Marquis - Sacrificial Lamb, Again?

[CubmanPi]

He came up huge today, and I think he even got pulled a little sooner than he should have. Over the entire rest of the season, I can see him being the least effective starter in the rotation and draggin on the team some, but unless he just completely craps the bed from here on out, I'd say he's done pretty well to earn his keep.

[Soul]

My advice? Marquis should wear body armor under his uni today.

Prophetic! He could have used it with that bat-head helicopter that nearly took him out in the first.

 

Wasn't what I was thinking. I should stop making predictions; people are getting hurt :wink:

[Elrhino]

I tend to not pay much attention to BABIP when it comes to sinkerballers. I focus on BB/9, GB/FB and HR%.

[Sarcastic]

I tend to not pay much attention to BABIP when it comes to sinkerballers. I focus on BB/9, GB/FB and HR%.

 

You probably should pay attention to it, unless sinkerball pitchers are magically exempt from variations in BABIP based on luck. It was already posted that his BABIP was .253. Especially for a goundball pitcher, that should come up.

 

Marquis hasn't been a really awful starter for a back of the rotation starter, but looking at his peripherals, which have already been posted, it seems unlikely that he'll manage to keep his ERA down for the rest of the year. With luck, he'll be a decent back of the rotation starter.

[Elrhino]

Sinkerballers aren't immune to BABIP, but they can compenstate for it by allowing more negligible hits (grounders through the infied vs. linedrives off the outfield wall), allowing fewer homeruns, forcing double plays and issuing fewer runs. Marquis still has problems with walks, but he has been keeping the ball on the ground and inside the park. As long as he keeps that up, he'll be effective. If he doesn't, it will be 2006 all over again.

[Sarcastic]

Baserunners aren't negligible. When Marquis starts giving up more hits through the infield, he'll start giving up more runs.

[Ender]

Sinkerballers aren't immune to BABIP, but they can compenstate for it by allowing more negligible hits

 

I think its still a valid thing to look at, especially compared to career averages. His is always low though so the .253 isn't as low as it would be for another pitcher.

[CubColtPacer]

One thing that should also be mentioned is that during Marquis's struggles, he has faced all good offenses:

 

Florida: 3rd in NL in runs

Milwaukee (twice): 2nd in NL

Atlanta: 6th in NL (and their offense was ranked 2nd in runs at the time Marquis faced them)

Colorado: 4th in NL

Texas: 3rd in AL

Seattle: 6th in AL

 

So for the last 7 starts, he's faced offenses ranked in the top 6 of their league. His next 3 starts will all be against teams ranked 9th or worse. So it will be interesting to see if he can put together a better July against worse offenses than he saw in June.

[Soul]

One thing that should also be mentioned is that during Marquis's struggles, he has faced all good offenses:

 

Florida: 3rd in NL in runs

Milwaukee (twice): 2nd in NL

Atlanta: 6th in NL (and their offense was ranked 2nd in runs at the time Marquis faced them)

Colorado: 4th in NL

Texas: 3rd in AL

Seattle: 6th in AL

 

So for the last 7 starts, he's faced offenses ranked in the top 6 of their league. His next 3 starts will all be against teams ranked 9th or worse. So it will be interesting to see if he can put together a better July against worse offenses than he saw in June.

 

That is interesting. Hopefully his upcoming starts at Wrigley will also feature the wind blowing in, like today.

[killthegoat06]

Darn, was he good today.