09/14 Milwaukee (Suppan) @ CUBS (Dempster) 7:05 CDT, CSN TV

[SouthSideRyan]

Cardinals winning again.

 

We're not catching them, so isn't it better that they take out some of the WC competition? Not that we have much of a chance at that either.

 

In order for the Cubs to win either they have to go on an absurd tear, like 18-2. If they do that the teams that are nearby aren't keeping pace.

 

I think 15-5 will do it.

 

As of tonight Cubs are tied with ATL and FLA in the loss column and possibly only 6.5 out of WC lead.

 

15-5 would require a 7-11 finish from the Rockies just to tie them. 12-7 from the Giants too. That won't get it done.

[circlecitycub]

Cardinals winning again.

 

We're not catching them, so isn't it better that they take out some of the WC competition? Not that we have much of a chance at that either.

 

In order for the Cubs to win either they have to go on an absurd tear, like 18-2. If they do that the teams that are nearby aren't keeping pace.

 

I think 15-5 will do it.

 

As of tonight Cubs are tied with ATL and FLA in the loss column and possibly only 6.5 out of WC lead.

 

15-5 would require a 7-11 finish from the Rockies just to tie them. 12-7 from the Giants too. That won't get it done.

 

I'm not worried about the Giants. If the Cubs can win that series they will surpass them. It's a bit of a stretch to catch the Rox but it's not out of the question.

[Guest]

Giants would have to sweep the Rockies this week, for starters.

[Garwilly]

Cubs/Rockies have 38 games left, Cubs need to "go" 26-12 in them.

[SouthSideRyan]

Cubs/Rockies have 38 games left, Cubs need to "go" 26-12 in them.

 

25-12 now.

[UMFan83]

A miracle playoff challenge would help my Bears angst a lot.

 

That said, I'm not even considering the possibility until the Cubs are lets say 4 games out of a playoff spot.

[jersey cubs fan]

A miracle playoff challenge would help my Bears angst a lot.

 

That said, I'm not even considering the possibility until the Cubs are lets say 4 games out of a playoff spot.

 

They'll be zero games out before they are four.

[UMFan83]

Cardinals winning again.

 

We're not catching them, so isn't it better that they take out some of the WC competition? Not that we have much of a chance at that either.

 

In order for the Cubs to win either they have to go on an absurd tear, like 18-2. If they do that the teams that are nearby aren't keeping pace.

 

I think 15-5 will do it.

 

As of tonight Cubs are tied with ATL and FLA in the loss column and possibly only 6.5 out of WC lead.

 

15-5 would require a 7-11 finish from the Rockies just to tie them. 12-7 from the Giants too. That won't get it done.

 

According to SportsClubStats, the Cubs would have an 11.1% chance of making the playoffs if they finished the season 15-5. Here is a full list:

 

20-0: 98.5%

19-1: 92.7%

18-2: 75.2%

17-3: 50.8%

16-4: 27.6%

15-5: 11.1%

14-6: 3.0%

13-7: 0.5%

12-8: less than 0.1%

11-9: less than 0.1%

10-10: less than 0.1%

9 wins or less: eliminated

 

http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/Central/Cubs.html

[haubrich91]

20-0: 98.5%

 

That's depressing.

[bukie]

20-0: 98.5%

 

That's depressing.

What's really depressing is that's essentially saying the chances of both the Cubs and a team ahead of them playing well enough to stay ahead of them are about as good as the chances of the Cubs making the playoffs in any scenario.