Cubs Playoff Odds at 66%

[SouthSideRyan]

At this point I think the Brewers have 0% chance, the Cubs about 15% and the Cardinals are going to win the division with what has to be one of the worst starting rotations in baseball.

 

You've always been more rational than this. The Cards are the worst team of the 3 and you know it.

[Roast]

I think you are silly if you think the Cardinals have more of a shot in this division than the Cubs, who are still, LEADING THE DIVISION! At no point during 2004 did the Cubs even contend for crap.

 

What the heck? Did you miss everything but the last few days of 2004?

 

Uh, yeah, we lead for quite a while on 04...

[Rob]

What were the odds to win the NLCS after game 4 in 2003?

 

Probability does not account for bad luck and moronic managers/players.

 

To a degree, it does.

[BigSlick]

I think you are silly if you think the Cardinals have more of a shot in this division than the Cubs, who are still, LEADING THE DIVISION! At no point during 2004 did the Cubs even contend for crap.

 

They were 1 game up on the Wild Card at this point in 2004.

 

I was implying the lead in the division. We were completely dependent on winning the Wild Card.

[hawkeyecub]

I think you are silly if you think the Cardinals have more of a shot in this division than the Cubs, who are still, LEADING THE DIVISION! At no point during 2004 did the Cubs even contend for crap.

 

They were 1 game up on the Wild Card at this point in 2004.

 

I was implying the lead in the division. We were completely dependent on winning the Wild Card.

 

What's the difference? This year we're completely dependent on the division and have basically no chance of winning the wild card.

In both years we were competing with roughly the same number of teams for 1 spot.