CubinNY
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Everything posted by CubinNY
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Another losing year.
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Jackson is some kind of athlete
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What about Crawford as a stopgap 3rd baseman?
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I’m going to call them the Discount Dodgers until further notice. they have aspirations but not the gravity.
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This is why I like Horton (Horton quote from The Athletic article on Busch, PCA, and Horton)) “I like things being simple,” Horton said. “The best feedback I’ll get is from a hitter and how they react. There’s all this data, but if it’s not in the strike zone, then it’s not going to play. Guys aren’t going to swing — it doesn’t matter how gross it is. So it’s just going out there and taking it one pitch at a time.”
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I will, It was the bullpen.
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Brett has a note that says the Angels are talking to Boras about Bellinger. Might be a plant, but if any org is going to overextend itself for a player like Bellinger, it's the Angels.
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that's really the point of pointing this out. I think the bullpen was poorly managed by Ross, but there is a chicken/egg thing going on. The genesis of this line of argument was that the pen wasn't the reason why the Cubs didn't make the playoffs. Maybe not THE reason, but the most important reason.
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Whataboutism applies to baseball too.
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The Cubs ranked 14 out of 30.
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lol the Cubs lost over 30 games that they had the lead in when the pen was pitching.
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Mervis is in a really tough situation. He's not going to get a shot unless injuries happen and he's performing at a high level in AAA. He's about to become a career minor leaguer. The best thing for him would be to be released or traded, but he still has relative value for the Cubs who are unlikely to do that.
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Not a Cubs target but Joc close to signing with the D-Backs
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BA has the new dude, Cruz, as a top 15 prospect in the Cubs system. That is pretty lofty
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Trades. But I don't know if they fall into the realm of reality or wishcasting.
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you can't outpednatic Kyle.
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I don't understand, please explain?
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This will be like Dexter sneaking into Sloan Field on February 8th.
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I agree. It is an interesting issue though.
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If the Cubs come away from the offseason with essentially the same team on paper and win more games, how much credit do you give the manager? How much is variance? Because it looks like that is what they intend to do.
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Article: Coming Round Right with Owen Caissie
CubinNY replied to Matthew Trueblood's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Given the level of play in AAA with rehabbing, and AAAA career guys, I expect Owen to have some adjustment to do, but he's going to play well. He has so much K in his game though, he has to get those down. -
At least on paper. I think they are banking on marginal improvement from the younger guys. I get the feeling that the Cubs think that they have a good (best?) offer for Bellinger and he's going to sign. But, Bellinger solves some problems and potentially creates others. I like their starting pitching. Obviously, defense will be good, but the offense and bullpen are still huge question marks
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You are making a false argument. No one said data is actually kinda worthless. But that's just me. I think most people agree the best predictor of future performance is past performance. Data help people to quantify what that means. However, there is error in measurement, so one has to use reasoning skills in their interpretation. The debate on Bellinger for example is that he's losing power. This may be true, but he's also changed his approach. Some people look at the changed approach and think that is important, others don't. Still other note that CF/1st isn't a position of need or that the Cubs have minor leaguers who could play those positions and it's not worth the dollars to sign him. In all those cases there is interpretations being made. That's why I said everything is relative and context is important. That for some reason you thought was worthy of ridicule.
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lol, you are horsefeathers troll. I was responding to the dude who thinks we've cracked the code. Data are data. The information upon which a decision is made is interpreted and not free of subjective determinations based on "gut" feeling. For example, saying Bellinger is a 120 OPS player and PCA is an 88 OPS player is not based in reality either, because it's projection. Is it better than a cold guess? Sure. How much? we don't know. The thing about ZIPS is that in aggregate, the information on team performance is pretty good. The prediction of individual performance is not that good, but over and underestimations are normalized acrosss the individuals, for the most part.
