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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    One of Assad/Wesneski and one of Canario/Mervis/Wisdom feels right. I could maybe have my arm twisted to make Ben Brown the arm.
  2. Bertz
    Curious if this shakes Pete Alonso loose. The Mets aren't that bad on the position player side and Stearns can obviously cobble together a pitching staff. But all their actions and most of their messaging has been that Yamamoto aside they are looking ahead to 2025. On the other hand it's been really quiet on the Alonso front since basically the moment Stearns took over. I'm mostly resigning myself to not pulling down a truly exciting bat, but Alonso is out there and unlike Bregman it's not a huge stretch to think he's available.
  3. Bertz
    I really wish Wisdom’s ability to competently play 3B hadn't evaporated overnight because like you say offensively they complement each other extremely well. That'd be a fun little platoon to run out there while we wait for Shaw/Murray/etc. to develop
  4. Bertz
    I think we've talked about the pitching musical chairs, but let's actually lay it out. Teams that definitely want another SP of substance and have money/prospects to throw around: Giants, Cubs, Red Sox, Yankees Teams that want SP help, but TBD what kind of resources they are willing to throw around: Rangers, Blue Jays (definitely going to make a big move, seem to prefer that be a bat), Angels, Mariners (after a SP for bat trade?), Reds, Orioles So then what's available? The lefty FA #2 starters: Imanaga, Montgomery, Snell The "it wasn't that long ago he was an impact guy" guys: Stroman, Giolito The "definitely going to be traded" crew: Bieber, Cease The "there have been some rumblings" crew: Framber Valdez, Jesus Luzardo, Corbin Burnes, several Mariners So overall things are a bit tight, but it shouldn't be that hard for Jed to pull down at least one potentially two of the above. There are four teams that are very in on the SP market, and between Cease and the three lefties four impact guys definitely available. I think where things get dicey is if none of that last group of pitchers is reasonably available or if more than one or two of those second tier teams do in fact go big game hunting.
  5. Bertz
    Market based pricing and the partnership with stubhub removed a lot of the incentives to lock in those ticket packages
  6. Bertz
    There's an argument that over the next ten years as RSN contracts expire and cord cutting hits its end game that most of MLB's revenue will be national. With more of an NFL-shaped revenue setup an NFL-shaped cap and floor system might make sense. But like that's certainly not what's being argued here.
  7. Bertz
  8. Bertz
    It's not, this is 100 level economics.
  9. Bertz
    Rob Manfred worrying about the second biggest market in the sport getting good fun marketable players while simultaneously giving a nation of 125M a reason to start tuning into all their games Baseball's boned!
  10. Bertz
    Hopefully this dislodges things. Then again there's no real reason the bats shouldn't have been moving by now so who knows. Baseball executives will do absolutely anything possible to put off making moves. That's why for instance making the trade deadline later is easily the dumbest thing I regularly see otherwise smart people suggest. So we should start seeing movement. But between the holidays and the next Diamond hearing and the arb deadline Baseball has three ready-made excuses lined up for the next three weeks. Imanaga’s posting deadline and accompanying logistics (I assume he's currentlt stateside but would like to get home by New Year's?) will keep his market moving at the very least.
  11. Bertz
  12. Bertz
    Yeah the NL Champs had Tommy Pham hitting cleanup for them and their #3 starter had a 5.72 ERA. I don't understand how people still don't understand how random the baseball playoffs are
  13. Bertz
  14. Bertz
    The meltdowns this is going to cause are going to be pretty great
  15. Bertz
    Yeah that's fair. Dodgers especially might be more "if not Yamamoto then Cease" than "Yamamoto or bust". It'd be cool if we knew that Jesus Luzardo and/or Framber Valdez are definitely available. That'd give enough chairs for everybody to end up with one unless the Angels truly plan to pull down Snell.
  16. Bertz
    We know, you mention this every time they're brought up.
  17. Bertz
    As gross as it is, we should all be rooting for the Yankees. The Mets, and increasingly it sounds like the Dodgers also, are not planning on going big game hunting at SP if they miss on Yamamoto.
  18. Bertz
    I believe Theo confirmed pretty emphatically that they viewed the day games as a disadvantage on a baseball level. I think keeping the Friday/Saturday day games and otherwise operating as other franchises do (i.e. Sundays and getaway days) is probably the sweet spot.
  19. Bertz
    Would hopefully imply he's close-ish to signing somewhere (by Christmas?), and mercifully open up the rest of the market
  20. Bertz
    I think extremely highly of Tommy Hottovy, but I'm definitely starting to notice a pattern with the SP they bring in of really slow starts. Taillon, Stroman, even going back to Darvish all of these guys were a mess for their first half a season before getting things back on track. The Cubs' system seems to let them work pretty on the fly with relievers but there seem to be some initial growing pains with starters and as we look to be more competitive they'll have to shorten that timeframe.
  21. Bertz
    I think talent/production wise they all look pretty similar. I want Imanaga the most, I love watching changeup/splitter guys, but clearly there's a little more risk than with the other two since he hasn't pitched stateside.
  22. Bertz
    Probably not? He's likely looking at Taillon money, and I think that puts him in a weird middle area the Cubs likely won't be shopping in. It seems like they are going to look at the guys a tier up from that (Montgomery/Imanaga/Snell) and/or guys who can be had on one year deals (Bieber via trade, maybe someone like James Paxton or Sean Manaea in FA?). With their cadre of young pitching, the Cubs are in a position to bring in legitimate impact or short term guys who won't block anyone. I think from what Jed and Carter have said in between will largely be off the table.
  23. Bertz
    That's a really good article. Nice find. I think what I saw from a Cleveland specific writer last week when that court date got pushed, and is backed up by this from ESPN, is that things are actually looking pretty decent for 2024. Diamond's going to pay most of their rights for 2024 and then dissolve. So it's afterwards where there's massive uncertainty. For us hoping to pick all the fat off of Cleveland's roster it probably doesn't change much, since Bieber is only on a one year deal and Naylor doesn't have guaranteed money for '25. It's more for anyone hoping that e.g. the Rangers or Angels keep away from Jordan Montgomery that it might be a very big deal.
  24. Bertz
  25. Bertz
    Their leaderboards have a ton of stuff, which is great that it's available but can make things hard to find Leaders -> Pitching -> The year you want At the very top is a bunch of filters: Starter/Reliever, lefty righty, etc. Between that and the actual list of players you'll see a smaller box, and that has tabs for "Stats" (normal stuff you'd look up) "Pitch Level Data" (velocity, chase rate, etc.) and "Pitch Modeling". Stuff+ lives in that pitch modeling section. It's a bit silly how tucked away it is. Feels a bit like Dennis Duffy's coffee vending machine.
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