That's strange that Milwaukee, after their mediocre start is still favored to finish better than the Bulls. Obviously Boozer coming back should change that a bit, but the Bulls have the better record, a better point differential, and I think have played a harder schedule. BTW, I do tend to side a little bit more with what you are saying. And it is extremely interesting to see Miami still far and away the best team in these predictor models. Is this only based on this years performance, or do past numbers have an affect on it? It certainly makes sense because like you said a 20 point win and a 2 point loss do not cancel each other out. Think about it this way, if the Heat are 20 points better than the teams like Philly and NJ than they crushed, and so far have been 2-5 points worse than the Boston, Utah, NO's of the NBA, and everyone likely admits that the Heat will improve to some degree over time, how much longer until those 2 point losses become 5 point wins?