Next 20 games in a row

[Soul]

i think 12-8 is realistic. anything more is gravy

 

Any prolonged stretch of .600 baseball would be more than acceptable. 12-8 would leave them at 63-54, or a .538 W%, good for a pace of 87 wins. That would also leave them with 45 more games to reach the 90 win plateau, which would mean going 27-18 the rest of the way, also a .600 W%.

 

considering the "easy" games in this stretch are on the road and the "hard" games are at home, I stand by 12-8. Not knowing the pitching matchups makes it hard to guess though

 

This weekend proved pitching matchups mean nothing. Cubs beat Brandon Webb with Jason Marquis, then lost vs. Owings and Petit when their SP gave up a combined 2 ERs in 12 innings.

 

I wouldn't go that far.

 

If Kip Wells and the Cardinals go out and beat Zambrano and the Cubs tomorrow...

 

I think it's definitely fair to say pitching matchups are often given too much attention as a predictor of the outcome. But saying they mean nothing at all is akin to saying pitching itself means nothing.

[Fred Hornkohl]

FWIW, here's my projected pitching matchups for the next 20 games......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
98  Tue 07/24  @ St. Louis     N    -    Zambrano        Wells         
99  Wed 07/25  @ St. Louis     N    -    Lilly           Wainright     
100  Thu 07/26  @ St. Louis     N    -    Marquis         Looper        
101  Fri 07/27  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Hill            Arroyo        
102  Sat 07/28  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Marshall        Harang        
103  Sun 07/29  @ Cincinnati         -    Zambrano        Belisle       
104  Mon 07/30    Philadelphia  N    -    Lilly           Hamels        
105  Tue 07/31    Philadelphia  N    -    Marquis         Eaton         
106  Wed 08/01    Philadelphia  N    -    Hill            Moyer         
107  Thu 08/02    Philadelphia       -    Marshall        Durbin        
108  Fri 08/03    New York           -    Zambrano        Maine         
109  Sat 08/04    New York           -    Lilly           Glavine       
110  Sun 08/05    New York      N    -    Marquis         Perez         
111  Mon 08/06  @ Houston       N    -    Hill            Rodriguez     
112  Tue 08/07  @ Houston       N    -    Marshall        Williams      
113  Wed 08/08  @ Houston       N    -    Zambrano        Sampson       
114  Thu 08/09  @ Colorado      N    -    Lilly           Jimenez       
115  Fri 08/10  @ Colorado      N    -    Marquis         Cook          
116  Sat 08/11  @ Colorado      N    -    Hill            Lopez         
117  Sun 08/12  @ Colorado           -    Marshall        Fogg          

[Prior4CyYoung]

FWIW, here's my projected pitching matchups for the next 20 games......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
98  Tue 07/24  @ St. Louis     N    -    Zambrano        Wells       W    
99  Wed 07/25  @ St. Louis     N    -    Lilly           Wainright       W
100  Thu 07/26  @ St. Louis     N    -    Marquis         Looper        L
101  Fri 07/27  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Hill            Arroyo            W
102  Sat 07/28  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Marshall        Harang       W  
103  Sun 07/29  @ Cincinnati         -    Zambrano        Belisle     W  
104  Mon 07/30    Philadelphia  N    -    Lilly           Hamels          L
105  Tue 07/31    Philadelphia  N    -    Marquis         Eaton          L
106  Wed 08/01    Philadelphia  N    -    Hill            Moyer            W
107  Thu 08/02    Philadelphia       -    Marshall        Durbin          W
108  Fri 08/03    New York           -    Zambrano        Maine          W
109  Sat 08/04    New York           -    Lilly           Glavine             W
110  Sun 08/05    New York      N    -    Marquis         Perez          L
111  Mon 08/06  @ Houston       N    -    Hill            Rodriguez       W
112  Tue 08/07  @ Houston       N    -    Marshall        Williams       W
113  Wed 08/08  @ Houston       N    -    Zambrano        Sampson  W      
114  Thu 08/09  @ Colorado      N    -    Lilly           Jimenez           L
115  Fri 08/10  @ Colorado      N    -    Marquis         Cook             L
116  Sat 08/11  @ Colorado      N    -    Hill            Lopez              W
117  Sun 08/12  @ Colorado           -    Marshall        Fogg            W

 

Using those pitching lines I made my predications. I think the cubs will go 14-6 after that stretch be in first place by at least 2 games.

