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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    That'd be a stroke of genius. Someone get on it.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Now I kinda really do want to do another face post, just so I can use this: http://sports.neswblogs.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/Peter-Gammons.jpg What Gammons is saying is stupid and by extension he is stupid, and that's all there is to that.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Don't steal my bit.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    We already know Epstein is a master of disguise. The next logical step is full-blown double agent. : Time to break out the gorilla suit.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    That would be highly unethical on Epstein's part and just as bad on the Cubs' part to ask him to do it. I don't think you want him to be that kind of person. If you wait a year for him, he's out for the year.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Epstein Limbo, Day 7. Let's do this. Odds of something getting done today: 25% Current imaginary deadline: Friday, the off-day in the World Series when Bud will give us papal leave to announce a deal. Odds of conflicting reports on the state of negotiations: 100% Odds that Red Sox fans will tilt me with specious arguments: 95% (5% that I stay off of SoSH for the rest of the day) Thread goal for the day: 15 pages.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    Okay, objectively, I want this resolved quickly and easily. But the stupid, drama-loving part of me wants to see the Cubs get involved in a simultaneous two-front compensation fight on opposite coasts. I want the entire league to be on edge and whining that the Cubs have no respect for contracts and are trying to lift people left and right.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    I honestly don't find that disappointing at all. In fact, I think I find it ideal. Epstein will be focusing on what I think he does best.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    The primary reason I want him is to oversee the building of the organization, specifically the scouting and development departments. I have no problem with him passing on the day-to-day GM role.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Everyone is a hope at best. We hope that Epstein can repeat his success in Chicago coming into a very different situation than the one he inherited in Boston.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    They value him at $18.5 million over 5 years. That does not mean they value him at $18.5 million over 5 years plus a near-ready top-100 prospect.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was agreeing with you.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Friedman, Beane, Cashman Possibly Byrnes, Hoyer, Atlanta guy, Cherington, and the Tampa assistant that's supposed to be really good, Hahn to a lesser extent. I don't consider that entire list equal, but I consider every one of them to be at least the equal of Epstein + $13 million (in extra salary) plus McNutt. So they are working for free then? Some of those guys will require compensation too. I'm working under the assumption that you could get the ones without a current GM job for about $1 million a year for the next five years. We are proposing to pay $18.5 million for Epstein over the next five years.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Friedman, Beane, Cashman Possibly Byrnes, Hoyer, Atlanta guy, Cherington, and the Tampa assistant that's supposed to be really good, Hahn to a lesser extent. I don't consider that entire list equal, but I consider every one of them to be at least the equal of Epstein + $13 million (in extra salary) plus McNutt.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    I don't think Kyle has argued that we shouldn't trade any minor leaguer for Epstein. His argument is that we shouldn't trade a top 50 prospect who is within 1-2 years of reaching the majors for Epstein. And I agree. If they want a couple of low-A lottery tickets, they can go nuts. As prospects get closer to the majors, their value goes up considerably.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    A GM's value is intimately related to what the next-best available GM can do.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Epstein's is apparently 5 years/$18.5 million. The problem for GMs is that they aren't scarce, but their jobs are.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    So under your theory, if we don't get Epstein, we'd stop drafting or signing minor leaguers? Seems a bit extreme.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    First, incorrect, he was at AA at the end of last season and this season. Second, imagine he becomes an average MLB pitcher. How much is he worth to the team over his six years of team control, where he would most certainly be massively underpaid? Okay, now multiply that value by the odds of him reaching it. What number do you come up with?
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    He can and he must. McNutt is better than you (or I, before this thread started) are giving him credit for. Epstein isn't so much better than the next candidate in line that he's worth a massive contract *and* a major prospect.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    Even the likes of Wittenmyer and Levine won't entertain the possibility that it won't get done. Yeah, I just keep coming back to "The Red Sox can't really be that stupid." The Cubs are already paying millions of extra dollars for Epstein instead of going with a lesser-known candidate. If the Red Sox drive the price of Epstein to the point that the Cubs walk away, not only do they get nothing, but they actually lose quite a bit of cash. They can't be that stupid, can they?
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's probably just the no-news dementia setting in, but I'm beginning to entertain the possibility that this doesn't get done. Epstein is going to cost the Cubs $18.5 million over five years. That's, what, $13 million or so over the imaginary replacement executive. That's already a pretty costly outlay. We talked about this earlier in the thread, and I think the value of a guy like McNutt is something like $12 million (well, actually I think it's quite a bit higher, but for the sake of simplicity). So if the Red Sox genuinely believe that McNutt is the absolute lowest they can go, then they are asking the Cubs to value Epstein at $25 million over a no-strings-attached replacement. I don't think they can do that. We're definitely looking at either a wait-a-year or a walk-away scenario, depending on how willing Epstein is to wait a year. So the question is, are the Red Sox serious about McNutt being the sticking point. I would normally say no, but the more we learn about the Red Sox organization, the less faith I have in their rationality or their ability to serve self-interest when the chance to screw over an outgoing employee is involved.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    I have a hard time seeing this ever getting to a mediator. If one side sees an outcome of unacceptable (losing a McNutt, not getting at least a McNutt, whatever), they aren't going to put it in a mediator's hands.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    Both matter. An increase in either qualifies as a promotion. Think of non-promotion as the recessive gene. I have no problem viewing it as a promotion. I'm just saying that I see a gray area that gives Boston an opening to at least attempt to argue that it isn't really one of much substance. And I see a black-and-white area that allows me (well, Ricketts) to slap that argument down like it doesn't even matter.
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