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Posted
Teams that are now better than USC, either directly or by the transitive property of college football:

 

Oregon St.

Stanford (beat Oregon St.)

Penn St. (beat Oregon St.)

TCU (beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

Arizona St. (beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

Georgia (beat Arizona St., who beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

UNLV (beat Arizona St., who beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

Utah (beat UNLV, who beat Arizona St., who beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

 

 

unfortunately that's as far as the chain goes, at least right now.

So when Ohio State pounds Penn State in The Shoe, we will be added to that list?

 

i see that the usc asswhipping and repeated embarrassments at the hands of the sec haven't made ohio state fans any less arrogant.

 

That's not really arrogant. No more arrogant than pointing out OSU's losses to other teams, when Penn St. has gotten beat down 65-23 in the last 2 years against the same OSU teams you make fun of.

You want arrogant, I'll show you arrogant, even classless:

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inBEd-B7D9I

What a waste of perfectly good beer.

You got that right off my description for the video, didn't you? That is my video BTW. I didn't shoot it, I found it on YouTube and I ripped it off there before the people who originally made it took it down

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Posted

proud, are you?

 

what does the video prove, exactly? that were some drunk frat boys at penn state? we already knew that. those guys were kicked out of school and the fraternity was suspended after this incident.

 

but my guess is that you like to pretend that this is normal behavior for penn state fans. guess what? it's not.

Posted
Teams that are now better than USC, either directly or by the transitive property of college football:

 

Oregon St.

Stanford (beat Oregon St.)

Penn St. (beat Oregon St.)

TCU (beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

Arizona St. (beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

Georgia (beat Arizona St., who beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

UNLV (beat Arizona St., who beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

Utah (beat UNLV, who beat Arizona St., who beat Stanford, who beat Oregon St., who beat USC)

 

 

unfortunately that's as far as the chain goes, at least right now.

So when Ohio State pounds Penn State in The Shoe, we will be added to that list?

 

i see that the usc asswhipping and repeated embarrassments at the hands of the sec haven't made ohio state fans any less arrogant.

 

That's not really arrogant. No more arrogant than pointing out OSU's losses to other teams, when Penn St. has gotten beat down 65-23 in the last 2 years against the same OSU teams you make fun of.

You want arrogant, I'll show you arrogant, even classless:

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=inBEd-B7D9I

What a waste of perfectly good beer.

You got that right off my description for the video, didn't you? That is my video BTW. I didn't shoot it, I found it on YouTube and I ripped it off there before the people who originally made it took it down

Actually, I thought of that myself.

Posted
Courtesy of LA Times:

 

We doing this?

 

Nah, I just thought the pic I posted was really weird.

 

What's weird about an OSU player catching a touchdown pass while crapping out a USC player?

Posted

Take them for what they're worth:

 

83.1% #14 Ohio State over Minnesota

67.9% Miami-Florida over North Carolina

74.8% #20 Clemson over Maryland

97.2% #4 Florida over Ole Miss

66.3% #9 Wisconsin over Michigan

95.5% #7 Texas over Arkansas

84.7% West Virginia over Marshall

68.7% #25 Fresno State over UCLA

73.4% #23 East Carolina over Houston

77.3% #15 Auburn over Tennessee

93.3% #16 Wake Forest over Navy

75.2% #2 Oklahoma over #24 TCU

70.6% #13 South Florida over NC State

97.3% #5 LSU over Mississippi State

57.4% #3 Georgia over #7 Alabama

95.4% #12 Penn State over #22 Illinois

98.5% #17 Utah over Weber State

 

Upset Alert

Game of the Week

 

And probability of ending regular season undefeated (not including conference championship games)

 

 

35.81% Florida Gators

20.56% Penn State Nittany Lions

12.87% Oklahoma Sooners

7.12% Texas Longhorns

6.63% Alabama Crimson Tide

5.32% LSU Tigers

1.71% South Florida Bulls

1.55% Wisconsin Badgers

1.31% Georgia Bulldogs

0.71% Missouri Tigers

0.54% Texas Tech Red Raiders

Posted
And probability of ending regular season undefeated (not including conference championship games)

 

35.81% Florida Gators

20.56% Penn State Nittany Lions

12.87% Oklahoma Sooners

7.12% Texas Longhorns

6.63% Alabama Crimson Tide

5.32% LSU Tigers

1.71% South Florida Bulls

1.55% Wisconsin Badgers

1.31% Georgia Bulldogs

0.71% Missouri Tigers

0.54% Texas Tech Red Raiders

 

There's a shocker.

Posted
florida has a 36% chance at going undefeated despite playing georgia on a neutral field and lsu at home, yet mizzou has less than a 1% chance at going undefeated when they have a game at texas and then a bunch of big xii dregs.
Posted
Take them for what they're worth:

 

83.1% #14 Ohio State over Minnesota

67.9% Miami-Florida over North Carolina

74.8% #20 Clemson over Maryland

97.2% #4 Florida over Ole Miss

66.3% #9 Wisconsin over Michigan

95.5% #7 Texas over Arkansas

84.7% West Virginia over Marshall

68.7% #25 Fresno State over UCLA

73.4% #23 East Carolina over Houston

77.3% #15 Auburn over Tennessee

93.3% #16 Wake Forest over Navy

75.2% #2 Oklahoma over #24 TCU

70.6% #13 South Florida over NC State

97.3% #5 LSU over Mississippi State

57.4% #3 Georgia over #7 Alabama

95.4% #12 Penn State over #22 Illinois

98.5% #17 Utah over Weber State

 

Upset Alert

Game of the Week

 

And probability of ending regular season undefeated (not including conference championship games)

 

 

35.81% Florida Gators

20.56% Penn State Nittany Lions

12.87% Oklahoma Sooners

7.12% Texas Longhorns

6.63% Alabama Crimson Tide

5.32% LSU Tigers

1.71% South Florida Bulls

1.55% Wisconsin Badgers

1.31% Georgia Bulldogs

0.71% Missouri Tigers

0.54% Texas Tech Red Raiders

 

I'd gladly take 1 to 5 on PSU finishing undefeated. I'd love to parlay it with OSU 2 to 19 over Minnesota and ECU 1 to 4 over Houston.

 

While I'm at it, separately, Georgia should beat the crap out of Bama.

Posted

I'd gladly take 1 to 5 on PSU finishing undefeated. I'd love to parlay it with OSU 2 to 19 over Minnesota and ECU 1 to 4 over Houston.

 

While I'm at it, separately, Georgia should beat the crap out of Bama.

 

hell i would take all of those too. i don't even think psu is 1 to 5 to win at osu, let alone win every other game on the big ten slate.

Posted
the data used to derive the numbers. it's not like i said, hmm florida 35 percent because i want to

 

right, I'm asking what data you used to derive the %'s

Posted
I think its too early to use the data to project probability of finishing undefeated. The SOS of these teams is yet to be challenged. Florida at 35% seems absurdly high. PSU has played cubcakes, yes they have been crushing their opponents but lets see them face a challenge first before we assign 20%. Missouri at less than 1% and Alabama at 6% doesnt pass the judgement test. I think in 2 or 3 weeks when these teams face some real challenges is when this data starts to become useful.

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