7/19 Giants (Morris) @ Chicago (Lilly), 1:20 pm. CSN/WGN 720

[seanimal]

Thursday's heroic contest features the righty from Middletown, NY:

 

http://www.photofile.com/Photos/Albums/05_Baseball/Studios/Cardinals/Images/05MorrisMattStudio.jpg

 

Matthew Christian Morris, owner of:

 

119 IP/3.86 ERA/1.395 WHIP

 

versus the southpaw hailing from Torrance, CA:

 

http://media.canada.com/9a5080ed-4136-4dca-a2be-623a3827fb9d/lilly-gibbons082206.jpg

 

Theodore Roosevelt Lilly, sole proprietor of:

 

120.7 IP/3.51 ERA/1.061 WHIP

 

 

This historic match-up features the Chicago Cubs (49-44) facing off for the fourth game of a four-game set against the baseball Giants of sunny San Francisco, CA, formerly of Manhattan. While the Giants, last in the National League West, are toiling towards the top pick in the 2008 amateur draft, the Chicago Cubs find themselves in the hunt for first place in the National League Central. Athletic contests don't get much more exciting than this folks.

Edited July 19, 2007 by seanimal

[Bote McBoteface]

Another win plz.

 

 

thanks.

[Sarcastic]

Uh... this is the fourth game of the series.

[otis89]

Win again, por favor.

[Schwarber Fan]

The Cub with the best numbers against Morris is of course DLee (.357, 4 HRs), but looking at Ward's numbers against him (see below), we should be fine in that spot

 

Notables vs. Morris:

 

Ramirez .300, 3 HRs

Floyd .269, 3 HRs

Ward .348, 1 HR

 

that's pretty much it besides Soriano who is 1-2

[Omar]

San Francisco Giants Vs. Ted Lilly

http://img481.imageshack.us/img481/2408/lillyvsgiantswy7.jpg

 

Chicago Cubs Vs. Matt Morris

http://img410.imageshack.us/img410/7439/morrisvscubsal3.jpg

[ctcf]

Keep up the surprisingly awesome work Theo.

[Fred Hornkohl]

Greetings one and all from beautiful McDonough, GA !!

 

Worthless stats of the day for Thursday........

 

CUBS are 5-4 on Thursdays

CUBS are 2-1 vs. San Francisco

CUBS are 9-8 vs. the NLW Division

CUBS are 10-14 when they've won their last 1 game(s) in a row

CUBS are 24-24 when they've won their previous game

CUBS are 16-15 in games that end a series

CUBS are 31-23 in day games

CUBS are 25-22 at home

CUBS are 40-29 against right handers

CUBS are 16-17 when CSN broadcasts the game

CUBS are 35-14 when they get a quality start.... 14-30 when they don't

CUBS are 17-24 when the opponent gets a quality start.... 32-20 when they don't

CUBS are 39-19 when they score first in the game.... 10-25 when they don't

CUBS are 22-15 when they score in the first inning.... 27-29 when they don't

CUBS are 41-27 when they don't allow any runs is the first inning.... 8-17 when they do

CUBS are 39-19 when they score at least 4 runs.... 10-25 when they don't

CUBS are 38-6 when they allow fewer than 4 runs.... 11-38 when they don't

CUBS are 44-12 when they outhit the opponents.... 2-21 when they get outhit.... and 3-9 when the hits are even

CUBS are on a pace to win 85 games this year..... compared to 66 last year and 79 in '05

CUBS are on a pace to score 758 runs this year..... compared to 716 last year and 703 in '05

CUBS are on a pace to hit 139 homeruns this year..... compared to 166 last year and 194 in '05

CUBS are on a pace to draw 496 walks this year..... compared to 395 last year and 419 in '05

CUBS are on a pace to strike out 1063 times this year..... compared to 928 last year and 920 in '05

CUBS are on a pace to steal 91 bases this year..... compared to 121 last year and 64 in '05

