Bull
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Everything posted by Bull
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3/21 was an overpay, just becasue I can't see him getting offers that were close to that this offseason. However, his results have definitely been worth more than 7M a season. And I think Larry deserves a ton of credit for this. This is the point that get's lost in the shuffle too often. Larry has done a very nice job this year. How many guys have rotated in and out of that bullpen? What I think has helped Larry is that Curly and Moe were fired last year. Post of the day
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If they pull off the miracle, Floyd could retire...
Bull replied to Schwarber Fan's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It could be dependent on Ward for all we know. -
also this viewtopic.php?t=39220 some funny stuff there. Prior and Miller ahead of Marshall.
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Was this thread about Trachsel? I forgot. Anyway, I dug up this tid-bit. viewtopic.php?t=40831&start=0 I had forgotten Marshall started the season on the DL and pitched 0 innings in ST. Anyone else think Trax was brought in because Marshall is experiencing pain?
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no.
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Trachsel needs to stop doing this to me. Just pitch 2 more friggin' innings you make it look like the hardest friggin thing to do. He's given the team a 2.70 ERA (sure it's been ugly) thus far, I'm stunned and rather pleased. anomoly
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and hit home runs. or had you forgotten already?
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something that i think people need to know but they don't.
Bull replied to Mephistopheles's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
and stats clearly don't tell you any of that. Yes, they do but the math in order to get to the final number is dizzying. lucky for all of us, there are website that do all the math for us there is no "final number". All stats have value in their own way, but there is no one magic stat. That's why we are able to use ridiculous amounts of bandwidth arguing. -
well played
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When I started this thread, I didn't think there would be all of this discussion over semantics. My point is that Lilly has been the best Cub starter all year, has been the starter to break all of the losing streaks, and continues to be the pitcher who gives the Cubs the best chance to win games this year. To me, that defines the "ace" of a staff. I'm not talking about next year, who has the best stuff, his flyball ratio, or whether he would be the "ace" on other teams. Oh come on now Btb....if you said the sky looked blue you'd get a nice little semantic debate about what shade of blue! Anyone who knows anything, knows the sky is: Teal 12% of the time "Sky Blue" ironically only 8% Aqua 9% Midnight Blue 7% Black 32.6% various shades of the red/orange/yellow families 4% others 25.3% of the other categories "blue" constitutes less than 1% my knowledge of the subject is so far superior to those of you who observe with a crayola 8-pack mind. I see the full 256 crayon box. you are now on ignore Very good MrWood. I'm here to entertain. Lika joggling monkey er somthin'.
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When I started this thread, I didn't think there would be all of this discussion over semantics. My point is that Lilly has been the best Cub starter all year, has been the starter to break all of the losing streaks, and continues to be the pitcher who gives the Cubs the best chance to win games this year. To me, that defines the "ace" of a staff. I'm not talking about next year, who has the best stuff, his flyball ratio, or whether he would be the "ace" on other teams. Oh come on now Btb....if you said the sky looked blue you'd get a nice little semantic debate about what shade of blue! Anyone who knows anything, knows the sky is: Teal 12% of the time "Sky Blue" ironically only 8% Aqua 9% Midnight Blue 7% Black 32.6% various shades of the red/orange/yellow families 4% others 25.3% of the other categories "blue" constitutes less than 1% my knowledge of the subject is so far superior to those of you who observe with a crayola 8-pack mind. I see the full 256 crayon box. you are now on ignore
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your posts are quite possibly the most entertaining aspect of this board right now.
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Luis Gonzalez .284 .368 .482 120
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you mean you want somebody to slam you so you can throw your preloaded statistics at them in an attempt to make them look or feel dumb. That said, I'd like to see your argument, as a first glance shows me a career OPS+ of 69.
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Trachsel a Cub (this should be fun)
Bull replied to JeffH's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
He's having "bad years" in bunches now, and the "good years" have turned to mediocre, so, yeah. -
So runs scored against bad pitchers are less valuable than runs scored against good ones? Runs scored against bad teams (strength of schedule) don't count for as much as those against elite teams? If you use this as a statement to that effect, you'd have to break down what runs were scored in what kids of games. Your sample size gets smaller and smaller. Now it sounds like you're valuing "close and late stats" Does this mean you believe in "clutch"?
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They also play in a hitters park in a division with horrible pitching. Not to mention actual runs scored has a ton of noise involved, you'd be better off looking at something like RC or even OPS. The Cubs have scored more runs than they probably should have on the season. Same thing with the pitching, ERA is a horrible stat to use to judge pitchers by because of how much statistical noise and variance is involved in the stat. Every stat has value (well maybe except W-L record for a pitcher). Despite the fact they "should have scored less run", it doesn't change the fact that they did score those runs. Somehow you have to account for that. If runs scored is worthless then you're saying that pythagorean record as a predictor is worthless. Do you really believe this?
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I'm here to teach. Most people don't respond well to orders. At least not people with dignity.
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Good luck with that. who would you offer?
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I definitely feel the whole system is highly flawed. DVR has ruined what little meaning ratings ever had Would DVR really affect the ratings of a sporting event -- something very few people would want to watch on a delay? I watch Cubs games on delay all the time now. Not 2 days later or anything, but it's a lot easier to go grab a bite with the wife or take the dog for a walk, and then come back and watch the game while skimming through commercials. me too. if the game starts at 7 or 8, i record it and start watching after the kids are in bed. in fact, i watch almost everything on delay for that very reason (kids) Wow, you guys are really patient. I tried to watch a DVR'd game once and just HAD to go online and see the score! I watch 1:20 games at night all the time. And I usually turn on night games and pause for an hour to watch after the kids are in bed (an extra hour with the kids + no commercials = win/win.)
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people got it. you are incorrect. he certainly is. run through the numbers if you'd like. and let me provide this link viewtopic.php?t=43717 So your argument is that Zambrano's hitting makes up for the pitching deficit, huh? Well I took you up on your invitation to run through the numbers. Zambrano has produced 11 runs (8 runs + 5 RBI - 2 HR = 11 RP). Lilly has produced 9 runs (5 runs + 4 RBI - 0 HR = 9 RP). Hill has produced 5 runs (0 runs + 5 RBI - 0 HR = 5 RP). So let's just net those runs produced with the bat off of each guy's earned runs allowed on the mound and see what we get. Lopping off 11 earned runs drops Zambrano's ERA from 4.06 to 3.51. With 9 fewer ER, Lilly's ERA falls from 3.85 to 3.16. 5 fewer ER nudges Hill's ERA from 3.68 to 3.06. Some of us here are smart and don't use RBI and R to gauge offensive production. we have rules of debate here. Please review the guidelines. you can attack arguments, but don't question another poster's intelligence. You have some insight and understanding of statistical data (though not as much as you think), but your approach makes your posts unreadable. If you would exercise some sense of human decency, I think you could be a valuable member of this community.
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It been suggested that he pitches better when he's a little tired (doesn't "overthrow") lets get him a punching bag for before starts (maybe a cut-out of Barrett)
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Runs scored/Game Cubs 4.60 NL Ave 4.64 average? yes sub-par? maybe pathetic? unjustifiable.
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Lee 2007 .892 (2nd highest in career) Career .868 high 1.080 (2005) A-ram 2007 .898 (4th highest in career) Career .832 high .951 Why does it feel like they suck this year. Are we that influenced by the almighty HR? What more can we really expect?
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Or maybe Ramirez will be taking a couple days off.