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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Jordan Wicks has a 3.30 ERA with peripherals to match in a league where the league average is ~4.80. He's totally going to get moved somewhere where he has some actual runway to fail at the MLB level and make us regret it.
  2. Ke'Bryan Hayes getting fixed the instant he left town is pretty telling to me. Especially since it was the Reds who aren't some genius team (though certainly not dumb either). I don't know if it's their coaching staff, their technology (lack thereof?), or just the fact that any individual who goes there has essentially zero lineup protection, but there's something systemic going on.
  3. Man if Pitt could hit at all they'd be scary. I would say they should do a pitcher for hitter challenge trade this winter, but god knows they're never going to do anything that bold. They'll sign like Rhys Hoskins and Cedric Mullins and call it a winter.
  4. Awesome With wins and losses not meaning a ton over these last two weeks I wouldn't hate a bit of trial by fire to stress test how much we can count on Soroka, Hodge, and Brown for meaningful October innings.
  5. Willi Castro has really gotten going. His first few weeks here were abysmal, but if you go back to the start of the Brewers series he's been solid and if you just look at September he's been great.
  6. This caught me by surprise too. He was really good against them last year: .302/.356/.408. My hope/guess is that the veteran lefty relievers hanging out at AAA are eating him alive due to his inexperience, and that he'll get better quickly. But yeah in the short term he's a pure platoon bat.
  7. Feels like this is a good example. The Cubs had 1st and 3rd with none out, and the rest of the inning played out in a way where the runner at 1st wouldn't have scored even if he'd been at 2nd. So by your count there've been about a half dozen of these, how many would have resulted in an extra run? One or two? It feels like for someone who really doesn't like the manager you're picking some fairly small nits to criticize.
  8. Kittredge has been a monster. I don't have a good way to sort for this but of relievers moved at the deadline it looks like really only Duran and Mason Miller have been better?
  9. How many times?
  10. The Cubs are 3rd in the league in steals and among teams in the top 10 have the second best success rate. They are a very good and high volume baserunning team.
  11. I actually like this one. Sam Miller did an amazing article on this last year https://pebblehunting.substack.com/p/first-and-third-at-the-highest-level tl;dr is a lot of teams won't even throw through because they're worried about the steal of home. It's damn near an automatic base.
  12. These are all pretty small potatoes, aren't they? Like even if they worked (I don't think they would, but we'll set that aside), they move the needle on like one or two games?
  13. What specifically do you wish Craig would do differently?
  14. Craig's really great. Fans are silly and and can't remember anything before yesterday and certainly don't think ahead. Craig does a good job of balancing long and short term interests. I'd like him to use the bench a little more, even knowing how bad it has been for much of the year, but that's about the only thing I'd quibble with. I am somewhat perversely enjoying the Craig hate to be honest. You could see this coming from a mile away. The stuff that fans really hated about Ross was very much *not* what Craig was going to do differently. Anyone paying attention could have told you that, but well here we are.
  15. Luke Little's fastball velo is flat with his YTD mark while his slider is up about an MPH. So if the gun was hot for Wiggins it wasn't crazy hot
  16. Holy horsefeathers. He was sitting 99 basically up until the end too Probably good to keep an eye on the other pitchers tonight to make sure it's not a calibration thing
  17. I believe it goes by seeding until you get to the WS, and then it's whichever team had a better record. Not positive though.
  18. If the Cubs limp into the playoffs, going 5-10 over these last 15, then: - The Padres must go 9-5 or the Mets 15-0 for the Cubs to not host the wildcard round - The Giants must go 14-2 or the Reds 15-0 for the Cubs to miss the playoffs entirely
  19. I missed us signing Joe Ross, interesting Also I'm really intrigued by Austin Gomber and would love to keep him over the winter. He's going to be a minor league free agent I believe, so it won't take much to hold onto him. Probably not even a 40 man spot?
  20. Wow Mets are down 6 in the bottom of the 1st, and deGrom is going for the Rangers. Odds are at least one of the Giants/Reds win tonight and Mets only have a half game lead on a playoff spot
  21. Boyd's getting a lot less chase over the last month or so than he was getting prior. Pretty much everything else such as velo, contact rate, in-zone rate, first strike rate, etc. is flat. Hell even his pitch type usage is more or less the same. My guess is it's a gameplanning thing. We're now a little over a year into Matt Boyd 2.0, he's probably just gotten a little predictable and needs to change things up.
  22. Nice game. "Chris Morel gets a big hit and the Cubs still win somewhat comfortably" is bordering on best case scenario.
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