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JGalt73

By JGalt73,
in Chicago Cubs Talk

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UMFan83 GOAT

UMFan83

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
http://baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=8139

 

Christina Kahrl (BP) says Cubs in 5:

 

Prediction

 

It's that pen which might save the Dodgers from the kind of outsized matchup their fourth game might otherwise appear to be, because that might also spare them from attempting to start Lowe on short rest, something that has yet to produce a quality start in the four times it has been tried in the LA portion of his career. Nevertheless, I still see this winding up as a Cubs series win in five, perhaps something of an upset considering the relative perceived virtues of the two clubs, but a victory that will be worth watching and hard-fought. I guess if I sketch out a scenario and take it to some fanciful conclusions, I can foresee a split between the two teams in the Lowe/Dempster matchup, a Cubs' win in the second game after losing the opener, a pitcher's duel in the third game that comes out with Big Z adding something to his legend, a pen-led win by the Dodgers in the fourth game that involves some Manny heroics at Lilly's expense, all capped by a Dempster gem for the folks at home. As long as I'm predictin', may as well aim high, right?

 

Why in the world does everyone think Zambrano is starting game 3?

 

Upon reading that article, anyone who picks the Dodgers bench over ours is an idiot. Look at the EQA and VORPs for the respective teams:

 

Dodgers:

Pierre .246/1.0

Ardoin .202/-1.2

Kent .259/12.4

Nomar .272/7.3

Berroa .218/-3.7

Ozuna .214/NA

 

Cubs:

Fukudome .261/5.6

Johnson .264/12.4

Cedeno .237/2.0

Ward .247/0.1

Blanco .244/3.0

Pie .231/-0.7

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Cubs

in 3: 0%

in 4: 12.4%

in 5: 23.3%

TOTAL: 35.7%

 

Dodgers

in 3: 21.5%

in 4: 28.1%

in 5: 15.6%

TOTAL: 65.3%

 

Chances of a game 5 = 37.5%

wrigley23 College Ball

wrigley23

Verified Member
Posted
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I predict that for the second year in a row, soriano will go 0-fer the series w/ tons of strikeouts & no walks. What an incredibly overrated, overpriced, unclutch, poor excuse for a leadoff hitter.
17 Seconds Chicago Cubs

17 Seconds

Old-Timey Member
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I predict that for the second year in a row, soriano will go 0-fer the series w/ tons of strikeouts & no walks. What an incredibly overrated, overpriced, unclutch, poor excuse for a leadoff hitter.

 

lolololololololololololololol

JGalt73 First Round Pick

JGalt73

Verified Member
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Per BP.... Cubs odds of playoff wins....

 

Before yesterday's loss: 71.8% win DS; 53.4% win LCS; 32.3% win WS

 

After the loss: 38.2% win DS; 25.1% win LCS; 13.6% win WS

 

And as the the author notes: "but the program doesn't 'know' about the injury issues facing Harden and Zambrano."

gflore34 Myrtle Beach Pelicans

gflore34

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I predict that for the second year in a row, soriano will go 0-fer the series w/ tons of strikeouts & no walks. What an incredibly overrated, overpriced, unclutch, poor excuse for a leadoff hitter.

 

lolololololololololololololol

 

As funny as it may be, its probably not all that out there, he's already shown a tendency to swing at sliders low and outside. Unless someone makes a mistake there's a real good chance he's not going to touch the ball.

SouthSideRyan MVP

SouthSideRyan

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I predict that for the second year in a row, soriano will go 0-fer the series w/ tons of strikeouts & no walks. What an incredibly overrated, overpriced, unclutch, poor excuse for a leadoff hitter.

 

lolololololololololololololol

 

As funny as it may be, its probably not all that out there, he's already shown a tendency to swing at sliders low and outside. Unless someone makes a mistake there's a real good chance he's not going to touch the ball.

 

It's funny because every post wrigley here has been a Soriano Sox post.

 

It's also funny because Soriano didn't go 0 fet the series last year.

 

It's also funny because we've played 1 game of the series.

CUBBIEblue16 Prep Ball

CUBBIEblue16

Verified Member
Posted
Posted
Per BP.... Cubs odds of playoff wins....

 

Before yesterday's loss: 71.8% win DS; 53.4% win LCS; 32.3% win WS

 

After the loss: 38.2% win DS; 25.1% win LCS; 13.6% win WS

 

And as the the author notes: "but the program doesn't 'know' about the injury issues facing Harden and Zambrano."

 

 

Theyre hurt?

David GOAT

David

Old-Timey Member
Posted
Posted
I predict that for the second year in a row, soriano will go 0-fer the series w/ tons of strikeouts & no walks. What an incredibly overrated, overpriced, unclutch, poor excuse for a leadoff hitter.

 

oh my god i needed somethign like that to lift my spirits

 

 

wrigley23 is awesome :-)) :-)) :-))

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