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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    I'm really curious to see what the rotation is for the series after this, because that likely telegraphs how they go into the Brewers series. But between the off day Monday and the returns of Assad/Taillon it's hard to say with any certainty right now. My guess: - Horton/Boyd/Rea against the Jays, with Assad starting one last time for Iowa on Tuesday - Then Shota/Taillon/Brown against the Pirates - That sets up Horton/Assad/Boyd/Rea/Shota against the Brewers, with all five guys getting a full five days rest for their start
  2. Bertz
    With how much worse the Cards' lineup is against lefties than righties, and with Sonny Gray going Sunday, you realllly want to get this one in. Win tonight and split the next two.
  3. Bertz
    Assuming he doesn't get another AB tonight, Ty Southisene has a .421 OBP going back to June 20th.
  4. Bertz
    Cristian Hernandez crossed the 40 steal mark tonight When he starts converting some more of that raw power into actual slugging he's going to get really exciting really fast.
  5. Bertz
    405 feet
  6. Bertz
    Mule is pitching his best game in a long time
  7. Bertz
    Oh nice, I didn't realize it lined up like this. Makes it almost certainly we'll miss him next weekend.
  8. Bertz
    I think unfortunately with pitching there's just a really high degree of fragility as a baseline. Like all of these machinations are to try and improve from say a 40% chance of a major injury in the next three years to like a 30% chance. Because that baseline is so high and so much data is proprietary it's hard to do a study on what exactly works. What we have seen is some pullback from the extreme babying that the league had moved toward late last decade. It's been notable in the minor league threads how much deeper pitchers are working into games. The current wisdom seems to be coalescing towards something closer to what Japan has, where you can ride guys a little harder on a game by game basis but the flipside is a push towards 5 or 6 days of rest as often as you can manage. I wouldn't be surprised if next CBA drops down to 154 games and every team gets one off day every single week.
  9. Bertz
    The White Sox sort of did this with Crochet last year, only quibble is it was more like 3-4 innings, but it appears to have worked out swimmingly. He threw 146 innings after never topping 65 before in college or the minors and has had no ill effects this season.
  10. Bertz
    The waiver route is the only reliable way to get talent at this point. Anything else is a lottery ticket. The teams to keep an eye on for putting legitimate talent through waivers are teams that bought on July 31st and fell out of it in August. Bonus points if they're near one of the LT thresholds or if they have a player in his walk year making good salary but not worth a QO. So IMO the team to keep an eye on is Texas. They're right at the LT line, have 9 pitchers who are impending FAs, and currently have 35% playoff odds. The Angels and Reds were surprise buyers at the deadline, and another month of not making much traction could push them over the edge too. I think for the Reds especially Nick Martinez and Emilio Pagan each have pretty healthy salaries, they'd save $4-5M if they dumped both of them in a few weeks.
  11. Bertz
    Jefferson Rojas has played 17 games at AA. The first 8 he got his ass kicked, the latter 9 he's hitting .242/.390/.364 with more walks than K's. Because of the dire straits around offense in the Southern League that's a 133 wRC+. He's the 5th youngest player in AA this year.
  12. Bertz
    Since June 1st: .250/.335/.410, 109 wRC+ From a guy who was considered the best defensive catcher in last year's draft. The ceiling probably isn't super high, something like Yan Gomes, but I think he's a thing.
  13. Bertz
    Ariel Armas on base 3 more times tonight (and it's only the 5th). I think he's a back of the top 30 guy for me. If he hits at all he's a big leaguer and he's been hitting for a few months now.
  14. Bertz
    Sure, that feels like a lot of extra effort to get a worse hitter more at bats?
  15. Bertz
    Carson Kelly is a much better hitter against lefties than Ian Happ. And if you have a Turner/Kelly/Swanson/Shaw bottom of the order it's pretty easy to neutralize in the late innings with righty relievers.
  16. Bertz
    Assad's second start with Iowa is I believe lined up for tomorrow as well. I think it's reasonable to expect both guys back as early as the Pittsburgh series next weekend. And then Amaya got a bunch of at bats last week but hasn't caught a 9 inning game yet. So he probably joins the team in STL this weekend?
  17. Bertz
    Love it. If he does well at South Bend he's still at a pretty age appropriate level going forward despite being a senior sign.
  18. Bertz
    Cubs offered more by TVM to both
  19. Bertz
    They also tried to sign both Scott and Bregman through at least '27 last winter.
  20. Bertz
    Yeah I suspect the plan is to start using Brown in bulk relief, and maybe Assad too. That's a good way to mitigate the innings limitations with so much of the current rotation. It'd be a really good day for the offense to flex its muscles and let Brown have a soft landing into long relief.
  21. Bertz
    https://www.fangraphs.com/projections?type=zips&stats=rel&pos=all&team=0&players=0&lg=all&z=1754295716&sortcol=14&sortdir=asc&pageitems=30&statgroup=dashboard&fantasypreset=dashboard 3.35 ERA according to ZiPS, and a bunch of the guys around him are second tier closers like Kirby Yates and Trevor Megill
  22. Bertz
    Pressly still projected very well coming into the year
  23. Bertz
    Do they? They haven't run a huge payroll since Dombrowski left, they chickened out of paying Mookie Betts, and they more or less reneged on paying Devers at the first opportunity.
  24. Bertz
    Curious what kind of power the team thinks Southisene can grow into. Is it Nick Madrigal power like he's displayed to this point? Because as a shortstop who steals a ton of bases that probably is playable. Or can he end up in the JP Crawford or Bryson Stott neighbordhood?
  25. Bertz
    Yeah Happ's not going anywhere, and the small chance he does go somewhere is contingent on Tucker being re-signed.
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