Looking for a Web Site....

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

Is there a site out there anywhere, where you can put in projected numbers and it will give you an approximate number of runs scored by a team?

 

What about for pitchers?

[Transmogrified Tiger]

http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/LineupAnalysis.py

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

Thanks.

[Coach C]

May I ask what you got in mind there, Vance?

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

May I ask what you got in mind there, Vance?

 

I'm working on my projection piece on the NL Central. I'm working on projecting what I think the players will do and then I want to plug them into a line-up compared to what I think other teams will do before deciding how to rank the NL Central.

[Garwilly]

May I ask what you got in mind there, Vance?

 

I'm working on my projection piece on the NL Central. I'm working on projecting what I think the players will do and then I want to plug them into a line-up compared to what I think other teams will do before deciding how to rank the NL Central.

 

You could just do what the professionals do....

 

http://www.gamersgauntlet.com/history/19990724/thehat.jpg

[A New Era]

May I ask what you got in mind there, Vance?

 

I'm working on my projection piece on the NL Central. I'm working on projecting what I think the players will do and then I want to plug them into a line-up compared to what I think other teams will do before deciding how to rank the NL Central.

 

Oh, I think you'll find the cubs are saftely on top. With the cardinals trailing by several games behind. .

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

May I ask what you got in mind there, Vance?

 

I'm working on my projection piece on the NL Central. I'm working on projecting what I think the players will do and then I want to plug them into a line-up compared to what I think other teams will do before deciding how to rank the NL Central.

 

Oh, I think you'll find the cubs are saftely on top. With the cardinals trailing by several games behind. .

 

Just my cursory view places the Cubs there, but I know have a bias, so I'm trying to check that as I prepare this.

[Mephistopheles]

be careful when doing that. a team with a good offensive catcher (the cubs) will have a slightly overrated offense.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

be careful when doing that. a team with a good offensive catcher (the cubs) will have a slightly overrated offense.

 

That might be mitigated by 55+ starts of Zambrano and Marquis though.

[radarluv1]

so do you just get the PECOTA or ZIPS (?)projections and put them in there? it would be cool if you just put the players name and they filled in the rest.

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

so do you just get the PECOTA or ZIPS (?)projections and put them in there? it would be cool if you just put the players name and they filled in the rest.

 

I'll look at PECOTA and last three year averages, factor in some other things and come up with some numbers to plug in.

[BDWeav71]

Looking forward to see what you have come up with Vance.

 

 

How do you determine the pitchers spot if you are using PECOTA, are you going through and determining a set amount of starts for each pitcher? Just curious how you will determine that?

[vance_the_cubs_fan]

What I am going to do is going to be a rough guesstimate based on the info I can get. It's not going to be hard scientific evidence. I'm a language arts guy, not math/science.

 

I always have done a break down on the division....so this is just a tool I'm using as I make my final division breakdowns.

[treebird]

be careful when doing that. a team with a good offensive catcher (the cubs) will have a slightly overrated offense.

 

That might be mitigated by 55+ starts of Zambrano and Marquis though.

 

zambrano's home runs are nice, but somewhat mitigated by the fact that he hit .151 and drew one walk last season. plus marquis hit 179/210/256 last year. i dont think they're mitigating much.

[CubColtPacer]

be careful when doing that. a team with a good offensive catcher (the cubs) will have a slightly overrated offense.

 

That might be mitigated by 55+ starts of Zambrano and Marquis though.

 

zambrano's home runs are nice, but somewhat mitigated by the fact that he hit .151 and drew one walk last season. plus marquis hit 179/210/256 last year. i dont think they're mitigating much.

 

Based on their careers, both of them should be significantly better at the plate next year than they were last year.

Edited January 26, 2007 by CubColtPacer

[BigbadB]

zambrano's home runs are nice, but somewhat mitigated by the fact that he hit .151 and drew one walk last season. plus marquis hit 179/210/256 last year. i dont think they're mitigating much.

 

Can they play SS?

[treebird]

be careful when doing that. a team with a good offensive catcher (the cubs) will have a slightly overrated offense.

 

That might be mitigated by 55+ starts of Zambrano and Marquis though.

 

zambrano's home runs are nice, but somewhat mitigated by the fact that he hit .151 and drew one walk last season. plus marquis hit 179/210/256 last year. i dont think they're mitigating much.

 

Based on their careers, both of them should be significantly better at the plate next year than they were last year.

 

career lines

 

z=212/223/355

marquis marq= 223/241/316

[CubColtPacer]

be careful when doing that. a team with a good offensive catcher (the cubs) will have a slightly overrated offense.

 

That might be mitigated by 55+ starts of Zambrano and Marquis though.

 

zambrano's home runs are nice, but somewhat mitigated by the fact that he hit .151 and drew one walk last season. plus marquis hit 179/210/256 last year. i dont think they're mitigating much.

 

Based on their careers, both of them should be significantly better at the plate next year than they were last year.

 

career lines

 

z=212/223/355

marquis marq= 223/241/316

 

which is a decent jump, and when you consider that last year affected both of their career lines (and while small, a decent percentage of their total at bats for their career), their lines before last year were even better than that, and much better than an average pitcher.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

be careful when doing that. a team with a good offensive catcher (the cubs) will have a slightly overrated offense.

 

That might be mitigated by 55+ starts of Zambrano and Marquis though.

 

zambrano's home runs are nice, but somewhat mitigated by the fact that he hit .151 and drew one walk last season. plus marquis hit 179/210/256 last year. i dont think they're mitigating much.

 

Based on their careers, both of them should be significantly better at the plate next year than they were last year.

 

career lines

 

z=212/223/355

marquis marq= 223/241/316

 

I'm not saying that both of them are .700 OPS locks, but if I'm not mistaken even those lines are a good bit better than the average SP.