I'm not always sure what they mean when people say 2012 isn't realistic or whatever. I don't think it's realistic that the 2012 Cubs go into April with the best team on paper in the division, unless that idle speculation about a $200 million total baseball budget are true. I think it's very realistic that the 2012 Cubs go into April as a .500 team on paper. From there, there's some sort of chance that several players have better seasons than expected (say, 5 guys at +0.8 WAR each), they get some positive pythagorean variance and then they get some deadline help. That puts you in the 90-win range, and as the Cardinals keep proving, being the worst team in the playoffs doesn't hurt your chances that much. Sure, it could just as easily go the other way, but what's the point of fielding a baseball team if you aren't going to try.