[Prior4CyYoung]

hmm all those L and W were lined up when I sent it and now there all over the place o well whatever.

[Ding Dong Johnson]

either 19-1 or 5-15

[Fred Hornkohl]

Those 5 left handers in 8 games right in the middle are what worries me the most.

[Fred Hornkohl]

FWIW, here's my projected pitching matchups for the next 20 games......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
98  Tue 07/24  @ St. Louis     N    -    Zambrano        Wells       W    
99  Wed 07/25  @ St. Louis     N    -    Lilly           Wainright       W
100  Thu 07/26  @ St. Louis     N    -    Marquis         Looper        L
101  Fri 07/27  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Hill            Arroyo            W
102  Sat 07/28  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Marshall        Harang       W  
103  Sun 07/29  @ Cincinnati         -    Zambrano        Belisle     W  
104  Mon 07/30    Philadelphia  N    -    Lilly           Hamels          L
105  Tue 07/31    Philadelphia  N    -    Marquis         Eaton          L
106  Wed 08/01    Philadelphia  N    -    Hill            Moyer            W
107  Thu 08/02    Philadelphia       -    Marshall        Durbin          W
108  Fri 08/03    New York           -    Zambrano        Maine          W
109  Sat 08/04    New York           -    Lilly           Glavine             W
110  Sun 08/05    New York      N    -    Marquis         Perez          L
111  Mon 08/06  @ Houston       N    -    Hill            Rodriguez       W
112  Tue 08/07  @ Houston       N    -    Marshall        Williams       W
113  Wed 08/08  @ Houston       N    -    Zambrano        Sampson  W      
114  Thu 08/09  @ Colorado      N    -    Lilly           Jimenez           L
115  Fri 08/10  @ Colorado      N    -    Marquis         Cook             L
116  Sat 08/11  @ Colorado      N    -    Hill            Lopez              W
117  Sun 08/12  @ Colorado           -    Marshall        Fogg            W

 

Using those pitching lines I made my predications. I think the cubs will go 14-6 after that stretch be in first place by at least 2 games.

 

I'll bet you a nickel that the CUBS don't lose all 4 of Jason Marquis' starts during this stretch.

[apete6]

I am not looking forward to that series in Colorado...if our power isn't back by then or if we haven't acquired a power bat. Lilly, Hill, Marshall, and Marquis are all very prone to giving up bombs and I'm sure Colorado wants some revenge after the beatdown they got in Wrigley last time.

 

Also, I think this is the 3rd consecutive season where the Cubs have played IN Colorado the 1st or 2nd weekend in August. I went in 2005 and it was a great trip. Highly recommended for any of you looking to book a last minute trip.

 

I think we will go 12-8 in the 20 games, which is fine. 12-8 every 20 games the rest of the way puts us at...87 wins with 5 games to play. I'll take that.

[Drew Doughty]

3/3 from StL

2/3 from CIN

1/4 from PHI

2/3 from NYM

1/3 from HOU

3/4 from COL

 

12-8

[seanimal]

I'll be at a few of those Colorado games, I hope the power is back by then as well.

[Prior4CyYoung]

FWIW, here's my projected pitching matchups for the next 20 games......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
98  Tue 07/24  @ St. Louis     N    -    Zambrano        Wells       W    
99  Wed 07/25  @ St. Louis     N    -    Lilly           Wainright       W
100  Thu 07/26  @ St. Louis     N    -    Marquis         Looper        L
101  Fri 07/27  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Hill            Arroyo            W
102  Sat 07/28  @ Cincinnati    N    -    Marshall        Harang       W  
103  Sun 07/29  @ Cincinnati         -    Zambrano        Belisle     W  
104  Mon 07/30    Philadelphia  N    -    Lilly           Hamels          L
105  Tue 07/31    Philadelphia  N    -    Marquis         Eaton          L
106  Wed 08/01    Philadelphia  N    -    Hill            Moyer            W
107  Thu 08/02    Philadelphia       -    Marshall        Durbin          W
108  Fri 08/03    New York           -    Zambrano        Maine          W
109  Sat 08/04    New York           -    Lilly           Glavine             W
110  Sun 08/05    New York      N    -    Marquis         Perez          L
111  Mon 08/06  @ Houston       N    -    Hill            Rodriguez       W
112  Tue 08/07  @ Houston       N    -    Marshall        Williams       W
113  Wed 08/08  @ Houston       N    -    Zambrano        Sampson       W      
114  Thu 08/09  @ Colorado      N    -    Lilly           Jimenez           L
115  Fri 08/10  @ Colorado      N    -    Marquis         Cook             L
116  Sat 08/11  @ Colorado      N    -    Hill            Lopez              W
117  Sun 08/12  @ Colorado           -    Marshall        Fogg            W

