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Rcal10

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Everything posted by Rcal10

  1. Rcal10
    For all the doomsday fans who think every team in the playoffs is obviously better than the cubs, Padres down 7-0 to the Orioles in SD. I think this might be an O’s sweep and the Padres will have lost 8 of their last 10. Any reason to think they are obviously better than the Cubs? 5 of those losses are to the Twins and O’s.
  2. Rcal10
    Guess 4 was enough. Who knew🤷.
  3. Rcal10
    He is still OPS+ of 115-117. Same as his career. The league has changed. He is still the same level above average as his career numbers say he is going into the year. If he putd up the numbers you are looking for he would be a guy with probably OPS+ of 125 or more. Well above his career norm. But actually I am not arguing with you in this. You are using one set of stats and I am using another. That is fine. I was just trying to explain to NYcubs that I was talking about actual numbers, not expected numbers.
  4. Rcal10
    I would think something is bothering him. I am pretty sure CC isn’t playing this like a spring training game and only playing him 5 innings.
  5. Rcal10
    Actually I am talking about actual numbers. Happ is having his typical year right now. He doesn’t need a strong finish (as Chibear suggested and I disagreed with) to get to his norms. He is there. I will leave the argument about actual stats and expected stats to those who argue it better. Jason and squally do a great job explaining it. If you choose not to agree with them, that is your right. But even using his actual outcomes this year, he is at his norm.
  6. Rcal10
    I remember when there was first talk about the Cubs trading for Fowler some fans being against it because they said the Cubs already had a guy like him. Arismendy.
  7. Rcal10
    🤷 But it happens every year. Same with Swanson. And, IMO, if the Cubs did somehow sign Tucker long term, it would happen with him too.
  8. Rcal10
    This isn’t actually true. Actually he is performing to his career numbers now. He doesn’t have to go off in September to make his typical season. He was down maybe 30 days ago, and I remember you asking if he has ever been down to an OPS+ of 101 (where he was 30 day ago) and ended in his typical 115-120. I believe he has before and actually he has already rebounded to that number now, with 1 month to go. He is the same guy he has been every year. A little streaky( and, yes, a little unlucky this year), but a solid player. He shouldn’t be the star of the team. But he is a good ballplayer, period.
  9. Rcal10
    What dude said you said Happ sucked? I asked why lol. Unless you are referring to someone else, I don’t know where you got the idea that I accused you of thinking Happ sucked.
  10. Rcal10
    Why is this “lol”? It is true. He is just pointing out facts. Just like Jason has done several times when people rip Happ. Ian is right around his career norm now, even with poor luck. He has not had a bad year, for him. Now, if you don’t like him even at his career norms, that is another story. I can understand that. I don’t agree with it, but I understand it. In reality he is an above average offensive player his entire career (15%-20% above average) and a gold glove left fielder for the last 3 years. He will not be easily replaced, as many suggest.
  11. Rcal10
    Nice to come here and not see all the Happ hate. Once again, his numbers are stabilizing to what they usually are. Shocking to some, who apparently don’t follow the team yearly. But to those who do, not a great surprise.
  12. Rcal10
    Agreed. And tbh, I think the no swing on Reamuto was about closer to a 50/50 call than an obvious swing. I get him being upset with the call. But I don’t find it as egregious as the Brewers announcers made it out to be. I think if it was the Cubs, Deshaies would have said 50/50.
  13. Rcal10
    Your loss. Toronto was amazing.
  14. Rcal10
    We doesn’t appear to be too good at bunting for a hit. I am not sure he would bunt at a high rate if getting on base any more than he does swinging away. He can definitely try more often. Might being corners in a little which could result in a ball going through the infield because guys are playing in. And maybe he even gets a good one down. But he definitely shouldn’t do it too often.
