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Geographyhater8888

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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888

  1. Cubs haven’t swept the diamondbacks since 2015, the longest they’ve gone without a sweep against any national league team.
  2. The run defense between the numbers is my biggest worry. I think they brought in enough speed with better man coverage to to execute some of those exotic blitzes against better offenses, which will help with the pass rush. None of this is ideal but if the offense does their part hopefully mediocre is sufficient.
  3. The defense was by no means a good unit but the first half of the season they were down to their 4th and 5th string cornerbacks and linebackers. Thanks to injuries McCarthy had the 4th quarter of life, Jeanty had his best game as a pro, they couldn’t stop Tyler Huntley and were gashed by a mediocre giants offense. The team we watched from week 10-18 that was 7th in DVOA is a more accurate representation of what this team as close to perfect health. Also thanks to familiarity in the offense and Loveland and Burden taking more snaps.
  4. Only the Pirates worry me and the Brewers are always a pain in the ass.
  5. Ben Brown finally looks like a major league pitcher. Forget about just his sinker but he painted the corner a couple times with his change up and is throwing all 4 pitches for strikes. Credit to Counsell for waving the white flag in enough games to keep the bullpen arms fresh too. No reason to try and finish 162-0. He did the right thing making Assad eat up innings in blowout losses to the Phillies and Dodgers. Last but not least, DFA Happ.
  6. How many first pitch fastballs right down the middle are they going to take?
  7. That’s why it’s a quiet slump. He looks fine, just not getting the results.
  8. Mo is quietly 0 for his last 14 but only struck out once. Cubs have only struck out 8 times since Wednesday.
  9. With Wiggins injury history I wouldn’t at all mind using him as a trade chip while he still has trade value depending on what he’ll fetch.
  10. I don’t expect Tarik Skubal or anything but even a front line bullpen arm would be very useful.
  11. Especially with the increase in innings and pitch count lately from starters thanks to the bullpen injuries. What I like about the team this year compared to last year is the ability to get on base more and the offense thus far has been a lot less volatile. That’s more sustainable on a month to month basis. But another arm is needed if you want to get past the Dodgers without the ‘anything can happen’ mindset.
  12. I’m also wondering who they’ll trade for a starting pitcher. The offense is too good to waste for a second year in a row.
  13. Yes. The 2023 NL wild card race was an all timer. The 82-80 Padres (+104) with 44 fWAR (92 predictive wins), 83-79 Cubs at +96 and a 41 fWAR (89 wins), D Backs and Marlins with 84 a piece at -18 and -57 and 33 and 29 fWARs. Until clutch hitting or other intangibles can ever be quantified then analytics will never get it 100% right. And neither of those teams exactly had any intangibles, just the Cubs and Padres choke factor. I just don’t know how you can award extra wins to high leverage relief or clutch hitting outside of World Series winning odds without subtracting war from the runners who got on base in order to to be put into a situation to score runs.
  14. Analytics say that the team with 3 solo home runs and 15 baserunners for only 3 runs, despite losing 4-3, was better than their opponent with only 1 hit and 3 walks all scoring on a grandslam. They’re correct regardless of what the win column says. It’s an extreme example but calling calling it flawed as a predictive model (not you of course) is nonsense.
  15. All this while Busch has a sub 600 OPS. Reds are still somehow in first at 19-11 with a -5 run differential and almost 6 less war than the Cubs.
  16. It’s nice having your 7-9 hitters driving in all 5 runs too.
  17. Busch just flat out sucks right now. Struggles to square up anything.
  18. Much better sequencing the last 2 games with 15 runs on only 26 baserunners compared to Saturday and Sunday with only 4 runs on 23 baserunners. Reds are 19-10 with only a +6 run differential and the war of a 13-16 team.
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