I agree that they should spend on one more and maybe even 2 more solid pen arms. But I don’t think it is just luck, what they do. And as for a pen taking time to gel, the issues with the pen last year were not guys they signed in the off season. They were guys they depended on because they were pretty good the year before. Same thing with the ‘24 season. If I remember correctly Alzolay blew 5 games early. He was someone they depended on. In ‘25 the worst pen guys early were Pressley, who they traded for, Merryweather, Pearson and Hodge. Might as well add Morgan too. The cheap FA pickups were fine. That said, sure they miss on some. And sometimes it does take a little time to gel. But that happens with “proven” arms too. Last year Williams and Scott were supposed to be great pen arms. The year before Hader was terrible the fist month of the season. Bednar sucked in ‘24 as well.
It happens to good relievers too. I am fine with Jed and the FO evaluating cheap pen talent. However , this year since they aren’t spending much elsewhere they should look to the pen to spend on a few. And then find cheap talent. We all know they have a lot is spots to fill.