Why are you discounting the Reds? Cubs lose the tie breaker to them, just like the Marlins. Also, Reds schedule is much easier than the Marlins. Honestly, I am very confident the Cubs will get in. But if the remaining teams I think the Reds have the best chance of being that last WC team. I think the Braves, dodgers, Cubs, brewers and Phillies are all in. Those other teams are playing for #6.