 

Using those pitching lines I made my predications. I think the cubs will go 14-6 after that stretch be in first place by at least 2 games.

 

I'll bet you a nickel that the CUBS don't lose all 4 of Jason Marquis' starts during this stretch.

 

LOL I didn't even notice that I had Marquis losing all his games. It wasn't intentional but I guess I just did it sub consciencely.

[Guest]

1/3 vs STL

2/3 vs Cin

1/4 vs Phi

1/3 vs NYM

3/3 vs Hou

3/4 vs Col

 

I'm predicting that hangover week that so many teams go through after a big winning streak followed by a strong turnaround at the end of the 20 games.

 

11-9 overall.

 

And let me guess your brewers go 19-1?

 

They probably go 9-11 or 10-10. Was my prediction somehow way off base just from being a Brewer fan? Seems right in line with what everyone else thinks will happen.

 

I'll take 10-10 for the cubs and 9-11 for the brewers.

[CubinNY]

I'll bet you a nickel that the CUBS don't lose all 4 of Jason Marquis' starts during this stretch.

A whole nickel?

 

I'll back Fred and take two bits.

[rawaction]

i think 12-8 is realistic. anything more is gravy

 

Any prolonged stretch of .600 baseball would be more than acceptable. 12-8 would leave them at 63-54, or a .538 W%, good for a pace of 87 wins. That would also leave them with 45 more games to reach the 90 win plateau, which would mean going 27-18 the rest of the way, also a .600 W%.

 

considering the "easy" games in this stretch are on the road and the "hard" games are at home, I stand by 12-8. Not knowing the pitching matchups makes it hard to guess though

 

This weekend proved pitching matchups mean nothing. Cubs beat Brandon Webb with Jason Marquis, then lost vs. Owings and Petit when their SP gave up a combined 2 ERs in 12 innings.

 

I wouldn't go that far.

 

If Kip Wells and the Cardinals go out and beat Zambrano and the Cubs tomorrow...

 

I think it's definitely fair to say pitching matchups are often given too much attention as a predictor of the outcome. But saying they mean nothing at all is akin to saying pitching itself means nothing.

 

Obviously, I was talking about predicting a winner based on matchups, rather than saying pitching doesn't factor in the outcome. I don't know where this comment is coming from.

[UMFan83]

3/3 from StL

2/3 from CIN

1/4 from PHI

2/3 from NYM

1/3 from HOU

3/4 from COL

 

12-8

 

Pence out 4-6 weeks, you still want to predict 1/3?

[Drew Doughty]

3/3 from StL

2/3 from CIN

1/4 from PHI

2/3 from NYM

1/3 from HOU

3/4 from COL

 

12-8

 

Pence out 4-6 weeks, you still want to predict 1/3?

 

0/3, we get swept.

[shnsajax]

3/3 from StL

2/3 from CIN

1/4 from PHI

2/3 from NYM

1/3 from HOU

3/4 from COL

 

12-8

 

Pence out 4-6 weeks, you still want to predict 1/3?

 

0/3, we get swept.

 

We just need to beat the crap out of Wandy cause he has a stupid name.

[soccer10k]

Cubs will go 21-(-1) over that time.

 

12-8, cubs take two in every series.

 

But in all seriousness, what he said. Hopefully they call also be 2-3 games ahead of the Brewers over this stretch as well. Like somebody else said, 13 games on the road with their only two home series' being the Mets and Phillies doesn't bode well for Milwaukee.

[Fred Hornkohl]

I'll bet you a nickel that the CUBS don't lose all 4 of Jason Marquis' starts during this stretch.

A whole nickel?

 

I'll back Fred and take two bits.

 

I take the value of a nickel most seriously !! In fact, Mike Ditka once said of me, "He throws nickels around like manhole covers." :wink: