Cubs apparently sign Reed Johnson for some reason

[Guest]

You guys may have mocked my plan to quit my job and become a professional roulette player, but I've made a profit *two* days in a row. Once could have been a fluke, but twice? Who's laughing now?

 

Over his last five seasons (ages 31-35), he's a 2 WAR player per 600 plate appearances.

 

Getting a guy to put up a 0.4 WAR over 120 PA's (on average of course) is not so rare a value that you need to lock down a 35 year old without any real specialized skills in order to get that production. It's not going to give me a rage stroke, but it's a hangnail of a decision, annoying and pretty pointless.

[Warren Brusstar]

You guys may have mocked my plan to quit my job and become a professional roulette player, but I've made a profit *two* days in a row. Once could have been a fluke, but twice? Who's laughing now?

 

Over his last five seasons (ages 31-35), he's a 2 WAR player per 600 plate appearances.

 

Getting a guy to put up a 0.4 WAR over 120 PA's (on average of course) is not so rare a value that you need to lock down a 35 year old without any real specialized skills in order to get that production. It's not going to give me a rage stroke, but it's a hangnail of a decision, annoying and pretty pointless.

 

Lock down? It's a one year contract. For $1.0 million. This is hardly Aaron Miles, Part Two.

[Sammy Sofa]

That's still $1.15 million they didn't have to pay. Like TT said, it's just a pointless move; the Cubs are nowhere near the point they need to be paying for a player like him, plus he's unlikely to net you anything of real value in a trade, so why bother?

[Sammy Sofa]

And most of the "overreaction" is people like WSR making stupid jokes; most of the "anti-Johnson" posts (if you can even call it that) are very calmly stating why such a signing is a waste or simply questioning the point.

[Warren Brusstar]

That's still $1.15 million they didn't have to pay. Like TT said, it's just a pointless move; the Cubs are nowhere near the point they need to be paying for a player like him, plus he's unlikely to net you anything of real value in a trade, so why bother?

 

See also Maholm, Paul. Notably, there wasn't anywhere close to the same reaction as the Maholm signing even though we're paying him significantly more.

[Warren Brusstar]

And most of the "overreaction" is people like WSR making stupid jokes; most of the "anti-Johnson" posts (if you can even call it that) are very calmly stating why such a signing is a waste or simply questioning the point.

 

I'm talking about the posts from David and others suggesting that this OMG JIM HENDRY ALL OVER AGAIN.

[Guest]

That's still $1.15 million they didn't have to pay. Like TT said, it's just a pointless move; the Cubs are nowhere near the point they need to be paying for a player like him, plus he's unlikely to net you anything of real value in a trade, so why bother?

 

See also Maholm, Paul. Notably, there wasn't anywhere close to the same reaction as the Maholm signing even though we're paying him significantly more.

 

 

Because Maholm was a really good value and is a starting pitcher. Reed Johnson wasn't. What is hard to understand about this?

 

Spending any amount of money on 5th outfielders is stupid. We could've used Sappelt in that role. We could've used Campana in that role. It's not about how big of a mistake it is. It's about not making a mistake that didn't need to be made.

 

 

Great, his numbers look ok because he has faced mostly lefties and has had good BABIP luck. Sweet! Still a completely pointless signing.

[scarey]

That's still $1.15 million they didn't have to pay. Like TT said, it's just a pointless move; the Cubs are nowhere near the point they need to be paying for a player like him, plus he's unlikely to net you anything of real value in a trade, so why bother?

 

See also Maholm, Paul. Notably, there wasn't anywhere close to the same reaction as the Maholm signing even though we're paying him significantly more.

 

 

Because Maholm was a really good value and is a starting pitcher. Reed Johnson wasn't. What is hard to understand about this?

 

Spending any amount of money on 5th outfielders is stupid. We could've used Sappelt in that role. We could've used Campana in that role. It's not about how big of a mistake it is. It's about not making a mistake that didn't need to be made.

 

 

Great, his numbers look ok because he has faced mostly lefties and has had good BABIP luck. Sweet! Still a completely pointless signing.

