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Rcal10

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Everything posted by Rcal10

  1. Rcal10
    I don’t think it is always about the movement and not speed. Lack of velo means he has to be perfect all the time. Yes, he could be good. But it is a lot harder without at least average velo.
  2. Rcal10
    Stratos, I respect your opinion, but I was asking if anyone knew of a study in baseball that determines when a pitcher should expect regression. I just used Boyd as an example since he does have the innings if a typical 30-31 year old pitcher, not a 34 year old pitcher. I also doubt the Cubs extend him. But I did like Bertz idea of maybe making year 3(Cubs option year) a guarantee so that they lose one less guy after ‘26. That would be the longest I would consider with guarantees.
  3. Rcal10
    I tend to side with banks here. It was an easy ball hit to PCA. I was at the game with a view from behind home plate. It was an obvious out. I have no idea what that runner saw. Total boneheaded play. Everyone around us was shocked he ran. Especially the Red Sox fan behind me.
  4. Rcal10
    I thought he meant walks. Best case scenaround is Luke pitches the first inning and doesn’t give up a run. Then Brown goes 5 innings. See where they are after 6. Hopefully they are in the game.
  5. Rcal10
    So 8 more games before the Brewers. Maybe gain 1.5 games and go into Milw with a 3 game lead. Take 2 of 3 and leave up 4. I would be very satisfied with that.
  6. Rcal10
    A pen game, exclusively, would not lead to a well rested pen. Brown at least has a chance of giving them 5 innings, small as it may be. Then send him back down.
  7. Rcal10
    Yuck! I don’t want to see a Little. But maybe Brown and Little replace Roberts and the last guy in the pen.
  8. Rcal10
    Bertz, that would be awesome. And it might be a good call by you. They have Roberts and some other 30 yr old career minor leaguer in the pen. It would make a lot of sense to bring Brown back for that bullpen game.
  9. Rcal10
    I agree they could have both pitched doing as you suggested. However it is obvious CC is trying to conserve some innings on those two guys. Give Imanaga an extra day and Boyd gets a decent break. I think we will see one more bullpen game against the white sox next weekend. That should be it assuming they do get a pitcher at the deadline.
  10. Rcal10
    That isn’t happening. He signed a minor league deal and is not stretched out. I am sure he isn’t anything they actually count on.
  11. Rcal10
    I believe if Boyd starts the Tuesday game it lines him up for the first game in the Brewers series. If he pitches then the rotation should be Boyd/Rea/Imanaga against the Brewers in Milw. This is assuming they don’t trade for a better pitcher. If they did, my guess is he would go against the Brewers instead of Rea.
  12. Rcal10
    I agree with you. I would love Gore.
  13. Rcal10
    He certainly would lock down the rotation. I think if they did that they would still probably add a bat who can play 3rd but also come off the bench. A cheap (assets wise) guy.
  14. Rcal10
    When did the Cubs announce Boyd is going Sunday? I think that is a bullpen day. They are trying to save some innings for Boyd.
  15. Rcal10
    If the Cubs are doing one stop shopping with anyone, I would love it to be the Twins. Either Jax or Ryan with Castro. Depending on how much the Cubs are willing to give up, Jax, Ryan and Castro. But I think that price would terrify some of this fan base. Wouldn’t mind a Lugo/Estevez/Garcia trade either, depending on cost. For a smaller price, India instead of Garcia. Or just the pitchers.
  16. Rcal10
    Thanks for the response. I was just curious about what is more important, age or innings in an arm. I used Boyd, but he was just an example. Sounds like there may not be enough data to determine. But as you said, pitchers are pitching well into there late 30’s more often than hitters hit well at that time. Back to Boyd, Cubs have a lot of contracts ending in ‘26. As Bertz suggested he could see one year added to Boyd, if for nothing else, to have one less player to replace in ‘26.
  17. Rcal10
    I would agree with this, but if the Cubs see an innings limitation to Horton he wouldn’t be considered a rotation piece the remainder of the season. That is the only reason I could see them doing that. As you said, very unlikely, however. But, I am curious to what you think is more important as a sign of expected regression for a pitcher. Is it strictly age, or are innings on the arm more important? I asked that question about Boyd. I was hoping you and a few other knowledgeable posters could answer that. Should the Cubs be concerned moving past this year with Boyd because he is 34, or should they see he has throw a little over 1,000 innings in his career, which is more like a guy 29-31. Is he any more likely to regress within the next 3+ years than a younger guy with the same innings on his arm?
  18. Rcal10
    No thank you to Az if it means losing either Horton or a top 5 prospect. Not for 2 rentals. I don’t like Severino, however, getting Miller does make some sense, since they can have him for several years. I am fine with one stop shopping and even losing a top prospect to do it, but for a top prospect they have to get at least one of the guys back who is not a rental.
  19. Rcal10
    I would say for Ryan or Gore I would be ok if Horton was in play. If he isn’t, I am pretty sure Wiggins would be. So they would be losing one young pitcher. Off the top of my head, those are the only 2 pitchers who have any realistic chance of being traded that I would consider putting Horton in a deal for.
  20. Rcal10
    So my question is does age matter with a pitcher or number of innings on his arm? Boyd is 34, but he has pitched similar innings to guys 29-31. Is he any more likely to decline during the next 3 years as those guys?🤷 I am not talking injuries. Be used to me any pitcher could get hurt. I am talking pure ability to get guys out when healthy. Will he lose it faster than the others because of his age, or since innings are similar so they all have the same chance at regression. Is there some magic number like 1600 innings or magic age like after 35 where regression should be expected?
  21. Rcal10
    Ther only realistic if you agree on his rankings. If Wiggins and Rojas are 55 grade the trade is a huge overpay. If the Marlins expect Alcantara to have a higher war next year and in 27, the package isn’t enough. Sure, this could be a way for two teams to evaluate what value they are getting versus what they are giving, but only works if each team agrees on the values.
  22. Rcal10
    I liked it for an all star exhibition. I would not like it to end tie games. And if it did, IMO baseball would have to find a way of giving a win in 9 innings more important that a win via a home run derby. I doubt they even do this in the regular season anyway.
  23. Rcal10
    That being the case, Cubs should consider a deal if him and Castro for one top 5 guy and another maybe 8-12 range.
  24. Rcal10
    He is very good. I just hate to lose a top 5 prospect for a pen arm. Hate it even more if we also add Long. I would rather get a starting pitcher we can control thru 2027. But as someone pointed out, Jax may be a starting pitcher option. If the Cubs really think he is that, maybe they do have to add a top 5 in their system. But, for me, only if he is in the rotation next year.
  25. Rcal10
    I can see this. 2027 becomes a guarantee at $17M. But maybe, if they had to, they add ‘28 with a team option of $3M buy out or $17M yearly. Same end result as Bertz, most likely, but allows the Cubs to have another year if Boyd finds the fountain of youth, as Morton did late in his career.
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