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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Exactly how much do you think it costs to put on a major-league baseball game?
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    That doesn't make $24 million the floor. Those revenues ultimately being anything above $1 after all is said and done would technically count as the revenues exceeding the expenses. The costs being, say, $10 million dollars would still mean that they receive around $14 million in revenue, so your floor declaration is meaningless. $24 million is *just* the gate revenue. It's ($24 million + non-gate revenues) - gameday expenses. There's no way that gameday expenses exceeded non-gate revenues by $10 million. Non-gate revenues have got to easily rival the gate itself.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    A 6 WAR pitcher at 3 years for $58 million or A 4-WAR (conservatively) SS at 4 years for a combined total of *maybe* $20 million. Plus another strong pitching prospect? Pass.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    I think it'd have to be more than that. Concessions have to at least balance out the operating expenses of the game, don't they? You don't need to sell a lot of $8 beers to keep the lights on and the ushers paid, I would WAG. But I also think it's pretty silly to assume they'd just take that money and plow it into Pujols. They are offering him what they think he's worth, not just what they can afford.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    How do you get to $70.6? The only way I can get there is if Dempster is at $16.0. That would mean that 2/3 of the $3 he deferred is going to be paid this year. I use Cot's Baseball Contracts, which provides this spreadsheet: https://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key=tt7HjIernphaSrv4wMWdUYg&output=html $19 for Soriano, $19 for Zambrano, $14 for Dempster, $6.5 for Byrd, $7 for Marmol, $3.1 for Marshall and still $2 to Silva.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't know if I want someone on the Cubs named Collapse-o.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    I want to believe. It's pretty easy to get there. Average out his last three seasons, project in a tiny bit of decline, and assume the replacement platoon can play adequate defense.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    I dunno, I find the windfall the Cardinals get out of their ridiculously lucky run to be pretty icky.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    I like replays.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Sigged?
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    The link's estimates already had the player's take taken out. The average owner's take (excluding the player take for required games) for Games 3 and 4 of a Division Series, 3, 4 and 5 of the LCS, and 1,2,6 and 7 of the WS comes to $24.1 million on that link's estimates. That's in 2008, average ticket prices. I don't know if the Cardinals' prices are above or below average, or if there's been some inflation since then. That wasn't pure profit because of the cost of running the game, but that also didn't include concession stands.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Avoiding Ramirez's buyout puts us down to $70.6 million committed for six players 2012. We employed 10 pre-arb players last year, and I think that number should be at least 8 this year. So that's about 4 million for 8 spots. Now we have $74.6 million for 14 spots. I think $22 million is a good estimate for our arbitration eligibles ($8 to Garza, $5 to Soto, $3 to Samardijza, not much for the rest, leaving some room for me to be underestimating Garza or Soto). $96.6 million for 20 spots. That leaves us with roughly $40 million for five spots, and still short a starting pitcher, a 1b and a 3b at the minimum.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    There's a lot of room between "more money per year" and $7.5 million more per year.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't understand how you can expect anything better. Hell, I don't know how you could expect anything that good. That's a steal. Limited market for 1bmen, and I don't think the rest of the league is as dismissive of his worrisome 2011 as some Cubs fans are. The Cardinals are offering $22.5 million AAV. Jumping from that to $30 million is Tom Hicksing yourself, even if you get to take a few years off the end.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I didn't realize Vitters' 2012 position was even in question. The instant he move off 3b, his upside takes a significant hit, and his prospect status is based entirely on his upside.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    6/$30 makes me flinch a little. I'd probably do it, but I wouldn't feel like I was getting a bargain or anything.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    I hate that all these discussions come down to people wanting or people not wanting Pujols. The issue here is how much you are willing to pay. There is a price where any of us would take him, and there's a price where any of us should be willing to walk away.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    I thought new users' posts had to be approved?
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    No one said otherwise. But a lot of plays are clearly close enough that you know the call on the field is irrelevant, it's going to review. It robs those moments of their significance. Two options for next week's Cubs news: A) Albert Pujols signs a 5 year/$100 million contract with the Cubs. B )Albert Pujols says he wants to sign with the Cubs, but reserves the right to change his mind over the next few weeks. One is clearly more exciting than the other.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Saw on the ESPN crawl this morning that Sabathia has until Tuesday to opt-out out of his contract. Presumably the same would apply to Dempster.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/how-will-prince-fielder-age/ Fangraphs weighs in (get it?) on the aging curve of heavy players.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/2012_zips_projections_-_chicago_cubs/ Some notables: Carlos Pena L 1B 34 .230 .355 .480 (!) Starlin Castro R SS 22 .301 .343 .432 (Top three comps: Jeter, Yount, Brett) Bryan LaHair L 1B 29 .262 .324 .469 (Hi, TT) Brett Jackson L CF 23 .254 .335 .419 (Yes, please!)
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    What about them?
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    I care about it and I don't care about anyone else. It never gets old.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    They would still have 11 World Series championships. And as many Super Bowls as the Bears. It's stupid.
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