into account (and thus on average is a better predictor of future results):

1. Oregon

2. TCU

3. Alabama

4. Stanford

5. Boise State

6. Missouri

7. Ohio State

8. Oklahoma

9. Nebraska

10. Iowa

 

Before any Auburn fans chime in, they're 15th. Their schedule strength is improving, but they still have had the fortune of all their tough games at home, and haven't really looked impressive in a win aside from a 20 point win over Arkansas where they pulled away late.

 

Boise State is likely to keep sliding down this list as well as their schedule strength continues to take a dive. Aside from admitting Auburn is probably better than their predictor rating, this is a pretty accurate list in terms of my consideration, personally.

 

Boise plays both Hawaii and Nevada yet. I'm not sure how their SOS continues to dive. Those aren't top 10 teams, but one is ranked the other is just barely outside the top 25.

Posted
Top 10 according to Sagarin's predictor, which takes margin of victory into account (and thus on average is a better predictor of future results):

1. Oregon

2. TCU

3. Alabama

4. Stanford

5. Boise State

6. Missouri

7. Ohio State

8. Oklahoma

9. Nebraska

10. Iowa

 

Before any Auburn fans chime in, they're 15th. Their schedule strength is improving, but they still have had the fortune of all their tough games at home, and haven't really looked impressive in a win aside from a 20 point win over Arkansas where they pulled away late.

 

Boise State is likely to keep sliding down this list as well as their schedule strength continues to take a dive. Aside from admitting Auburn is probably better than their predictor rating, this is a pretty accurate list in terms of my consideration, personally.

 

Boise plays both Hawaii and Nevada yet. I'm not sure how their SOS continues to dive. Those aren't top 10 teams, but one is ranked the other is just barely outside the top 25.

 

SOS is relative, and lots of other teams are going to play better schedules than Boise down the stretch to make up for having a weaker non-conference schedule than Boise.

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