CUBS are on a pace to ground into 118 double plays this year..... compared to 135 last year and 129 in '05

CUBS are on a pace to commit 96 errors this year..... compared to 104 last year and 100 in '05

CUBS are scoring 4.68 runs per game...... compared to 4.42 last year and 4.34 in '05

CUBS are seeing 3.74 pitches per plate appearance...... compared to 3.68 last year and 3.61 in '05

CUBS are drving in 19.2% of their runners on base...... compared to 20.0% last year and 18.4% in '05

CUBS are scoring 0.368 runs per baserunner...... compared to 0.370 last year and 0.365 in '05

CUBS are getting extra base hits at a 33.3% rate...... compared to 32.3% last year and 35.8 in '05

CUBS have scored first in 16 of their last 22 games (17-5)

CUBS have hit at least 1 double in each of their last 21 games

CUBS have issued more than 3 BBs in 13 of their last 19 games

CUBS have caught 2 base runners stealing in their last 23 games

CUBS opponents have GIDP'd at least 1 time in 13 of their last 20 games

CUBS opponents have committed at least 1 error in 10 of their last 14 games

 

CUBS are 10-9 when Lilly starts

Lilly is 12 of 19 in quality starts

Lilly has 3 consecutive quality starts

Lilly's ERA pitching to Barrett is 3.53.... to Blanco it's 4.50.... to K. Hill it's 3.38.... to Bowen it's 2.86

CUBS score 4.68 R/G overall.... 5.00 R/G when Lilly pitches

CUBS hit 0.86 HR/G overall.... 0.63 HR/G when Lilly pitches

 

CUBS' offensive support of Lilly.....

 

04/02 - 07/18      AB    R    H   2b   3b   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS
CUBS w/Lilly      693   95  203   40    2   12  283   91   54  133  0.293  0.347  0.408  0.755
CUBS overall     3265  435  881  194   19   80 1353  412  285  610  0.270  0.329  0.414  0.744

 

Composite scoring in games started by Lilly.........

 

                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16    Total

CUBS              9   3   7  16  16  14  19   8   3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0      95
Opponents         9  10   9   6   8   3   7  14   7   0   0   0   0   0   1   0      74

 

Lilly's starts this year (9-4)

 

Lilly                   IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
04/04  vs. Cincy       7.0    3    1    1    1    9    0   101  1.29 11.57  0.00  0.57  1.29
04/09  vs. Houst       6.0    6    3    3    1    5    0    90  1.50  7.50  0.00  1.17  4.50
04/15  vs. Cincy       6.0    2    1    1    1   10    0   101  1.50 15.00  0.00  0.50  1.50
04/20  vs. St. L       7.0    4    2    2    2    6    1   100  2.57  7.71  1.29  0.86  2.57
04/25  vs. Milw        7.0    6    2    1    0    3    0   100  0.00  3.86  0.00  0.86  1.29
05/01  vs. Pitts       5.3    9    5    4    1    5    1    86  1.69  8.44  1.69  1.88  6.75
05/08  vs. Pitts       7.0    7    2    2    1    4    0   110  1.29  5.14  0.00  1.14  2.57
05/13  vs. Phila       8.0    3    1    1    1    6    0   108  1.13  6.75  0.00  0.50  1.13
05/18  vs. CWS         7.0    6    3    3    2    6    1   106  2.57  7.71  1.29  1.14  3.86
05/25  vs. L.A.        4.3    6    5    5    4    2    1    75  8.31  4.15  2.08  2.31 10.38
05/30  vs. Flor        7.0    7    6    5    1    9    3   109  1.29 11.57  3.86  1.14  6.43
06/05  vs. Milw        5.0    8    6    6    1    2    3    89  1.80  3.60  5.40  1.80 10.80
06/10  vs. Atla        0.7    0    0    0    0    2    0    10  0.00 27.00  0.00  0.00  0.00
06/15  vs. S.D.        8.0    6    1    1    1    3    0    92  1.13  3.38  0.00  0.88  1.13
06/21  vs. Texas       7.0    6    5    5    1   10    2   104  1.29 12.86  2.57  1.00  6.43
06/26  vs. Colo        6.0    6    4    4    5    5    1   113  7.50  7.50  1.50  1.83  6.00
07/02  vs. Wash        7.0    3    1    1    3    5    0   115  3.86  6.43  0.00  0.86  1.29
07/07  vs. Pitts       7.3    8    1    1    1    6    0   106  1.23  7.36  0.00  1.23  1.23
07/14  vs. Houst       8.0    4    1    1    1    7    0   106  1.13  7.88  0.00  0.63  1.13

Home                  67.7   58   36   32   32   56    5  1178  4.26  7.45  0.67  1.33  4.26
Road                  69.0   55   24   24   27   61   12  1141  3.52  7.96  1.57  1.19  3.13

Day                  102.7   88   50   47   43   85   13  1738  3.77  7.45  1.14  1.28  4.12
Nite                  34.0   25   10    9   16   32    4   581  4.24  8.47  1.06  1.21  2.38

April                 33.0   21    9    8    5   33    1   492  1.36  9.00  0.27  0.79  2.18
May                   38.7   38   22   20   10   32    6   594  2.33  7.45  1.40  1.24  4.66
June                  26.7   26   16   16    8   22    6   408  2.70  7.43  2.03  1.28  5.40
July                  22.3   15    3    3    5   18    0   327  2.01  7.25  0.00  0.90  1.21

last 5 starts         35.3   27   12   12   11   33    3   544  2.80  8.41  0.76  1.08  3.06
season totals        120.7  100   50   47   28  105   13  1821  2.09  7.83  0.97  1.06  3.51

 

CUBS' bullpen load during the last week.....

 

              Wed        Tue        Mon        Sun        Sat        Fri        Thur          Totals
             18 Jul     17 Jul     16 Jul     15 Jul     14 Jul     13 Jul     12 Jul
             vs. S.F.   vs. S.F.   vs. S.F.   vs. Hous   vs. Hous   vs. Hous   no game 
pitcher        IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit     IP Pit        IP Pit

Dempster                                                                                             
Eyre                                           0.7  19                                        0.7  19
Howry                               1.0   8    1.0  11               1.0  18                  3.0  37
Ohman                    0.3  16               0.7  10                                        1.0  26
Wuertz                   0.3   7               1.3  27    1.0  20                             2.7  54
Marmol                   1.3  38               1.3  26               1.3  14                  4.0  78
Petrick                  1.0  10                                                              1.0  10
Gallagher     4.0  55                                                                         4.0  55

Totals        4.0  55    3.0  71    1.0   8    5.0  93    1.0  20    2.3  32                 16.3 279

 

CUBS' season series vs. San Francisco this year (2-1).....

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
91  Mon 07/16    San Francisco N   3- 2  Hill            Lincecum      
92  Tue 07/17    San Francisco N   2- 4  Marshall        Zito          
93  Wed 07/18    San Francisco    12- 1  Zambrano        Cain          
94  Thu 07/19    San Francisco      -    Lilly           Morris        
125  Tue 08/21  @ San Francisco N    -    Marquis         Lowry         
126  Wed 08/22  @ San Francisco N    -    Hill            Lincecum      
127  Thu 08/23  @ San Francisco      -    Marshall        Zito          

 

CUBS' season series vs. San Francisco last year (2-4) .......

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter
32  Tue 05/09  @ San Francisco N   1- 6  Hill        
33  Wed 05/10  @ San Francisco N   8- 1  Zambrano      
34  Thu 05/11  @ San Francisco     3- 9  Marshall      
134  Fri 09/01    San Francisco     6- 2  Hill        
135  Sat 09/02    San Francisco     2- 4  Marshall      
136  Sun 09/03    San Francisco     4- 7  Guzman        

 

CUBS hitters vs. San Francisco this year.....

