I would be hesitant for two reasons. Tampa/Atlanta are division opponents and you are taking the over with both, despite the presence of a still dangerous New Orleans in their division and a potentially interesting Carolina. You are also putting a lot of faith in Detroit, who has won 9 games once in the last 350 years. I think you have to count on one of the Bears and Vikings to take a nosedive to make that bet, but you are also betting on GB taking a step back.