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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Isaac Paredes was a much bigger get than Reid Detmers would be
  2. He was really really good for us last September in long relief by simply spamming cutters way more than he ever had before or since. Hopefully it's just that simple to get him back there.
  3. Beck and Sanders would typically be due to go today and tomorrow. Curious how everyone is lined up coming out of the break.
  4. Owen Ayers 3/4 with a BB Dude just refuses to stop
  5. Wheels fell off for Wiggins here in the 3rd
  6. https://www.si.com/extra-mustard/2023/06/03/aaron-judge-addresses-viral-arson-judge-tweet-free-agency Enjoy some Jon Heyman silliness
  7. It was already likely but now more or less official Cubs will miss Arson Judge in a few weeks as well
  8. I think too Marionneaux looked like a $$$ saving pick live but now that seems less likely
  9. This has nothing to do with what I wrote or what I responded to
  10. No Joe Ryan because the Twins are lining him up for Cleveland and no Buxton because he's hurt. Even with Rea going tonight should be a very winnable series.
  11. Sahadev with an awesome draft recap: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7451150/2026/07/17/cubs-draft-pitchers/?source=user_shared_article&unlocked_article_code=1.yVA.5ve5.M5kNY_tNDMtI&smid=ta-android-share (I believe this is a gift link so anyone should be able to read) - Jasa just started pitching a few years ago. So combine that with some athleticism gains the team thinks it can get out of his gangly body they think there's a ton of untapped potential - Marionneaux's Jamie Moyer-esque velocity has been overstated, he added 5 MPH over the course of his college career and by this year was touching 95 - Morton's a spin monster and there's a ton of Logan Webb to him. Obvious injury issues of course - Veasey's got good stuff *right now* despite very little experience. Team thinks some pitch lab work in particular will unlock another gear
  12. Rain's actually supposed to help. I think it more or less pulls all the gunk out of the air on its way down.
  13. Yeah, Socialists hate when corporations pay workers too much. You definitely understand how all this stuff works.
  14. Bibee's interesting, most of his numbers say back-end starter but you look at that Z-Contact rate like Matt Shaw is the presumptive favorite for one of the open corner outfield spots next year. And he's set to do that while making the league minimum. So IMO to trade him IMO you need to both A) get someone back who cheaply fills a 2027 hole and B) feel like you're selling high on him (i.e. you think he has a below average bat when not getting generous platoon duty). I'm tending towards bullish on Shaw's offense, so I'm tending towards finding it hard to find trades I can justify. A trade from Chicago to Cleveland of young RHH bats for young arms does feel like a pretty glove perfect fit this deadline though, even if Shaw feels too rich for my blood.
  15. I don't think a lefty reliever is a big priority. Rolison has been death on lefties, Thielbar's step back has mostly been against RHP, Webb's a reverse splits guy, etc. I would certainly not poo poo a reliever the caliber of Morejon, but I'm much more worried about late matchups against RHH as opposed to LHH. Like right now this second if you need to get out a tough righty your best bet is Tyler Ferguson? I think you need a closer or closer adjacent arm, and then IMO you'd like someone with some serious juice on the fastball who is tough on righties (Johnny Lasagna is having a resurgence woth AZ?). I also, while it didn't work out, wouldn't hate another Jose Cuas type trade where you acquire someone optionable. One of the writers threw Victor Vodnik out there and I'd be into that. If Tommy can fix him on the fly awesome, if not he's Iowa depth and a guy you hopefully can fix over the offseason.
  16. Lol that March 25th start date is purely there to set the deadline to resolve the CBA earlier. Honestly savvy move on Manfred to manage up.
  17. The Brewers are clearly the smartest team in the league, they're the new Rays and have been for the better part of 5 years. But even the smartest team in the league is still only stacking 53/47 type bets, they're not omniscient.
  18. Curious if this is "we think we can fix him" or "we're pretty worried about Harrison's elbow"
  19. It's not perfect, but a decent rule of thumb for identifying buyers vs. sellers is playoff odds above/below 10%ish Currently the teams below that line are AL - Royals, A's, Angels NL - Nats, Mets, Reds, Giants, Rockies The Padres are really close (12%) but AJ Preller is a sociopath so I wouldn't expect them to sell unless they really tank the next few weeks. The O's, Jays, Tigers, Astros, and Dbacks are also under 30%, so a bad two weeks would likely tip their scales towards selling.
  20. Regular reminder that all offenses streak and slump, even the good ones. You just don't notice because you don't watch those teams every day
  21. You joke but I mean the only thing this guy brings to the table is access, so you do have to wonder
  22. Vodnik is a great idea, I'd be really into seeing what he can do outside of Coors The bullpen is in a weird spot. Right now it's clearly short multiple bodies, but there's several guys (presumably) due back from injury plus potential contributions from the kids. You dont want to load up with JAGs, but there's also no guarantee e.g Palencia and Brown don't have setbacks. I think the right balance is to add one veteran closer or closer adjacent arm, and then add a guy or guys with MiLB options who you can move out of the way assuming the team convelesces properly. None of these three guys are closer adjacent, or even really close, but Vodnik and Winn are optionable. Vodnik has monstrous stuff. It's worth seeing if some combo of coaching and getting him out of Coors can get the command to at least respectable. I assume even if he's fixable he'd need an offseason, but still worth having in the pen for a few weeks before it gets back to being full strength. Maybe you grt lucky and can fix him in the fly.
  23. Craig also doesn't have a Twitter as far as I can tell
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