 

vs. S.F.           AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS  BABIP
K Hill              6    1    3    2    0    1    8    6    1    1  0.500  0.571  1.333  1.905  0.500
Floyd               3    2    2    1    0    0    3    1    0    0  0.667  0.667  1.000  1.667  0.667
Lee                 7    2    3    0    0    1    6    1    1    2  0.429  0.500  0.857  1.357  0.500
Ramirez             8    0    3    2    0    0    5    2    0    3  0.375  0.375  0.625  1.000  0.600
Pagan               6    1    2    1    0    0    3    1    0    0  0.333  0.333  0.500  0.833  0.333
Jones               5    2    1    0    0    0    1    2    3    1  0.200  0.500  0.200  0.700  0.250
Ward                6    1    1    0    0    0    1    0    3    2  0.167  0.444  0.167  0.611  0.250
DeRosa              9    1    2    0    0    0    2    1    2    2  0.222  0.364  0.222  0.586  0.286
Theriot            11    4    2    1    0    0    3    0    2    0  0.182  0.308  0.273  0.580  0.182
Fontenot            6    2    1    0    0    0    1    1    2    2  0.167  0.333  0.167  0.500  0.250
Soriano            12    1    1    0    0    0    1    0    1    4  0.083  0.154  0.083  0.237  0.125
Kendall             3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000

totals vs. S.F.    91   17   21    7    0    2   34   15   15   23  0.231  0.336  0.374  0.710  0.288

Season totals    3265  433  881  192   19   80 1351  412  284  609  0.270  0.329  0.414  0.743  0.311

 

CUBS pitchers vs. San Francisco this year......

 

vs. S.F.             IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Zambrano            5.0    2    0    0    2    3    0    80  3.60  5.40  0.00  0.80  0.00
Petrick             1.0    0    0    0    0    1    0    10  0.00  9.00  0.00  0.00  0.00
Howry               1.0    0    0    0    0    1    0     8  0.00  9.00  0.00  0.00  0.00
Ohman               0.3    0    0    0    2    0    0    16 54.00  0.00  0.00  6.00  0.00
Wuertz              0.3    1    0    0    0    1    0     7  0.00 27.00  0.00  3.00  0.00
R Hill              8.0    4    2    2    2    3    1    95  2.25  3.38  1.13  0.75  2.25
Gallagher           4.0    4    1    1    2    0    0    55  4.50  0.00  0.00  1.50  2.25
Marshall            6.0    5    2    2    2    2    0    88  3.00  3.00  0.00  1.17  3.00
Marmol              1.3    1    2    2    3    2    0    38 20.25 13.50  0.00  3.00 13.50

totals vs. S.F.    27.0   17    7    7   13   13    1   397  4.33  4.33  0.33  1.11  2.33

season totals     838.3  749  385  360  312  700   96 13407  3.35  7.51  1.03  1.27  3.86

 

CUBS' last 14 games (10-4)..............

 

Gm#    Date       Opponent         Score  Starter         Opp Starter
80  Sun 07/01    Milwaukee         5- 1  Marquis         Bush          
81  Mon 07/02  @ Washington        7- 2  Lilly           Simontacchi   
82  Tue 07/03  @ Washington        3- 1  Zambrano        Redding       
83  Wed 07/04  @ Washington        0- 6  Hill            Chico         
84  Thu 07/05  @ Washington        4- 2  Marshall        Bergmann      
85  Fri 07/06  @ Pittsburgh    N   4- 8  Marquis         Maholm        
86  Sat 07/07  @ Pittsburgh    N   7- 1  Lilly           Van Benschoten
87  Sun 07/08  @ Pittsburgh        2- 6  Zambrano        Youman        
88  Fri 07/13    Houston           6- 0  Zambrano        Jennings      
89  Sat 07/14    Houston           9- 3  Lilly           Oswalt        
90  Sun 07/15    Houston           7- 6  Marquis         Rodriguez     
91  Mon 07/16    San Francisco N   3- 2  Hill            Lincecum      
92  Tue 07/17    San Francisco N   2- 4  Marshall        Zito          
93  Wed 07/18    San Francisco    12- 1  Zambrano        Cain        

 

Composite scoring during the last 14 games.........

