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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Really curious what the plan is bat-wise if they don't end up with Castro. Suarez really took up all the oxygen in the room on the non pitching rumor front.
  2. Brett acting like he and Cerami don't work together is so obnoxious Kittredge is solid though. Very acceptable RP get if the team pulls down a primo starter.
  3. Via Sharma a little while ago. Reading that, plus my expectations coming into this, I'd personally expect two more pitchers tomorrow, one SP and one traditional single inning reliever.
  4. I would be VERY surprised if they get two SPs beyond Soroka. A lot of why we've talked about 2 SPs is depth, and having Soroka in the pen in long relief would provide that depth.
  5. Two more thoughts: - The Nationals are pretty bad at pitching development. so there might be additional magic Hottovy can work - Losing Franklin likely means Kevin Alcantara sticks around. While not a slam dunk that felt like a bit of an either/or situation
  6. Things I like about this: - I'm consistently the "but his xFIP!" guy, so obviously I believe he's better than his ERA. Further, his numbers fall apart the 3rd time through. If this was a playoff starter, that's a major issue. For a backend guy 5 amd dive is perfectly fine - He is mediocre enough that I'm not worried about not getting another starter - Similar to Rea, there's some flexibility vis a vis bullpen vs. rotation Things I don't like about this - The lower levels of the org have had a bad enough year that I don't love giving up one of the lone bright spots like Cruz - That velo drop the last few outings is a bit scary
  7. I wonder if the Cubs end up being involved here as the second leg of a Preller special. Like this - Padres trade for Mason Miller - Cubs trade for Robert Suarez (maybe including McGuire in a deal since the Padres are down so bad for catching help?) - Padres use that freed up $$$ for a bat, Marcell Ozuna maybe?
  8. Oof, Mule had a very bad game. A lot of his games this year the line has ended ugly but it's like "he was cruising through 3 and then got tired and lost the zone" but very much not the issue today. Yet another guy where it sucks that we don't have A- ball for him.
  9. Keith Law and Eric Longenhagen each had him Top 40 in lists that came out in the last week
  10. This is a really good point. It's pretty clear the Cubs want a guy who could start a playoff game this year and still be under controlnext year. That leaves, barring someone surprising being available: - Sandy Alcantara - Mitch Keller - Joe Ryan - Edward Cabrera - Mackenzie Gore Those first two guys likely have broad markets because their salaries limit the prospect cost. Those other three? They feel like Cubs or bust. Dodgers and Mariners aren't shopping SP, and other teams don't have the expendable prospect capital.
  11. Do you have any setting between irrational exuberance and clinical depression?
  12. The sense I get from the rumors is that the team REALLY wants a cost controlled SP, but if they can't make that work they'll pivot to a monster reliever. So like, making up names for effect, Plan A would be Edward Cabrera and Raisel Iglesias, while Plan B would be Merrill Kelly and Griffin Jax. If you start seeing the Cubs more hotly connected to the primo closers, IMO that means be prepared to be disappointed on the SP front.
  13. You always want to have at least one guy at AAA who you would be comfortable starting a big league game. Between injuries and Brown's innings reset Wicks kind of needed to just hold tight at Iowa as that guy. Now with reinforcements close I suspect that if both are still in the org past the deadline one of Brown/Wicks will own the Chris Flexen long reliever role going forward the rest of the year.
  14. Alcantara making a last push to get traded in the next 30 hours and probably be a big leaguer within the next few weeks
  15. I don't know if I agree with this. There's a reason that when Rosenthal or Passan say something we immediately go "Wow, interesting, so that would likely mean..." and when Nightengale or Bowden say something it's always prefaced by "Look I know this bozo is always wrong, but there's nothing better to talk about so I'm posting it anyway."
  16. Assad sitting 92 through 2 innings. Solid enough, though ideally he'd be closer to 93.
  17. There's also this I hate to beat a dead horse, but "we need to protect from our rookie 3B struggling" and "we need some additional CF depth" brings me back to one oft-mentioned name.
  18. 2.3 fWAR pace since he came back in May. And that's not accounting for his wOBA/xwOBA gap or the fact that DRS likes his defense a heck of a lot more than Statcast does. I don't think Shaw is better than Suarez right now, but I do believe the gap is small enough that the juice isn't worth the squeeze.
  19. Yeah with Assad and Taillon looking like they're each approximately two weeks out there's maybe not that same desperation for merely competent innings. Like I'd still LOVE Bieber as a second SP, but I think there's less need for someone in the Morton/Houser/Soroka tier.
  20. This from Passan stood out to me
  21. Caissie/Alcantara/Long back in the Iowa lineup. and joined by Amaya on rehab
  22. If you read what Trueblood just posted, plus what has been out there in the Athletic and ESPN, it really sounds like the team wants 3 pitchers: - An impact type, ideally under control for a few years. A legitimate core piece - Another solid pitcher, ideally not too prospect expensive - An opportunistic buy to help lengthen the staff. Opportunistic could be a salary dump or an injury risk or someone that needs to be pitch-labbed, but this guy won't cost a ton of prospects I think it's pretty clear the above should be two SPs and a RP, though I don't know if the team is dead set on that. I would hope that reflects optimism around the health of Taillon/Assad?
  23. Not shocking, I assumed he would last a few more days but him making it through the weekend was always in doubt
  24. FWIW when Rosenthal posts stuff this direct it tends to be "when" more than "if"
  25. Worth noting before people get their pitchforks out that Longenhagen was the low guy on Caissie and Mo coming into the year. So it's less that he's dropped them and more that he hasn't bumped them up.
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