Geographyhater8888
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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888
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Where do you get absurd pessimism from exactly? If that’s the case then people have wasted an entire week complaining about trading for Soroka when they needed much better, which is the biggest flaw on the team with a 113 game sample size to draw from. Kind of important in the playoffs. Playoffs are a crapshoot shoot. The odds are what makes or breaks my confidence. When the offense breaks out their slump, rotation and pen stay afloat and they pass the eye test after this 2 month long stretch of painful mediocrity then all will be well in my mind again. Hopefully the wait won’t be too Much longer. Pointing out flaws isn’t saying the Cubs will miss the playoffs by 5 games in a thread where people are venting over a garbage loss.
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Padres, Phillies, Dodgers and whatever the hell you want to make of Milwaukee. Forget the Mets then. If you’re trying to convince me that the cubs have a chance at winning the World Series I’ll buy it, if you’re telling me the odds are on par with with some of the other teams with majors questions around the pitching staff and whether the offense can get red hot at the right time to offset these potential cracks in the roster then I can’t say I like those odds at the moments.
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All the above teams you listed minus the Tigers and the Yankees who I don’t think are that good have track records of success in the regular season and playoffs over the last 4+ years. The sample size is big enough to give them a pass for regular season hiccups. Because I watch this team naturally I’ll focus on their flaws because I’m aware of them and what the implications of them will have in a best of playoff series. It goes for every fan base. if they were in a heater I’d be focusing more on the positives. That’s human nature. But you’re talking about a rotation with 2 arms in Boyd and Horton who will have the highest work load of their careers and Jameson Taillon as your number 3 starter. Leaving everything else out of the equation that’s my main concern. Who in that bullpen can hold a deficit at the moment?
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It’s frustrating when you have memories of 07, 08, 2018 etc 3 runs is all it took. Not heartbreaking but very annoying.
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Nothing. It’s a sunnier outlook than being the 1/124 06 Cardinals who had a core of players with back to back 100 win seasons the previous 2 years. Whether or not its achievable is the question.
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I understand all of that. If they play 500 ball the rest of way they’ll finish with 88-89 wins which I think will be enough. There’s still just too many question marks regarding the rotation and even the sustainability of PCA and Busch’s production up to this point, Obviously they’re very good with enough of a sample size to make that judgement, with the pitching concerns we’ll need them to be the guys they were all the way to the all star break to shake off the idea of just get in anything can happen mentality that rarely translates to success in the playoffs as our glimmer of hope in a best of series vs those Phillies lefties as just one example. Are they mid to high 800 OPS guys or is there some inevitable regression that’s marginal enough to not offset the other cracks in the team?
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Hot take but game 2 vs Miami in the 2020 playoffs was my most frustrating cubs loss. Not because of the stakes exactly but I not only predicted but knew Darvish would pitch a gem and they’d get shutout. I’m just glad no one there in person to witness that inevitable outcome. The lack of any element of surprise when the bats go cold no matter the manager season decade etc seems very Cubs specific.
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And no one will be optimistic going into the playoff series if they continue to win at this pace and play uninspiring baseball. A 2023 Rangers like playoff run is a best case scenario for this team with how they’re constructed, but I’m not as confident in our bullpen either.
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If you think pretty good Will will take you deep into the playoffs then that’s fine by me. They won 83 games last season, that’s 2 away from pretty good as well. So as long as the offense recaptures some of that early season magic, I’ll have my optimism restored.
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Yes. They need to be the number 1 offense or close to it unless you think the pitching staff will take them anywhere. They haven’t been number 1 and their record has reflected it.
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July 6th: Still 4 games up on Milwaukee and we’re way better than them. August 6th: We’re still 4.5 up on the Reds for a wild card spot and we’re way better than them.
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Do you have anything to add other than pointing out a grammatical error?
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Back when Carson Kelly OPS was over 1K and vibes were good,
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Back when Happ missed 9 games to injury in May.
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Reds should be -3.5 today.
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That was the night I created a 20 page thread after that extra innings loss to the Phillies pointing out the potential of a negative regression to the mean from the offense. Cubs were 14 games over at that point, now only 17.
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Haven’t won a game where the pitching staff allows more than 4 runs since June 21st either. The Colorado series wasn’t a blimp in the radar.
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They’ve basically been on a linear decline for 2 months now and it’s finally slapping everyone in the face with one acceptable performance from the bats in the last 9 games and the long overdue regression from the pen. It’s the reverse of last year where they can’t hold a deficit instead of a lead this time.
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They scratch and clawed their way to barely beating a bad orioles team and lost 2/3 to the royals, it’s not surprising they’ll be trying to avoid another sweep vs a team with a respectable record
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They’ll be closer to the reds that brewers In The standings by tomorrow afternoon.
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There’s a chance we’ll be closer in the standings to the reds than the Brewers by tomorrow afternoon.
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There’s an inevitably with this offense, much like the playoff series vs Miami in 2020 and the final month of 2018 where scoring runs in like pulling teeth.
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Unfortunately the bottom of the order has cooled off and can’t carry the lineup to their usual 2-3 runs.
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Nice clutch hitting as always by our top of the order bats.
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That’s exactly how I feel. If Horton can handle the increase in work load he’s the only number 4 starter I have any confidence in to hold a playoff lineup in check. It’s gotten to the point we’ll be score board watching the Reds.
