I had Alabama as one of those teams that inexplicably was considered a lock, despite playing nobody in the non-conference season. They had 3 good home victories against Florida, LSU, and Tennessee, but just one decent road victory (Kentucky), and a bad home loss to Ole Miss, and finished 17-12 overall. Plus they looked horrible in their conference quarters against Kentucky. If we've learned nothing else, don't judge anyone by their conference tournament showing (BC, Cuse, Bama, Iowa...)