Geographyhater8888

Nice clutch hitting again from the top of the order

Meryl Kelly too. He’s 36 and doesn’t come with the extra year of control tax. They gave Suarez away for peanuts. I don’t know exactly what Texas gave up for him and what the equivalent cubs package would’ve been but it’s ridiculous we’re almost 5 months in and Brown is still in the rotation. I also don’t think Jed would’ve hesitated to outbid the Yankees for a sure thing Like Max Fried if he had the financial means, instead of hoping to strike to hit the moneyball jackpot in Boyd. It’s a chicken and egg kind of thing we’re looking at. I don’t know what the hell to make of the Brewers, we always hear about how lucky they are but they’re a perennial 90 win team with a recent history of folding in the playoffs, akin to the early-mid 2000’s Twins ground balling and duck snorting teams to death. Their rotation is what worries me. I’m more in the boat of asking which Michael Busch PCA and Suzuki will we be getting for last month 1/2. Is it just a slump or a slump coinciding with a regression to who they truly are as players over the course of 6 months? Because the rotation ideally has Horton in it come playoff time and that entails throwing more pitches than he ever has. And it won’t be the cubs path towards a deep playoff run, it’ll be scoring runs with all 3 trending closer to their first half performance, and that’s with the assumption that Tucker figures things out too.

Sure, if you’re referring to people telling you the season is over despite having a 7 game lead in the wild card standings, I’d agree that’s over the top. I think we’re all bitter rooting for a team third in net profit with mid-high 80’s win aspirations. Ownership and the front office by extension would rather have a 6% chance of winning a World Series on a budget over being in that 15% category.

What were his previous season totals?

Doesn’t help either when your competition is Jerry’s whitesox, 83-88 wins to keep Marquee subscribers content and money grows on the Wrigley Ivy. To be fair, Tom’s a little strapped after purchasing that soccer team.

Ricketts are competent. They just haven’t put in the effort to build a true winner since the Epstein days and even that was half assed with a lot of medium length safe free agent signings. The Heyward deal was a big splash but they also had the financial flexibility because of a young core on pre arb cheap contracts. And Max Scherzer would’ve been preferred over both Heyward and Lackey but that’s more on Theo. I’m confident the Cubs will be a “contender” for the foreseeable future, just on par with Reinsdorfs mid 2000’s whitesox with the hope of a fluky 2005 flash in the pan championship, because it won’t be with the help of a big name free agent winning a World Series MVP like Corey Seager or a Freddie Freeman. Etc With 6 playoff seeds he’s even less incentivized to go all in.

It’s not about being negative, we’ve pivoted from World Series contenders to just get in the playoffs and anything can happen. The bar is getting lower and lower. As it stands barring catastrophe the Cubs will be seeded in the playoffs but until they pass the eye test and Tucker is the big star bat who can pick up a slumping offense, they’re not that much different of a team from the last couple years. Better, but by how much if Tuckers finger is still ailing him? Will PCA Seiya and Busch find their home run stroke and their OPSs will start to climb back up or at least stagnate from nose diving since the all star break and all go on a heater in unison back to their breakout year paces, or will it continue to dip? We’re seeing a regression to the mean and Tucker hasn’t been able to pick up the slack until proven wrong. it’s healthy to question their capability of making a deep playoff run. They’ll have to slug and hit if they have any chance of going far. It’s not negativity for the sake of it.

We’re basically watching an offense without Tucker playing like a star and it’s similar to much of what we saw last season, which is a lineup without that dude to pick up other slumping bats. The power isn’t there and the lineup isn’t constructed to manufacture runs. When or if the pop comes back so will the runs on a consistent basis. We’re likely watching natural regression to the mean from Suzuki Kelly PCA and Busch and a lack sustainable production that will carry over through all 6 months. Unless of course all 4 are capable of sustaining OPSs of over 850+ and 921 in the case of Busch and are due for a huge breakout over the next couple weeks, I can’t confidently say that everything will be fine. things evening out is a common theme on this board, which direction will they go? Nothing but south so far.

Nice rally guys. You almost did the impossible. Maybe next month.

Just go down in order with no fight as always. If there’s any late inning deficit no matter how small just write off any chance of a comeback. What a boring team.

Shaw and Nico are the 2 players I have nothing bad to say about at the moment.

Looks likes our offense is back.

I think it’s safe to say that the NL MVP is Ohtanis to lose.

It also looks like he’s back to chasing and whiffing on high heat, an old habit of his. The lack of pop from the top of the order is obviously the key to this slump. Has the wind blowing in at Wrigley has gotten to their heads, causing a spike in ground ball% playing a role in their slump? When your homers are getting knocked down by the wind and ending up in gloves I’d think it’d have some effect on hitters mentally causing them to subconsciously tweak their swing path a bit. But I’ll leave this to you, I’m just spit balling.

I’m not here to argue, just to learn. My previous knowledge of this is from sports reference where they use simple ranking system, it’s basically judging how good a team is by quantifying run differential and strength of schedule without the win loss component, in the off you chance you’re not familiar with it. The eye test said the Eagles were a better team than the Packers while the Packers SRS had their average MOV vs a 0 SRS by over a point, thanks to close losses vs playoff teams and running up the score vs scrub opponents. So it’s measuring the sum of a seasons and more situation based than rewarding lopsided wins or losses in isolation, if that makes sense in regards to how fWAR is calculated. Either way the gist of it seems to be telling what we already know that the Jays have good players and are a very good team. I’m only splitting hairs over this because I want to know exactly how it’s calculated. wRC+ is easier to grasp now that I know how wOBA is calculated and how each specific outcome at the plate is weighed exponentially. Whats your diagnosis of PCA at the moment?

Can someone explain to me why the Bluejays are the current leader in total fWAR with a +43 run differential? If wins correlate with runs, there’s 10 teams with a better run differential and pythag win%. This is current by the way and not projected. If Someone more knowledgeable can explanation I’d appreciate it.

60/40 we’ll be scoreboard watching the Reds and Giants in 2 mondays.

If the Cubs can finish this post ASB 21 game gauntlet playing 500 ball vs MLB heavy weights like the Orioles, Royals, Whitesox and the Cardinals, it’s a win in my book.

This team just isn’t enjoyable.

Bullpen can’t hold a deficit. What else is new. Offense wouldn’t have made it up anyways though

#We’re still good.

Zero element of surprise either. Theyre just so predictable.

You doomers need to chill. They’ve been on an 81 win pace since June.

That Toronto series is going to be butt ugly. .

Tip your cap to McGreevy, who’s another part of this week long gauntlet of pitchers also consisting of Sugano, Brandon Young and Nick Martinez. When will we catch a break?