 

                  1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16    Total

CUBS              8   8  12  14   9   8   3   9   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0      71
Opponents         3   6   6   2  10   4   1   7   4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0      43

 

CUBS' hitters during the last 14 games......

 

07/01 - 07/18      AB    R    H   2B   3B   HR   TB  RBI   BB   SO     BA    OBP    SLG    OPS  BABIP
Theriot            44   12   17    5    0    1   25    3    7    2  0.386  0.471  0.568  1.039  0.390
Lee                41   10   13    2    0    2   21    8   10    5  0.317  0.462  0.512  0.974  0.324
Ward               15    3    5    2    0    0    7    3    4    3  0.333  0.450  0.467  0.917  0.417
Floyd              16    4    6    1    0    0    7    3    2    2  0.375  0.444  0.438  0.882  0.429
Ramirez            48    3   17    6    0    0   23   13    2    3  0.354  0.373  0.479  0.852  0.378
DeRosa             50    5   17    3    0    0   20    8    5   10  0.340  0.393  0.400  0.793  0.425
Jones              23    4    6    3    0    0    9    3    4    3  0.261  0.357  0.391  0.748  0.300
Pagan              33    3    9    2    0    1   14    4    1    5  0.273  0.286  0.424  0.710  0.296
K Hill             24    1    4    2    0    1    9    7    3    2  0.167  0.250  0.375  0.625  0.143
Soriano            60   11   16    2    0    1   21    6    1   14  0.267  0.274  0.350  0.624  0.333
Izturis            11    2    2    0    0    0    2    0    1    1  0.182  0.250  0.182  0.432  0.200
Soto                7    2    1    0    0    0    1    1    1    3  0.143  0.250  0.143  0.393  0.250
Fontenot           37    4    6    0    0    0    6    2    2   10  0.162  0.200  0.162  0.362  0.222
Bowen              14    2    1    1    0    0    2    1    0    4  0.071  0.067  0.143  0.210  0.100
Pie                 3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    1  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000
Kendall             3    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000  0.000

last 14 games     468   71  127   29    0    6  174   65   43   86  0.271  0.328  0.372  0.700  0.322

season totals    3265  433  881  192   19   80 1351  412  284  609  0.270  0.329  0.414  0.743  0.311

 

CUBS' pitchers during the last 14 games......

 

07/01 - 07/18        IP    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    PC  BB/9   K/9  HR/9  WHIP   ERA
Petrick             3.0    1    0    0    0    2    0    39  0.00  6.00  0.00  0.33  0.00
Eyre                2.7    2    0    0    2    1    0    47  6.75  3.38  0.00  1.50  0.00
Ohman               2.0    2    0    0    2    0    0    40  9.00  0.00  0.00  2.00  0.00
Lilly              22.3   15    3    3    5   18    0   327  2.01  7.25  0.00  0.90  1.21
Zambrano           25.3   12    4    4   12   23    1   438  4.26  8.17  0.36  0.95  1.42
Gallagher           5.3    5    3    1    3    1    0    85  5.06  1.69  0.00  1.50  1.69
Marmol             10.0    6    2    2    6   15    0   168  5.40 13.50  0.00  1.20  1.80
Marshall           11.3   10    4    4    6    4    0   173  4.76  3.18  0.00  1.41  3.18
R Hill             14.0   14    8    8    3    9    3   199  1.93  5.79  1.93  1.21  5.14
Howry               6.7    8    4    4    1    6    0    98  1.35  8.10  0.00  1.35  5.40
Wuertz              4.7    6    3    3    1    7    0    76  1.93 13.50  0.00  1.50  5.79

last 14 games     123.0  101   44   42   48   96    8  1938  3.51  7.02  0.59  1.21  3.07

season totals     838.3  749  385  360  312  700   96 13407  3.35  7.51  1.03  1.27  3.86

 

Percentage of baserunners driven in........

