ryan howard making a run at single season k record

[GoCubsGo1679625768]

ill take dunn because hes less likely to get in trouble with the law. call it racist but its true.

:roll: :roll: Because Howard has done anything to suggest this? God I'm amazed at some of the garbage you post around here.

[TruffleShuffle]

ill take dunn because hes less likely to get in trouble with the law. call it racist but its true.

 

okay, it's racist and it's stupid. First of all, last year wasn't really that flukish - as I said, Howard's numbers have been brought down because he was battling a nagging injury for much of the first year. And I'm not sure how you can call something flukish when it was his first full season in the big leagues - it's not like there was any sort of career trend that he was bucking.

 

And, I can tell you that Howard is viewed very favorably in Philadelphia, doing good things in the community and not going out acting like a maniac. He's not PacMan Jones, and there's no reason to think that Ryan Howard has any greater chance of getting in trouble with the law than does Adam Dunn.

[Soul]

ill take dunn because hes less likely to get in trouble with the law. call it racist but its true.

 

Where did that come from? :shock:

[haltz]

First of all, last year wasn't really that flukish - as I said, Howard's numbers have been brought down because he was battling a nagging injury for much of the first year. And I'm not sure how you can call something flukish when it was his first full season in the big leagues - it's not like there was any sort of career trend that he was bucking.

His career doesn't matter; that's not what he was bucking.

 

It should've been obvious that he's not a .313 hitter. I'm not surprised that he hasn't been able to sustain Babe Ruth's IsoP either. A 140 pt drop in OPS sounds about right.

[Productive Outs]

First of all, last year wasn't really that flukish - as I said, Howard's numbers have been brought down because he was battling a nagging injury for much of the first year. And I'm not sure how you can call something flukish when it was his first full season in the big leagues - it's not like there was any sort of career trend that he was bucking.

His career doesn't matter; that's not what he was bucking.

 

It should've been obvious that he's not a .313 hitter. I'm not surprised that he hasn't been able to sustain Babe Ruth's IsoP either. A 140 pt drop in OPS sounds about right.

 

i'm not really sure how you can say Howard's 2006 was not flukish. his BAC (batting average on contact) for 2006 was the second-highest in BP's database, which goes back to 1960. his BAC for 2006 was .455. league average is .320-.330, and the leaders are in the .410-.420 range. his WARP3 is similar to his 2006 campaign because he has gotten better defensively according to BP's metrics. his FRAR/FRAA this year is 25/16 compared to -2/-14 last year.

 

here's the article on BAC if you're a subscriber: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=6239

[haltz]

here's the article on BAC if you're a subscriber: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=6239

Thanks. I had to set bounds on PI to get that earlier list. I wish you could search that stuff by %PA. Or maybe you can and I don't know how. Anyway, that's certainly more illustrative.

 

Someone should sit Joe Sheehan down and give him the Sample-Sizes 101 lecture. Did he really think that Upton would strike out in 40% of his at-bats this year? That was written on May 16th. Geez.

[NewUserName]

I think its funny that Howard is going to get a lot of MVP support this year. I wonder if Cincinnati was close if Dunn would get any real MVP support?

[soccer10k]

First of all, last year wasn't really that flukish - as I said, Howard's numbers have been brought down because he was battling a nagging injury for much of the first year. And I'm not sure how you can call something flukish when it was his first full season in the big leagues - it's not like there was any sort of career trend that he was bucking.

 

So you're saying that

 

a) Hitting 58 home runs in a year isn't flukish.

 

and

 

b) Hitting 58 home runs in your first full season in the majors isn't flukish.

 

I really don't see how his 2006 season wasn't flukish. I'm not saying it was a complete fluke as he is a good hitter with a ton of power but he's not going to replicate that year in and year out.

[TruffleShuffle]

First of all, last year wasn't really that flukish - as I said, Howard's numbers have been brought down because he was battling a nagging injury for much of the first year. And I'm not sure how you can call something flukish when it was his first full season in the big leagues - it's not like there was any sort of career trend that he was bucking.

 

So you're saying that

 

a) Hitting 58 home runs in a year isn't flukish.

 

and

 

b) Hitting 58 home runs in your first full season in the majors isn't flukish.

 

I really don't see how his 2006 season wasn't flukish. I'm not saying it was a complete fluke as he is a good hitter with a ton of power but he's not going to replicate that year in and year out.

 

Okay I can agree that it was somewhat flukish, but nobody is going to convince me that he's not a better player than Adam Dunn, and by a fair amount.

[soccer10k]

Howard struck out four times today and now sits at 194 on the year, one short of Dunn's record of 195.

[Careless]

And the record is tied.

[NCCubFan]

Howard is on one of my fantasy teams. I've temporarily renamed the team Howard's Whiffers in honor of this momentous occasion. :D

[soccer10k]

With two today Howard now has 197 on the year and the record all to himself.

[TruffleShuffle]

With two today Howard now has 197 on the year and the record all to himself.

 

yeah that's a lot, but personally i like the 44 homers and OBP near .400