  15. Rcal10
    With all due respect, how can you say anything about the Dodgers, Phillies and Padres? Have you watched them all year? If you have you will see that the Cubs record since their hot start is pretty similar to the Dodgers(better, actually) and the Phillies. Padres have done better than the Cubs since July, but overall are not better. Mets are another playoff team who has stayed pretty close to 500 since the beginning of July. All teams are inconsistent. I am sure your concerns about the Cubs are similar concerns of each fan base for their team. For the record, I have the same concerns as you do. Cubs are a flawed good team, just like every other team in the playoffs. Our concerns may come back to bite the Cubs. Boyd and Horton might be done by the playoffs. They offense might struggle. Most likely they won’t win the WS and it will be a result of one of those issues or the pen will blow a series. And then we can all say they just were not good enough. When in reality, they are. They just will not have played well at a bad time. Happy Labor Day and Go Cubs!
  16. Rcal10
    How is this different than most years with the Cubs? My guess is it is no different than any team, most years, but I don’t follow other teams. Hasn’t this been the complaint about the Cubs the last decade, at least. Isn’t all guys not hitting all at once what causes slumps almost every year for almost every baseball team. It definitely was an issue the last few years. So I have no idea how you could have never seen it before.
  17. Rcal10
    This is what I have been saying for days now. They can win. Will they? Probably not. But 11 of 12 teams won’t win. But all of the team in the playoffs can win.
  18. Rcal10
    I’m going to go on a limb here and say if you cherry picked any 80-85 game stretch of any team in baseball this season, maybe with the exception of then Brewers, you can find a stretch they played 500 ball, give or take a game or two. So does that make them an 80-84 win team too?
  19. Rcal10
    So if you are saying there are no great teams, I agree. But the Cubs are among a a group of 12 good teams who can win the WS. Period. Most likely they won’t. But they can. There are 18 teams who can’t say that.
  20. Rcal10
    But what about the handful of other playoff teams doing the exact same thing? Are they more a team who wins 84 games or are they more like their start? Why are the Cubs strictly an average team who got lucky to be 16 games over .500 after 80 games, but the Phillies are good because they were also 16 games over .500 and no better than a little over 500 since. Or the Dodgers who weee 24 games over 500 and since then played under 500 ball. Cubs are what their record says they are They are a good team with flaws that will win 90 games. They could win in the playoffs just as easy as any other team who is in the playoffs. Will they win it? Probably not. But I would say that about every team who will be in the playoffs and be right 11 of the 12 times I say it.
  21. Rcal10
    Don’t know all teams schedule but I know the Yankees are 6-1 against the white sox and Nationals the last 7. Padres just lost 2 of 3 to the Twins. Brewers played Dbacks and Giants in Milwaukee for 7 of those games. I am pretty sure the Mets just lost to the Marlins. It happens. I would have been happy with a 6-3 trip. But 5-4 isn’t the sky is falling bad. Just not good enough to gain in the division.
  22. Rcal10
    Dodgers were 24 games over .500 after 86 games. Been under since. Phillies and Mets have also played pretty close to .500 since that time as well. So are all those teams slightly above average and overachieved early in the season? No matter how or when you win games, if you win more than 90 games you are not slightly above average. You are good. Good doesn’t mean not flawed. Good doesn’t mean you can’t play poorly. But good does mean you can beat anyone.
  23. Rcal10
    I just used a random date of July 3rd to check the standings. At that time the Cubs were 17 over .500. Phillies were 15 over, Mets 12 over and the Dodger were 24 over .500. So basically none of those teams has exactly lit it up since then. Dodgers are under .500 since then. So did those teams overachieve in the first half? And now they are not very good? I am not disagreeing with you when you say they haven’t played well. But someone has to win in the playoffs. So I guess it has to be either the Padres (who are 2-5 in their last 7) or the Brewers. I think when anyone watches just one team they tend to see their flaws. I think all fan bases feel the same way about their team as you do, the Cubs. I agree with you also on GO CUBS.
  24. Rcal10
    His last 3 starts before today, have been good. I mean, they still should hit him. But he is pitching better lately.
  25. Rcal10
    BABIP gods really hurting him this one. They have 2 hard hit balls. He has not been great lately. But this game is very much not a true reflection of how he has pitched.
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