 

04/02 - 07/18      BDI  LOB   RBI%
Ward                 8   20  0.286
DeRosa              44  120  0.268
Ramirez             43  130  0.249
Lee                 40  122  0.247
Floyd               27   83  0.245
Pie                 16   62  0.205
Blanco               3   12  0.200
Fontenot            14   57  0.197
K Hill              10   41  0.196
Theriot             23   97  0.192
Pagan               11   54  0.169
Soriano             22  109  0.168
Soto                 1    5  0.167
Jones               21  109  0.162
Barrett             19  113  0.144
Murton               7   48  0.127
Bowen                2   19  0.095
Izturis              8   79  0.092
Cedeno               2   21  0.087
Kendall              0    0  0.000

CUBS               332 1395  0.192

 

Wild Card Race .... (San Diego is winning)

 

Team             W       L       Pct      GB
San Diego       51      41     0.554     ---
Atlanta         50      45     0.526     2.5
CUBS            49      44     0.527     2.5
Arizona         50      46     0.521     3.0
Philadelphia    47      47     0.500     5.0
Colorado        48      46     0.511     4.0
Florida         45      50     0.474     7.5

 

CUBS' magic numbers:

 

Milwaukee      73
St. Louis      66
Pittsburgh     60
Houston        59
Cincinnati     59

 

 

Go CUBS !!

[Butterscup1679666578]

3 out of 4 would be nice. 2 out of 4 would be awful.

[Sammy Sofa]

Something tells me we'll finally see Bonds start.

[98navigator]

Something tells me we'll finally see Bonds start.

 

Yup, that's the plan.

[seanimal]

Uh... this is the fourth game of the series.

 

whoops.

 

I knew that.

[soccer10k]

Something tells me we'll finally see Bonds start.

 

Yup, that's the plan.

 

Wasn't that the plan yesterday and today as well?

[chuckywang]

Anything other than a victory is unacceptable.

[Shavo]

I live in Middletown, New York, and even I hate Matt Morris.

[Andy]

.488 OPS vs Morris for Kendall.

 

Great.

 

Is it too late to start Koyie again?

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

Just win, bitches.

[soccer10k]

This is one of the few times that I'm okay with the game not being televised on WGN since it will be aired on FSN Bay Area out here.

[Jazz]

Here's hoping that theodore will deliver us a victory.

[woodchip2153]

CUBS' magic numbers:

 

Milwaukee      73

St. Louis 66

Pittsburgh 60

Houston 59

Cincinnati 59

 

Better than magic number

 

At least the Cubs control their fate.

[Derwood]

what is the Cub's record in games when the game thread starter uses pics of the players with the wrong uniforms on?

[ctcf]

I'm starting Morris on one of my fantasy teams. I expect to regret it Cobs.

[ctcf]

I'm bored so I predict:

 

Soriano

Theriot

Ward

Aramis

Floyd

Derosa

Pagan

Kendall

Lilly

 

Possibly with Kendall and Pagan switching spots.

[98navigator]

Something tells me we'll finally see Bonds start.

 

Yup, that's the plan.

 

Wasn't that the plan yesterday and today as well?

 

No, it was reported in the papers that Bonds wouldn't start yesterday's game. Conversely, it's been reported that he will start today.

[BleacherBadger]

I'm bored so I predict:

 

Soriano

Theriot

Ward

Aramis

Floyd

Derosa

Pagan

Kendall

Lilly

 

Possibly with Kendall and Pagan switching spots.

 

Lou will want Kendall to get comfy, so I say the switch happens. Jason 7, Pagan 8. Although, I wouldn't mind seeing Jones carry the hot bat in center.

 

What's the weather looking like down by the stadium. I saw accuweather has about 50% rain from 11-2, does it look that way?