 

I'm not sure why people continue to analyze various player's BABIP and make conclusions on luck without considering the line drive percentage. 26% lline drive percentage tells me there's a reason for his .385 BABIP, and it's certainly not all luck.

[Sammy Sofa]

That's still $1.15 million they didn't have to pay. Like TT said, it's just a pointless move; the Cubs are nowhere near the point they need to be paying for a player like him, plus he's unlikely to net you anything of real value in a trade, so why bother?

 

See also Maholm, Paul. Notably, there wasn't anywhere close to the same reaction as the Maholm signing even though we're paying him significantly more.

 

Because, as David said, he plays a more valuable position.

[Banedon]

I didn't know that Reed Johnson was doing so awesome to be worth bumping a 6 month old thread for an "I told you so". What are we getting for him at the trade deadline?

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I'm not sure why people continue to analyze various player's BABIP and make conclusions on luck without considering the line drive percentage. 26% lline drive percentage tells me there's a reason for his .385 BABIP, and it's certainly not all luck.

 

Because if Reed Johnson could sustain a 26% line drive percentage, he'd be a superstar on a $25 million/year contract.

 

.390 BABIPs don't get sustained no matter what the LD% is.

[Tracer Bullet]

I'm not sure why people continue to analyze various player's BABIP and make conclusions on luck without considering the line drive percentage. 26% lline drive percentage tells me there's a reason for his .385 BABIP, and it's certainly not all luck.

 

Because if Reed Johnson could sustain a 26% line drive percentage, he'd be a superstar on a $25 million/year contract.

 

.390 BABIPs don't get sustained no matter what the LD% is.

 

So he's been really good, albeit at an unsustainable level, for a couple months? That's not the same as "look at BABIP and immediately say he's been lucky" which has become all the rage.

[davell]

He'll get dealt and we'll get a guy that if we really work hard on it, we'll be able to convince ourselves fits in somewhere at the very back of our top 50 Cubs prospects lists.

[Hairyducked Idiot]

I'm not sure why people continue to analyze various player's BABIP and make conclusions on luck without considering the line drive percentage. 26% lline drive percentage tells me there's a reason for his .385 BABIP, and it's certainly not all luck.

 

Because if Reed Johnson could sustain a 26% line drive percentage, he'd be a superstar on a $25 million/year contract.

 

.390 BABIPs don't get sustained no matter what the LD% is.

 

So he's been really good, albeit at an unsustainable level, for a couple months? That's not the same as "look at BABIP and immediately say he's been lucky" which has become all the rage.

 

Meh. I'm not really interested in the philosophical discussion of which kinds of positive variance are "lucky" and which ones aren't.

 

Going forward, Reed Johnson doesn't project to be a 2 WAR, .390 BABIP or 26 LD% player, and that's the part that I care about.

[hawkeyecub]

Holy [expletive] this is an annoying argument.

[sneakypower]

he's always hit lefties well, and he was signed to hit lefties well, and this season so far he's hit lefties well; also, everybody go take a quick gander at DeJesus' splits

[17 Seconds]

this is where david changes his mind and agrees with sneakypower

[Guest]

this is where david changes his mind and agrees with sneakypower

 

Ummmm, yea......no.

 

Also, what the [expletive]?

[Sammy Sofa]

dexter has some weird notes or something.

 

I mean, WEIRD NOTES.

[KingCubsFan]

He'll get dealt and we'll get a guy that if we really work hard on it, we'll be able to convince ourselves fits in somewhere at the very back of our top 50 Cubs prospects lists.

On that note, I looked up Abner Abreu and had no idea he had been released.

[jumbo]

Holy [expletive] this is an annoying argument.

 

Indeed. I can't believe it was brought back to life and hung on this long again

[17 Seconds]

i know at least a couple people will get the joke.

 

dexter has some weird notes or something.

 

I mean, WEIRD NOTES.

 

you're like a slightly more evolved version of wsr

[Sammy Sofa]

OK, meph jr..

[17 Seconds]

i miss meph. i wonder if he's still alive.

[Guest]

dexter has some weird notes or something.

 

I mean, WEIRD NOTES.

 

Seriously. If there's anyone on here who would cause me to flip flop like that, it'd be TT.