Fukudome projection (PECOTA)

[JGalt73]

From BP's PECOTA projection:

 

.289/.401/.504

.303 EQA

in 465 PA - 15HR, 29.2 VORP, 4.4 WARP

 

Also,

PECOTA very much likes Geovany Soto and Felix Pie, by the way, and is reasonably warm on Ronny Cedeno. If the Cubs let these kids play — perhaps integrating Ryan Theriot and Matt Murton in platoons of various kinds — this could quite easily be the best lineup in the National League.

[CuseCubFan69]

I think that (OBP) will be wrong because imo the pitchers will challenge him this year and not nibble as much. My bet is 280/355. Once he learns the pitchers I think it'll go up unless they find a hole.

[Clem Fandango]

I guess I could live with that. Sorta. Kinda. A lot.

[GoCubsGo1679625768]

That is a bit generous, IMO

[rocket]

i'll cream my pants if he puts up a .900+ ops

[swordsman]

i'll cream my pants if he puts up a .900+ ops

 

mmmmmmmmmm...Creamed Gaberdeen!....yum!

[Soul]

Yeah if he puts up a .900+ OPS Cub fans are going to start showing up draped in Japanese flags.

[CuseCubFan69]

Yeah if he puts up a .900+ OPS Cub fans are going to start showing up draped in Japanese flags.

 

 

And for Rocket, nothing else.

[Outshined_One]

Holy crap, I'd love to see those numbers.

[Exile on Waveland]

That would be amazing. I think he'll be good and I'm quite ecstatic about the signing, but think those numbers are a wee bit on the optimistic side.

[Coach C]

Wow, that's a bit generous. I would have said around .270 with a .360 to 370 OBP.

[snoodmonger]

I might cream Rocket's pants, too.

[Cubbies622]

I don't know if its just me, but Fukudome reminds me a lot of Bobby Abreu. Just in the type of player and what skills he brings to the team.

[apete6]

I don't know if its just me, but Fukudome reminds me a lot of Bobby Abreu. Just in the type of player and what skills he brings to the team.

 

Good call, Keith Law also mentioned Abreu as a comparable offensive player in his insider comments. I like it!

[Ender]

Shandler projects him at a .796 OPS in a neutral setting so the opinions vary quite a bit. I think Shandler is probably a bit low but BP is way too high, Hideki Matsui's rookie year was a .798 OPS and I think he was a better player than Fuku offensively. Maybe Fuku adapts faster but even then I don't see those BP stats.

 

Edit : typo~

Edited December 13, 2007 by Ender

[rocket]

Shandler projects him at a .796 OPS in a neutral setting so the opinions vary quite a bit. I think Shandler is probably a bit low but BP is way too high, Hideki Matsui's rookie year was a .798 OBP and I think he was a better player than Fuku offensively. Maybe Fuku adapts faster but even then I don't see those BP stats.

 

if fukudome puts up a .798 obp i will literally for reals cream my pants

[treebird]

Shandler projects him at a .796 OPS in a neutral setting so the opinions vary quite a bit. I think Shandler is probably a bit low but BP is way too high, Hideki Matsui's rookie year was a .798 OBP and I think he was a better player than Fuku offensively. Maybe Fuku adapts faster but even then I don't see those BP stats.

 

if fukudome puts up a .798 obp i will literally for reals cream my pants

 

if he posts a 798 obp it's going to be because he started the season 13-15 or something (whatever the smallest number of PAs you can have to get a 798 obp) before being attacked by killer bees

[TruffleShuffle]

he says pecota likes soto and pie, but where are the new pecota numbers? the player cards list the '07 pecota projections.

[Derwood]

as long as he's Philly-pre-HR-Derby Abreu and not Yankee-post-trade-deadline Abreu

[Guest]

as long as he's Philly-pre-HR-Derby Abreu and not Yankee-post-trade-deadline Abreu

 

2006 pre-trade: .277/.427/.434/.861

2006 post-trade: .330/.419/.507/.926

2007: .283/.369/.445/.814

 

I'd be happy with even the 2007 line. Obviously I'd like it to be better but any OPS of .800+ I'd be satisfied with.

[imb]

Shandler projects him at a .796 OPS in a neutral setting so the opinions vary quite a bit. I think Shandler is probably a bit low but BP is way too high, Hideki Matsui's rookie year was a .798 OBP and I think he was a better player than Fuku offensively. Maybe Fuku adapts faster but even then I don't see those BP stats.

 

if fukudome puts up a .798 obp i will literally for reals cream my pants

 

if he posts a 798 obp it's going to be because he started the season 13-15 or something (whatever the smallest number of PAs you can have to get a 798 obp) before being attacked by killer bees

 

http://rapidcityjournal.com/blogs/sports/wp-content/uploads/2007/04/01.jpg

 

http://www.astroasylum.com/files/images/bagwell%20night%202.jpg

 

uhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh

 

http://www.visitingdc.com/images/bill-clinton-picture.jpg

(i forgot the other one)

[imb]

oh yeah

 

http://www.astrosdaily.com/files/gallery/Bell_Derek_02.jpg

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

oh yeah

 

http://www.astrosdaily.com/files/gallery/Bell_Derek_02.jpg

 

Operation Shut-Down

[GoCubsGo1679625768]

What kind of bee gives milk :?:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

a boobee!

[snoodmonger]

oh yeah

 

http://www.astrosdaily.com/files/gallery/Bell_Derek_02.jpg

 

Operation Shut-Down

 

one of my favorite baseball quotes ever.