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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I believe Matt Shaw has graduated, and Horton has not but subjectively it feels a little silly to still be ranking him
  2. Bertz
    Jesus Christ
  3. Bertz
    Why? Why would you be nervous? In what world does a 50 PA sample for a 30 year old mean anything?
  4. Bertz
    I'm not going to dictate how people can engage eith the sport, but I mean yeah that's generally the healthy response. It's a long season, streaks and slumps happen. The very best teams of all time still lose ~50 games. The slumps the Cubs have gone through to this point have been comically short to this point. If you get this worked up when the team loses to guys like Zack Wheeler and Tarik Skubal, on the road no less, how in the world are you going to cope with actual adversity presents itself?
  5. Bertz
    So the record vs. teams over .500 since an arbitrary date thing is dumb on the merits, but I just realized it's not actually even correct? Since April 23rd 1-3 vs Phillies 2-1 vs Milwaukee 1-2 vs SF 1-2 vs the Mets 4-2 vs. the Reds 1-2 vs the Tigers That's 10-12, not 4-9. I'm not even sure how you get 4-9? Like the Reds are 1 game over so I could see them not being included depending on when you checked but backing them out still doesn't do it.
  6. Bertz
    Oh my mistake it's about 13 games. That's way better lol
  7. Bertz
    Getting mad about losing to the likes of Zack Wheeler and Tarik Skubal, on the road no less, is just a glaring sign you don't know ball
  8. Bertz
    Rotation planning for next year is going to be fascinating: - Taillon, Boyd, and barring something unforeseen Shota are all under contract. All three look good this year, all three are old enough to demand a little side-eye regardless - Rea's club option looks modestly team friendly - Javier Assad starts making arb money - Sanders, Birdsell, and Wicks all have a reasonable likelihood of pitching themselves into deserving a shot over the next 4 months - Brown and Horton are pitching well enough that you suspect they will both deserve rotation spots. However given their injury histories giving them both spots out of the gate would be dumb - Steele and Wiggins both look to have ETA's of ~Memorial Day. Similar to Brown/Horton, there's Frontline talent there but significant risk - If the team misses out on Tucker, the obvious pivot is a SP, similar to how NYY's Soto pivot was Fried+Bellinger Very delicate balance between cashing in chips, keeping enough depth, not wasting "bullets" and roster management/financial considerations.
  9. Bertz
    The pitching matchups heavily favor the Phillies this series, but they're scuffling pretty hard right now so hopefully it's at least three more days before they right the ship
  10. Bertz
    Are we thinking he didn't go deeper because he was only on 4 days rest?
  11. Bertz
    I like Houck a lot coming into the year, and like TT I wouldn't say no to Bello, but both of those are clearly 2026+ moves. It's highly unlikely you're fixing either guy on the fly (Houck especially who has some injury contributing to his issues). Short term Chapman’s a great fit, but horsefeathers that guy so pass. Giolito looks completely cooked so no thanks there, I wouldn'teven want to spend the roster spot on him at the moment. Beuhler isn't great, but I like him more than Rea? I'd take him if the cost was just some cap space. Garret Whitlock seems like he'd be a legitimately impactful reliever. I think he's the only pitcher on that roster I'd be excited for.
  12. Bertz
    I think the fact that he's moving around a bit defensively is a sign they think the bat is ready-ish. I wouldn't be surprised if he's up before too long. Likely the next time someone hits the IL. I do think the team values soft skills/leadership/etc. quite a bit. So I don't expect Turner to just be kicked to the curb, especially since he has been playing a lot better of late. Unless he nosedives again he'll be around for a while yet.
  13. Bertz
    Apparently Caissie and Alcantara are young enough that they weren't born yet when Hill was drafted by the Cubs
  14. Bertz
    Rich Hill is carving up Iowa right now which is pretty cool
  15. Bertz
    After the Dodgers' bullpen meltdown today, the Cubs are 2.5 games up on a first round bye At this point probably better for the Cards to win these games than the Dodgers?
  16. Bertz
  17. Bertz
  18. Bertz
    Honestly I just want another good night from Brown and if they come out with a W that's just gravy
  19. Bertz
    Also worth noting that he is pitching in a park/league where an .800 OPS is barely above average.
  20. Bertz
    This is great, really great. A couple things catch my eye in particular: - The team "not necessarily being as focused on a top-end starter as the fans." I'm aligned if they're not going out hunting for a Cy Young contender, but I assume the plan is to net a legitimate playoff starter? Like you don't need Chris Sale but I do think you *need* someone else at least Matt Boyd caliber? - The Ryan McMahon stuff is interesting, but if you bring him in for Nico that feels ideally like an offseason move. Nico's a big part of the clubhouse, and moving Shaw or McMahon back over to second feels like it would temporarily hobble the defense while either guy got back used to the position and in sync with Dansby. That said Nico is part of the post '26 roster cliff while McMahon is signed for an additional year. Plus McMahon as a lefty infielder is a good fit, and I assume there's some low hanging player development fruit to get more out of him than the Rockies have been lately - I also really like Drew Rasmussen. Passan flagged him in his column earlier this week, and I think Rasmussen and Fairbanks is pretty much ideal one stop shopping for Jed. And then tying back to the last point
  21. Bertz
    I've been slow to move off of this but I don't think there's much of a good argument for Caissie > Long at this point
  22. Bertz
    It's not nearly as bad as April. Honestly only three series in this stretch are all that intimidating. The next two against Detroit/Philly, and then @ the Yankees heading into the ASB. Teams like Cleveland, Milwaukee, and STL aren't bad, but they're not worth stressing over IMO.
  23. Bertz
    Honestly even setting aside his struggles Miller's spot was probably at least a little warm the moment they signed Brasier. Can't carry a ton of ROOGYs at once.
  24. Bertz
    I'll say if the rumor of Jed wanting to get a SP in house sooner rather than later is true, Gallen's easily the best option IMO. Bring him in, give Hottovy a month to see if his issues are indeed a quick fix him, if not (or god forbid there's further injury) go back to market at the end of July. Similar to Billy Beane adding Jeff Samardzija and Jon Lester in 2014.
  25. Bertz
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/can-the-diamondbacks-survive-their-rotation-troubles/ Ben Clemens lays out a fairly compelling case that he's simply throwing too many fastballs
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