NCAA Mock Tourney Selection 2012

[bukie]

Saint Mary's doesn't need an at-large bid, as they take the WCC title.

 

Davidson/Western Carolina is now in double OT.

[bukie]

Davidson finally puts away the auto bid for the Southern Conference in two overtimes. I'll update the first post with the running auto-bid total tomorrow.

[bukie]

Auto Bids (31):

ACC: (UNC)

America East: (Stony Brook)

Atlantic 10: (Temple)

Atlantic Sun: Belmont

Big 12: (Kansas)

Big East: (Syracuse)

Big Sky: (Montana)

Big South: UNC Asheville

Big Ten: (Ohio State)

Big West: (Long Beach State)

Colonial: VCU

Conference USA: (Memphis)

Horizon: (Valparaiso)

Ivy: (Harvard)

MAAC: Loyola MD

MAC: (Ohio)

MEAC: (Savannah State)

MVC: Creighton

MWC: (New Mexico)

NEC: (Long Island)

OVC: Murray State

Pac-12: (LOL)

Patriot: (Bucknell)

SEC: (Kentucky)

Southern: Davidson

Southland: (UT Arlington)

Summit: (South Dakota State)

SWAC: (Mississippi Valley State)

WAC: (New Mexico State)

WCC: Saint Mary's

 

8 bids accounted for, another 3 or 4 tonight (pending the result of the Princeton/Penn game).

[bukie]

I was just putting together my lists, and man, the water gets muddy after the top 8 or so, and after 30 or so at-large locks.

[Andy]

I was just putting together my lists, and man, the water gets muddy after the top 8 or so, and after 30 or so at-large locks.

I ended up with 32 at-large locks and absolutely nobody else I felt deserved to get in at all. Conference tournament week may reveal more than usual this year.

[Vanilla Ice]

I was just putting together my lists, and man, the water gets muddy after the top 8 or so, and after 30 or so at-large locks.

I ended up with 32 at-large locks and absolutely nobody else I felt deserved to get in at all. Conference tournament week may reveal more than usual this year.

I ended up with 32 at-large locks and then about 5 other teams that I think deserve to and will get in. After that, I have no idea.

[bukie]

I admit, I'm kind of hoping USC wins the Pac-12 tourney. They'll get a semi-home bump, and nobody in the conference is unbeatable.

 

That could earn the Pac-12 champ a 15 seed or something.

[bukie]

Rank the teams blindly!

 

TEAM   RPI     SOS    NC SOS  R/N    TOP 25  TOP 50   TOP 100  L100+  L200+
A      17      60     38      9-7    2-2     3-2      9-4      3      0    
B      45      8      52      7-7    1-8     1-10     5-12     0      0    
C      49      87     111     7-5    0-0     0-5      5-7      1      0    
D      21      5      26      5-9    1-3     3-5      8-9      1      0    
E      33      2      11      5-8    1-4     5-6      9-10     2      0    
F      67      251    231     14-6   0-0     1-2      4-3      3      0    
G      50      19     91      4-9    1-7     3-9      4-10     2      0    
H      47      104    63      12-5   1-6     3-6      5-6      2      0    
I      44      29     58      5-10   0-5     1-9      6-9      3      0    
J      54      51     57      6-8    0-3     2-6      6-10     1      1    
K      55      22     17      7-5    0-5     1-8      5-9      2      0    
L      75      40     169     3-10   0-5     4-7      7-9      4      0    

Edited March 6, 2012 by bukie

[SouthSideRyan]

NT Edited March 6, 2012 by SouthSideRyan

[bukie]

Technically, I should break out top 25 records and differentiate 100+ losses from 200+ losses. I'll get to that eventually.

[SouthSideRyan]

A

E

D

H

J

L

B

F

C

K

G

I

Edited March 6, 2012 by SouthSideRyan

[bukie]

And now I added top 25 records and 200+ losses (there was only one overall, but several of them lost to teams in the 190s). Which I'm sure skews the data even more.

[bukie]

I'd probably go A-H-E-D-B-F-G-K-J-I-L-C

[Vanilla Ice]

A

E

D

B

F

H

K

L

I

J

G

C

[SouthSideRyan]

After looking at your rankings and looking at mine, and I can't figure out what I saw in C. I'd push K and G ahead of them.

[bukie]

Harvard about to send Princeton a nice fruit basket.

[SouthSideRyan]

Not sure what time you were planning on calculating, but I'm doing mine now, FYI

[bukie]

I'll do it at midnight CST. I'll list those "bubble" teams a little later too. I have half an idea to do this whole selection process blind without team names and simply nitty gritty info on each team (RPI, SOS, R/N, Top 25, Top 50, Top 100, L-100+, L-200+, Best W, Worst L), and just list each team name after they're placed in the S-Curve. Not sure how confusing it'd end up, though, with roughly 80 teams in the different groups.

[Vanilla Ice]

Another group of blind bubble teams

 

Team	RPI	SOS	NC SOS	R/N	Top 25	Top 50	Top 100	L100+	L200+
A	   68	 102  319      8-5        2-2     5-4    7-6      3         1
B	   77	 117	75	   7-7	     0-1     1-4	 5-9	    2	      1
C	   60	  48	129	  6-8	     1-2     4-7	 7-8	    3	      0
D	   37	  91	71	   6-7	     0-2     2-3	 7-6	    2	      0
E	   44	  13	35	   8-7	     1-3     4-7	 9-10      2	      0
F	   30	  96	186	  9-5	     0-1     0-2	 9-5	    2	      1
G	   42	  83	230	  9-5        1-5      2-5	 7-6	   2	      0
H	   53	  40	100	  5-8	     2-4     2-7	 3-10     1	      0
I	   53	  82	55	   6-7	     0-2     1-6	 4-8	    1	      0
J	   72	  63	90	   6-7	     1-1     3-2	 8-7	    4	      2
K	   65	  91	185	  5-8	     1-4     2-5	 3-6	    3	      0
L	   64	  66	188	  6-7	     0-2     3-4	 8-8	    2	      0

[bukie]

Two more hours...

 

Also, I'd probably go G-D-A-L-F-J-E-C-L-K-B-H

[SouthSideRyan]

Hope it's ok that I'm being inclusive to the point of annoyance

[bukie]

Nah, I've got 40 teams on my consideration list.

[SouthSideRyan]

Found 23 locks so far

[SouthSideRyan]

I swear to God, I almost put Murray State as the last 4 seed.

[bukie]

Western Kentucky (Sun Belt), Detroit (Horizon), South Dakota State (Summit) and Harvard (Ivy) earned auto bids tonight (which means they aren't going to show up on the at-large locks list or under consideration...because they're automatically in the field).