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Rcal10

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Everything posted by Rcal10

  1. But even if they are not they are still playing .500+ ball. With 50 games to go that gives them 26-24 to finish the season. That is still 91 wins. And we all agree they are playing poorly now. 91 is a playoff team. Not a division winner, but a team in the playoffs. As I said, just worry about the Cubs.
  2. I really think we all should just stop worrying about the Brewers. They are going to do what they do. We just need the Cubs to play better ball. What is strange about this is that even playing poorly for 2 months they are 27-25 or something like that. Never really long winning or losing streak. Because of a good start, even playing to that pace the rest of the year will get them in the playoffs. Probably won’t win the division, but still in the playoffs. And still a 90-92 win team. Which I am pretty sure we would have all been happy with at the start of the season. The problem is that now they have to have Boyd and Horton pitch all year. If they can I still think our top 3 pitchers (Horton being one of them) can compete with any other teams. The issue is, I don’t know how Boyd and Horton can hold all season. I think if the Cubs are several games up in the WC and only a few out of the division lead late in the season, you still might see Boyd and Horton skipped or pushed back to lessen their load. I think the Cubs might need to start focusing on who can pitch in the playoffs rather than worry about winning the division. They need to thread the needle between health of their pitchers and winning enough games to make the playoffs.
  3. This is by far the most frustrating game of the year. Yes, Cubs didn’t but. Should score 5 innings against this reds team. But tbf 2 runs the a reds got were complete horsefeathers. Should have won 2-1 and be complaining they can’t hit.
  4. So much a Ben Brown inning. He can’t catch a break. He did well to keep his composure.
  5. Any chance the trade can be voided if the Nationals gave us damaged goods? Doesn’t help now, but we get the prospects back.
  6. True. But I think it is a blister. So no long term issue. Never want that. But I do like him out of this one. Besides now having a better chance tonight, this has to tax the Reds pen for the rest of the series.
  7. Soroka is going to have to be good today. I don’t see the Cubs getting more than 3 runs today. Lodoka is tough.
  8. Not sure if wind shifts to blowing in at night in Chicago. I haven’t seen anything that backs that up. But maybe🤷 However, that wouldn’t explain all the day games the Cubs have played, including each Orioles game, with the wind blowing in.
  9. I read it too. And if they stick to a 5 man rotation the Cubs will miss him. But they have an off day before the Cubs series. Skenes goes Tuesday. If they stay in a 5 man rotation he won’t go Aunday. But if they keep him on normal rest he could start.
  10. I am also not convinced we will miss Skenes. Right now he pitches the Tuesday before they play the Cubs over the weekend if the 15th. The 5th day would be the 17th. Pirates do have a day off so theoretically Skenes would not pitch that day, the guy before him would. But they have 2 pitchers in their current rotation they can easily skip. So I am not convinced Skenes won’t pitch on the 17th.
  11. Cubs offered more money NOW to Scott and he chose the Dodgers. The deferred money he took actually make the Dodgers offer a lesser value than the Cubs. So with him, yes, they gave an honest solid offer. I mentioned before, with all offers being unique some players will like one over the other. In the case with Scott 4/$66 no deferred money would have actually been considered a better value for Scott than the Dodgers winning offer of 4/$72 but with a lot of it deferred.
  12. I think it is not realistic to not worry about LA nor NY. I know their payrolls are high, but they always find a way around it. Yes, Boston could be in on this too. But to me, the Cubs have a fair chance as long as they are competitive. And I think they will be.
  13. I’m not wish-casting. I was answering the post about the Cubs expecting a home town discount. I am saying that isn’t happening. That the best they can hope for is him loving it here. That is all Jed can possibly hope for. I did not say he will do that. In my post I even said”I am not saying this will happen”, meaning I was only suggesting what I said was the most the Cubs could hope for, not an actual discount. If you are suggesting he will leave to LA or NY because they made a crazy offer, I agree he will go then. But I think Jed is hoping if he loves it at Wrigley and the offers are comparable he will stay here. Again, this is what I believe the FO is hoping for, as opposed to an actual “discount”. I have no clue or have any actual expectation as to how it turns out. I just think they will be aggressive and getting him here this year can only help, if they are in the same ballpark. He isn’t coming on a discount!!!
  14. I know you are joking. But really we all should stop worrying about what the Brewers are doing. Just want the Cubs to play well. If the Cubs go 14-6 and take 3 of 5 from the Brewers during that span, they will be fine. If the Brewers keep winning then they are just better. Cubs can only worry about them when they play them. Win 30 of the next 51 and 3 of 5 against Milwaukee and I will take my chances with 95 wins.
  15. I don’t think they were banking on a hometown discount. But I am fairly certain they did want him here to experience Wrigley. At the very least love it here so he considers their offer in a favorable manner. With the way teams do deferrals, opt outs, signing bonuses and whatever else they can do to structure a contract there may be multiple offers where one person feels one offer is best while another person likes the other deal. So having a player enjoying where he is playing can slant him towards that teams deal. Or maybe even have him allow the Cubs last option. I am not saying that will happen. I am suggesting the Cubs might be hoping loving here does allow them the last chance to match. There isn’t going to be some actual discount. That doesn’t happen.
  16. I agree he should have bunted. But not sure with 2 strikes.
  17. Up until his last 3 starts before he went on the IL, he had started 14 games of which 10 were quality starts. 2 others he went only 5 and 5.1 innings. But gave up 1 run in one game and 2 runs in another. Last year he had a solid season. He did struggle his first year here. But I would say 10 of 14 QS is pretty much what is expected from a MOR starter. He isn’t great. No one will suggest that. But a healthy Taillon would help this team.
  18. I didn’t make up Castro’s batting average. I am sure the Cubs coaches have a pretty good idea of who is fielding the ball and who is making the relay. If they. Relieve the chance of a guy scoring is better than the chance the guy gets a hit while coming up next, the send makes sense. Period. Unfortunately even if the odds of a guy scoring is only 35-40% that means he is more likely out at the plate. And we get people complaining. But what is the other option? Let the next guy bat and have him make an out, like even good hitters do 70% of the time? It’s just math staffs should know the math. And they definitely know it more than you and I do.
  19. Bad results from a good process doesn’t make it a wrong decision either. What is Castro batting average? 250? So maybe add a little more to factor in other ways the runner can score with Castro up. So maybe 30% chance. So if the 3rd base coach thinks the odds of scoring on that play are greater than 30% he send the runner. Unfortunately what happens is 50-60% of the time the guy gets thrown thrown out and the complains come. 40% chance of scoring is better than a 30% chance of scoring, therefore the process of sending a guy is correct.
  20. Yep, fastest snail. Well said. Nothing to brag about, for sure.
  21. You mean they shouldn’t have sent Kelly because he is slow. Interesting. Friday the guy who scored on the shallow sac fly was Kelly. He is slow. If you have a better chance to score the run then the next runner does to get a hit the right play is to send. Unfortunately that means a guy gets thrown out 50-60% of the time and we have these discussions.
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