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Geographyhater8888

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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888

  1. Someone at least as good as Boyd. Shota is fine, but I’d be disappointed if we landed someone with a similar profile.
  2. Not to worry, the Cubs have been shut out by the Yankees in the last 3 series openers. 2 runs in the first 9 innings of their last 3 games since round 2 of 27-12. I’ll go with coincidence for now.
  3. They’ve won 18 of the last 24 on the road with a +58 run differential, they absolutely are playing better on the road lately. They’re only 10-8 at wrigley in that same stretch.
  4. Not even the 27 Yankees could hit will Warren when he’s on his game. Tip of the cap. It’ll get easier tomorrow and Sunday with Cole and Fried.
  5. We get a break with max Freid and Garret Cole once we’re done with this May/Pallante/Warren gauntlet by no later than 4:15.
  6. He’s the cheapest controllable arm that’s still a capable starting pitcher. That’s my read on it from what little I know.
  7. They don’t want to risk injury for when they trade Seiya for Emerson Hancock.
  8. You’d think they’d trade Hartshorn if that’s what it took if Tom gives Jed the green light to offer him a massive extension. With uncertainty over the new CBA you could entice him to stay.. maybe?
  9. I still cringe when I see a 2 strike breaking way off the plate expecting him to chase as a natural reflex from years past. One of the biggest year to year transformations by a player since Bonds hit 73 homers in 2001.
  10. Trading for Skubal shouldn’t be off the table no matter how costly. Happ and Suzuki might not be Cubs next season while Bregman and Swanson will also be a year older. The future is now and wasting this positional core on an incomplete and injured pitching staff seems like a wasted opportunity.
  11. What’s the over under on end of season fWAR, 9?
  12. 8-5 with a +36 run differential is less annoying than 7-6 at +34.
  13. After the Taillon horsefeathers and last night, 7-6 is a really annoying second half record.
  14. It’s illegal for the Cubs to win a game 2-1. Everyone knows that.
  15. People will hate watch the Dodgers like they hate watched the Patriots, Heat, Chiefs, Astros etc. Dynasties are very profitable.
  16. Taillon single handedly costing them another 2 games on top of last night in a span of Less than 2 weeks makes it annoying. They could easily be 4 back of the division and they’ve played a lot better than their 7-5 team.
  17. I do like the SOS adjustments. Using some version of third order win percentage and incorporating it into run value is a cool concept. A 2.5 ERA in the AL east in 2005 should carry more weight than a 2.5 ERA in the NL west with the division winning 82 win Padres beating up on intra divisional scrubs when assigning value to a player. I was more of a Todd Walker guy and loved 305 his batting average. He didn’t get enough respect in MVP baseball 2005.
  18. I’m of those dorks. But yeah, there’s something wrong with their methodology when Nico has a higher war than Juan Soto (2025). Thanks for bullying me into preferring Fangraphs BTW (in a good way).
  19. bWAR actually ranked the Cubs 25th in RA9 bwar with 7.4 despite being 9th in team ERA. Fangraphs had them at 19th at 13.4 in 2025, which doesn’t exactly check out either. It appears that the Cubs DRS and a more extreme park factor adjustment cut into a lot of those wins. SOS is factored in too (positional bWAR was 1st at 39.2)….. I wasn’t patient enough to read their entire methodology but they assign 590 wins to position players instead of 570. They’ll penalize/reward position players for GIDP, sac flus. Etc Baseball reference is more of a baseball encyclopedia than a player evaluation tool, although it’s convenient.
  20. 7-5 since the all star break with a +35 run differential. Negative war pitchers are responsible for 3 of those losses.
  21. Baseball reference says he’s good, Fangraphs says he’s bad. 2.51 ERA and a .7 bWAR versus a 4.81 FIP and a -.2 fWAR. I’m siding with Fangraphs on this.
  22. Sickening. The fact that Trent Thornton is pitching with a 2-0 lead in the 10th inning just set shows how much work needs to be done with the pitching staff.
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