Geographyhater8888
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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888
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I do like the SOS adjustments. Using some version of third order win percentage and incorporating it into run value is a cool concept. A 2.5 ERA in the AL east in 2005 should carry more weight than a 2.5 ERA in the NL west with the division winning 82 win Padres beating up on intra divisional scrubs when assigning value to a player. I was more of a Todd Walker guy and loved 305 his batting average. He didn’t get enough respect in MVP baseball 2005.
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I’m of those dorks. But yeah, there’s something wrong with their methodology when Nico has a higher war than Juan Soto (2025). Thanks for bullying me into preferring Fangraphs BTW (in a good way).
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bWAR actually ranked the Cubs 25th in RA9 bwar with 7.4 despite being 9th in team ERA. Fangraphs had them at 19th at 13.4 in 2025, which doesn’t exactly check out either. It appears that the Cubs DRS and a more extreme park factor adjustment cut into a lot of those wins. SOS is factored in too (positional bWAR was 1st at 39.2)….. I wasn’t patient enough to read their entire methodology but they assign 590 wins to position players instead of 570. They’ll penalize/reward position players for GIDP, sac flus. Etc Baseball reference is more of a baseball encyclopedia than a player evaluation tool, although it’s convenient.
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7-5 since the all star break with a +35 run differential. Negative war pitchers are responsible for 3 of those losses.
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Baseball reference says he’s good, Fangraphs says he’s bad. 2.51 ERA and a .7 bWAR versus a 4.81 FIP and a -.2 fWAR. I’m siding with Fangraphs on this.
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Sickening. The fact that Trent Thornton is pitching with a 2-0 lead in the 10th inning just set shows how much work needs to be done with the pitching staff.
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Trade for a reliever too.
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Not Thornton. horsefeathers.
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I thought he threw his bat in anger. Good thing it was a celebratory bat flip.
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Crow-Armstrong!!!!!
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It’s the 7-22 offense.
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Were they fair?
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I don’t think they’ve had a single hard hit ball today.
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Tigers are underachieving bums. Thanks for all but guaranteeing that Skubal is either a Dodger or Brewer in the next few days. horsefeathers losers.
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Trading Suzuki is silly. That’s why prospects exist, so you don’t weaken one area of your team to strengthen another when you’re contending for a World Series.
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I’d be underwhelmed when there’s better arms available. He benefits from pitcher friendly Busch and gives up a lot of hard contact from what I’ve seen, not to mention what mul pointed out.
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Dustin May is the opposite of McGreevy. His FIP and xStats don’t match his inflated ERA.
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Is Pedro inflating his trade value? Is he at all making the Cubs less hesitant to trade him if they have a choice with his small but impressive sample size? Cubs are averaging 6.7 runs/game over their last 33 and have a +90 run differential over this latest 27-12 stretch, which is more impressive than round. Nice batted ball luck but the league xWOBA is within a point of league wOBA which wasn’t the case over the last couple years.
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That’s the thing. There’s so many loud outs and hard hit balls to the outfield that you could argue that his glove is a net positive, despite his inability to hit left handed pitching. I can’t prove it but If we had the 2023 version of Justin Steele then maybe you’d sit him.
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I don’t think he ever left.
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Hardly surprising. He can’t get major league hitters out anymore. He was already on a tight leash coming off the IL and picked up where he left off. Counsel and Hoyer aren’t foolish enough to keep attempting this failed experiment. Thanks for those playoff starts Jamo. Enjoy your millions.
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Taylor is having an outlier year. He has a 137 wRC versus lefties this year, a 62 in 2025 and he’s a career 100 guy. I’m not sure what to make of that. I would hope there’s a better options if it becomes a need by trading Shaw.
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Only a 64 versus righties too with an 84 and 148 wRC+ splits since 2023. It feels more like a luxury than a big need but I’d love his bat platooning in the DH spot, especially with team control through 2027.
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Great day for our big money infielders.
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Nico’s back. At least on the stat sheet.
