NFL Playoffs: Wildcard Round

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

 

It’s just that we’ve seen actual good GB teams and this one doesn’t match up to those, really in any way except Rodgers. They scrapped by with a lot of riff raff which is cool, but this game was what they really were when matched up against quality.

 

I’ll admit some jealousy because the Bears NEVER turn horsefeathers to gold like GB, but I’ve watched enough football and so have you. This wasn’t a good team. That’s not an insult, just being real.

This was about a 10-6/11-5 team. It was Rodgers and an ok OL and an above average defence, and nothing more. I think they'll be just as good next year. If they strike gold with a WR draft pick and some other complimentary D piece, I think they are better next year.

 

Above average defense? What was above average about it?

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2019/opp.htm

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

Something fun to think about the Packers have had around a top 5, at least, in the league QB for almost 30 years now and have been to 3 Super Bowls winning 2. They really should have been the NFC Patriots.

[We Got The Whole 9]

FWIW Football Outsiders has tracked DVOA since 1999 and this Packers team had the 2nd lowest grade among 13 win teams since the Mike Brown miracles Bears of 2001

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

FWIW Football Outsiders has tracked DVOA since 1999 and this Packers team had the 2nd lowest grade among 13 win teams since the Mike Brown miracles Bears of 2001

...how about out of 8-8 teams?

[Brian707]

Chiefs open -1.5 favorite. 53.5 o/u

[Soul]

Chiefs open -1.5 favorite. 53.5 o/u

 

I really like the matchup. Lots of possibilities. Good teams that thrive in different ways.

[minnesotacubsfan]

FWIW Football Outsiders has tracked DVOA since 1999 and this Packers team had the 2nd lowest grade among 13 win teams since the Mike Brown miracles Bears of 2001

...how about out of 8-8 teams?

 

 

probably dead center of all 8-8 teams, because that's what they were

[NOLA]

Chiefs open -1.5 favorite. 53.5 o/u

I'll take Chiefs and the over.

[biittner77]

Chiefs open -1.5 favorite. 53.5 o/u

I'll take Chiefs and the over.

 

I think a final score in the 27-20 range is a pretty realistic. SF will try to keep the game low scoring by running the ball 40 times. I'm not sure that will be a winning formula but it will limit KCs chances. I think KC will score but they aren't going to put up 30+ against SF's defense. SF's offense looked good against the Packers but they were a mirage. I don't see them putting 30+ against KC. I like the under.

[WrigleyField 22]

Chiefs open -1.5 favorite. 53.5 o/u

I'll take Chiefs and the over.

 

I think a final score in the 27-20 range is a pretty realistic. SF will try to keep the game low scoring by running the ball 40 times. I'm not sure that will be a winning formula but it will limit KCs chances. I think KC will score but they aren't going to put up 30+ against SF's defense. SF's offense looked good against the Packers but they were a mirage. I don't see them putting 30+ against KC. I like the under.

I'm sure Tenn planned to run the ball 40 times too. Doubt SF is going to go in without a balanced attack ready. If they're picking up 10 yards a carry again he won't abandon it, but that's not the game plan.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

I'll take Chiefs and the over.

 

I think a final score in the 27-20 range is a pretty realistic. SF will try to keep the game low scoring by running the ball 40 times. I'm not sure that will be a winning formula but it will limit KCs chances. I think KC will score but they aren't going to put up 30+ against SF's defense. SF's offense looked good against the Packers but they were a mirage. I don't see them putting 30+ against KC. I like the under.

I'm sure Tenn planned to run the ball 40 times too. Doubt SF is going to go in without a balanced attack ready. If they're picking up 10 yards a carry again he won't abandon it, but that's not the game plan.

So the game plan is to be balanced, unless just running the ball works, but if it doesn't, don't?

[WrigleyField 22]

 

I think a final score in the 27-20 range is a pretty realistic. SF will try to keep the game low scoring by running the ball 40 times. I'm not sure that will be a winning formula but it will limit KCs chances. I think KC will score but they aren't going to put up 30+ against SF's defense. SF's offense looked good against the Packers but they were a mirage. I don't see them putting 30+ against KC. I like the under.

I'm sure Tenn planned to run the ball 40 times too. Doubt SF is going to go in without a balanced attack ready. If they're picking up 10 yards a carry again he won't abandon it, but that's not the game plan.

So the game plan is to be balanced, unless just running the ball works, but if it doesn't, don't?

Yes, he will abandon his game plan if they're getting 4+ easy yards on every run.

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

I'm sure Tenn planned to run the ball 40 times too. Doubt SF is going to go in without a balanced attack ready. If they're picking up 10 yards a carry again he won't abandon it, but that's not the game plan.

So the game plan is to be balanced, unless just running the ball works, but if it doesn't, don't?

Yes, he will abandon his game plan if they're getting 4+ easy yards on every run.

Heh. My point was, you could just as easily say "they want to run the ball 5 yards a play, and switch to balance if it's not working." I don't consider just doing what's presently working a "plan."

[WrigleyField 22]

So the game plan is to be balanced, unless just running the ball works, but if it doesn't, don't?

Yes, he will abandon his game plan if they're getting 4+ easy yards on every run.

Heh. My point was, you could just as easily say "they want to run the ball 5 yards a play, and switch to balance if it's not working." I don't consider just doing what's presently working a "plan."

Okay?

 

Bottom line, they're not going to "try and run the ball 40 times".

[JudasIscariotTheBird]

Yes, he will abandon his game plan if they're getting 4+ easy yards on every run.

Heh. My point was, you could just as easily say "they want to run the ball 5 yards a play, and switch to balance if it's not working." I don't consider just doing what's presently working a "plan."

Okay?

 

Bottom line, they're not going to "try and run the ball 40 times".

...unless it works? They are going to go run heavy unless they get down big. I think that's obvious.

[soccer10k]

Heard today that before Mahomes, the Chiefs hadn’t won a game started by a QB they drafted since Todd Blackledge in 1987. That’s not just playoffs. That’s regular season also. That’s nuts.

 

Of course, it makes a little more sense when you find out that between Blackledge and Mahomes, they picked 11 QBs but didn’t pick any in the first round and only two in the second round.

[minnesotacubsfan]

Heard today that before Mahomes, the Chiefs hadn’t won a game started by a QB they drafted since Todd Blackledge in 1987. That’s not just playoffs. That’s regular season also. That’s nuts.

 

Of course, it makes a little more sense when you find out that between Blackledge and Mahomes, they picked 11 QBs but didn’t pick any in the first round and only two in the second round.

 

no, that doesn't make much sense either. 30 years w/o a 1st rd QB pick is crazy all by itself

[NonProfitCow]

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[JudasIscariotTheBird]