You see this sort of thread every single season, and here are a few things that will almost certainly happen that it doesn't account for: 1) An arbitration eligible player will sign an extension that pays him much more than he could have gotten in arbitration. 2) The bench players will be re-signed for more than they are worth (Neifi is the obvious choice here). 3) They won't go with the four cheap relief pitchers, they'll blow a few million on some mediocre ones "just in case" 4) The cheap starting pitchers will still have to have $2-4 million veterans backing them up "just in case" 5) If there's money to spend, we'll have to have a multi-million dollar veteran left fielder. I can't see Dubois just being handed the spot. 6) There will have to be a few million spent on a reclamation project starting pitcher (ala Estes, Dempster), although that may be covered under 4. 7) They will inevitably pay more to resign someone than we think they are worth. I would guess Burnitz or Walker (despite the options).