5/9 Other Games

[UMFan83]

Dammit. Oh well I'm not that upset. Plus its May

[emoore]

Izzy blows another one, Cubs to within a game of the Cardinals, Brewers still below .500.

 

I'm happy.

 

Wow. If it wasn't for Izzy the Cards would be undefeated.

[17 Seconds]

Would have rather had the Cards win.

[TruffleShuffle]

this is reason to root for the cardinals:

 

Six of eight (Brewers) offensive starters are performing below their 40th percentile PECOTA projection, with three--Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, and Bill Hall--all below their 10th percentile.

[UK1679666180]

Longoria walkoff shot.

 

The Rays are such an awesome story this season. You just can't suck forever. And it's a victory for defensive improvements as a way to turn around a team

 

And they're only going to get better. Not only in the next few years, but also this year. Garza and Kazmir have contributed absolutely nothing so far and they're still, what, 3 games over .500 now? I live near Tampa and there's a lot of good feelings going on right now, for the first time EVER.

 

Wait till Price, Davis, McGee, Davis, Hellickson, and the #1 overall pick make their way up. Give Jackson and Sonnanstine credit at the back of the rotation while Kaz and Garza were hurt as well as Hammel. Minus yesterday, that bullpen has been outstanding as well. It'll be interesting to see how they handle the trade deadline as they do have holes and plenty of valued pieces down on the farm.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

this is reason to root for the cardinals:

 

Six of eight (Brewers) offensive starters are performing below their 40th percentile PECOTA projection, with three--Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, and Bill Hall--all below their 10th percentile.

 

And even if the team as a whole plays to their PECOTA projection for the rest of the season, that gets them to 87 wins.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

this is reason to root for the cardinals:

 

Six of eight (Brewers) offensive starters are performing below their 40th percentile PECOTA projection, with three--Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, and Bill Hall--all below their 10th percentile.

 

And even if the team as a whole plays to their PECOTA projection for the rest of the season, that gets them to 87 wins.

 

And with Gallardo, which PECOTA assumed they'd have for 175 innings IIRC, that's probably closer to 85.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

this is reason to root for the cardinals:

 

Six of eight (Brewers) offensive starters are performing below their 40th percentile PECOTA projection, with three--Prince Fielder, Ryan Braun, and Bill Hall--all below their 10th percentile.

 

Their rotation is Sheets and pray for rain. The next lowest ERA on that staff is Suppan at 5.22, and none of them save Suppan are that high from a bad start they're working out of, a la Lilly.

[Sosa21MVP]

I had to post this, the Reds/Mets game was PPD. But this was the Reds schedule line up.

 

Cincinnati

 

J. Hairston Jr. 2b

R. Freel rf

C. Patterson cf

J. Votto 1b

E. Encarnacion

A. Dunn lf

J. Keppinger ss

P. Bako c

M. Belisle p

 

Corey Patterson batting 3rd. :stickman:

[Ender]

I'd want the Brewers to lose if I were a Cubs fan and this snippet from BPro is why

 

More generally, the Cardinals thus far have played just nine games against teams at or better than .500, and 28 against teams with losing records. (The division-rival Brewers, in contrast, have played 26 games against teams at or above the .500 mark and only nine against teams below the .500 mark.)

 

The Brewers are a better team than the Cardinals even without Gallardo and they are more likely to make a run at things though the Gallardo injury makes it harder. Also of note no team in baseball has played more road games than the Brewers and they historically are a very bad road team.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I'd want the Brewers to lose if I were a Cubs fan and this snippet from BPro is why

 

More generally, the Cardinals thus far have played just nine games against teams at or better than .500, and 28 against teams with losing records. (The division-rival Brewers, in contrast, have played 26 games against teams at or above the .500 mark and only nine against teams below the .500 mark.)

 

The Brewers are a better team than the Cardinals even without Gallardo and they are more likely to make a run at things though the Gallardo injury makes it harder. Also of note no team in baseball has played more road games than the Brewers and they historically are a very bad road team.

 

To be fair, I'm not thoroughly worried about either. If the Cubs don't win this division by 5+ games, it's their own darn fault.

 

PECOTA projected the Cardinals to be 13 games worse than the Brewers this season.

 

-4 games for the lead the Cardinals already have

-3 wins for the portion of the season that is already over

-2 wins for the loss of Gallardo

 

Add some wins for the scheduling differences, and yeah, I guess you are right, it would be better to knock the Brewers back. It's hard for me to fear a team with a losing Pythagorean record since the beginning of last season (98-99).

[Ender]

I thought the Cubs and Brewers were a coin toss going into the year. Whichever risky players turned out the best would decide it (Fukudome, Soto, Pie, Wood, Gagne, Parra etc). The Gallardo and Capuano injuries probably cost the Brewers 3-4 games in my prediction and the Cubs risky guys have been better than the Brewers so far. If the Cubs don't take 1st this year it will be a wasted opportunity because they should win it.