Disagree. Lets look at each pitcher and what he'll likely produce. Z - Obviously, our ace. Likely to produce better than 2006. Lilly - Way overstating him. He's been consistent, with his ERA never hitting more than 4.5, save 2005 when he only threw 126 innings. 3 of the last 4 years he's put up ERA's in the low 4. Benefiting from the league switch and not facing the Red Sox and Yankees so much, I think he posts an ERA in the high 3's next year. Marquis - Potential disaster, which is why it's good that we have a glut of starters because I don't see Uncle Lou putting up with a 6+ ERA for very long. He will either get back to his '04 and '05 form and put up an (at best) high 3 or (middling) a low 4 or (at worst) mid 4 ERA next season. If he doesn't, then he's likely in '06 disaster form and gets yanked from the rotation. Hill - I just don't see him forgetting how to pitch between now and spring. Mark him down for a high 3 ERA, I do believe. And he may do better Prior - Ah, the variable. I refuse to write him off like others. He's had a lot of injuries but if you forget '06, in the previous year he made 30, 21, and 27 starts. Not perfect, but better than some getting big dollars. He may not be ready on opening day, but I sincerely feel he'll contribute big time this year. If he's healthy, ERA in the low 3's Wade Miller - Showed flashes of his old self in that last 5 inning shutout start. There is still a chance he rebuilds a little more velocity and becomes a solid arm again. Low 4 ERA isn't out of the question. The kids - All of the kids from last season should, in theory, perform better with the experience behind them now. Marmol probably needs to stay in AAA this year barring horror. But Marshall should get to compete for the fifth starter spot. It wasn't until he came back from injury and struggled that his ERA creeped above 5. He showed potential. No reason to think that a 2007 with an ERA in the very low 4's is impossible. So, to me, it's more likely that out of a group of Zambrano, Lilly, Hill, Prior, Marquis, Miller, and Marshall, you'll get three rotation spots under 4, one just slightly over, and one closer to 5, but still under. Good enough, most likely, to take the division.