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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Yeah you have to imagine he ends this season at AA. I don't think it'll be soon, the team really really prefers guys go through a slump and manage to pull themselves out of it before they promote them, but in like August? I bet that's fair game.
  2. Bertz
    I would honestly give him a couple weeks at Myrtle. He's missed a ton of time and SB was already a somewhat aggressive assignment. Give him this weekend in AZ and like 2-3 weeks at Myrtle, he can go to SB in early July.
  3. Bertz
    I would love to hear a first or even second hand account of what the hell happened to Noland this season. You'd think for a finesse guy like him that added velo would be a big deal. And I guess it has been, but in the wrong direction. Possibly related: Taillon’s season went from bad to disastrous at roughly the point his velo returned.
  4. Bertz
    With all this talk about Conrad and Wiggins, this from Fangraphs' rankings update rings around my head a bit I do wonder to what extent they are worried about not playing in organized games equating directly to lost development time. Especially when you see things like the Owen Ayers anecdote yesterday where he leveled up while on the IL and taking ABs off the Trajekt machine. No guarantee they're right, but it's interesting.
  5. Bertz
    Uhhhh does Ayers need to go to Iowa? It feels like jumping the gun after 37 games but he's got a 1.000 OPS in what is not exactly a hitters league
  6. Bertz
    Yeah Beck especially already got a weekend in Iowa. Move him up full time. I assume some of it too is trying to not dump veteran arms too soon. I wonder if we have to wait until July when trades are more on the table. I'd start shortening a few of these guys up at Tenn (most are doing multi-inning relief or short starts) though in prep for being pure 1-inning guys immediately at Iowa.
  7. Bertz
    Good writeup from Brett I feel like broadly there's some arms at Tenn that should be at Iowa if not immediately pretty soon. Santy feels clear since he'salready a reliever. But Kipp, Schultz, Dean and Schlaffer are all guys who are probably slim bets to make it as SPs but can probably make it as a RPs and are frankly old enough that we should just pull the rip cord.
  8. Bertz
    Yeah we simply don't get play by play on MiLB injury recovery, and we're sometimes lucky to get anything at all. I don't think we heard what Rojas or Mathis' injuries were for instance. Half the pitchers who get TJ we find out not from official sources but from instagram when they post the pics of themselves thumbs upping the camera post op. Conrad's just going to randomly show up in an ACL game at some point, and we sort of have to just twiddle our thumbs until then.
  9. Bertz
    Catcher attrition is too much for me to have any interest in that. The two best catchers in the league last year (Raleigh and Kirk) have been horsefeathers this year. Adley Rutschman was one of the brigthest young stars in the league, spent two full seasons being merely fine, and is now back to being a star. Hell Carson Kelly on a per PA basis has been basically the exact same player as Contreras since the start of last year. I could go on and on. I don't love Amaya as an everyday option either, but if you went out and grabbed a guy currently performing at a star level like Shea Langeliers odds are pretty strong he faceplants next year. If we were bereft at the position I'd probably grin and bear it but with at this moment three solid young(ish) options on hand I think the portfolio approach is the way to go.
  10. Bertz
    Carter Trice has a 119 wRC+ and 10 dongs, which at this point in the year is a ~25 dong pace. He plays all three outfield spots and he's totally age-appropriate for Tennessee. I don't think he's a huge prospect, but feels like he's tracking well for some sort of Austin Hays like good RHH 4th outfielder role.
  11. Bertz
    I don't think he's the backup next year but I do think he'll be at Iowa and considered legitimate depth. I somewhat envision a situation where we carry three catchers next year: Amaya, Ballesteros, and a more generic defensive-minded option. The 3rd guy allows you to use Mo's bat on days he's not catching without worrying about getting caught with your pants down if there's an injury. Ayers provides depth obviously in case of injury, but also in case Amaya or Mo don't perform when handed a larger share of the catcher duties (a fairly legitimate concern IMO). And of course you hope he just forces his way up to the bigs offensively.
  12. Bertz
    Man Lovich is on one hell of a heater. With his age and the fact that his last slump was deeeeeeeep I wouldn't hate letting him just beat up on Low A for a while to absolutely prove it, but it does feel like he's probably leveled up and ready for SB.
  13. Bertz
    Not a sparkling outing from Mule but I'll take 6 Ks 1 BB (+ a HBP) all day from him
  14. Bertz
    I don't know if the swing itself is different but Southisene has wayyyyyyy opened up his stance
  15. Bertz
    Kepley and Mathis have already donged. The SB lineup is relentless
  16. Bertz
    phew
  17. Bertz
    The fact that they didn't announce it with the Taillon/Roberts swap might mean he's just in town as essentially a taxi squad guy. It is Coors Field after all. But like yeah based on the trends from the first two months of the season "assume everyone is healthy and back into a rationale from there" isn't my default. And I don't think it can be a simple option Assad/call up Ferguson because it's been less than 15 days since he was optioned to Iowa in the first place. Ditto DFAing Thornton.
  18. Bertz
    I believe someone has to go on the IL to facilitate that latter move....
  19. Bertz
    Team pitching staff HR/FB leaders and laggards through 6/8 last year: Three Worst: Dodgers, Dbacks, Orioles Three Best: Mets, Giants, Cardinals Those same teams' ranks From 6/9 onwards: Dodgers (1st), Dbacks (7th), Orioles (22nd) Mets (19th), Giants (4th), Cardinals (25th) ETA: Correlation in 1H/2H HR/FB rates was 0.097
  20. Bertz
    The good news about something like this is you can justify doing it regardless of what the standings look like. It's purely about finding the proper exchange of value. That said I would generally lean toward getting someone a little more established, something more akin to the Edward Cabrera deal. But the specifics matter a lot, and Boston's got a lot of pitching so it's not a matchup I'd dismiss out of hand. The team probably needs two SPs and two OFs this winter. You can probably count on Shaw for one of those SP spots, especially if we have a Conforto type on the bench to compliment him. So if you trade Shaw for pitching it should be for a guy who is a no doubter for a SP slot. Not a young guy competing to be in the mix, someone whose name you write into the rotation in pen.
  21. Bertz
  22. Bertz
    Yeah I'd have a hard time not taking a college SP if the board falls like it keeps doing in all these mocks. Pretty much every one has 2-3 of Dietz, Kuhns, Townsend, Reddemann, Flukey there for our pick. Quibble with any of them but man it'd be tough to pass on all of them. Pitching in the system is slowly starting to get back on track, add three 7-figure arms and the situation might get back to healthy.
  23. Bertz
    Caple also pitched well. I need him to get the ball on the ground a bit more but he's done great in the early going at Tenn.
  24. Bertz
    Yeah it's a filter you can choose on Fangraphs. "Live Stats - Full Season"
  25. Bertz
    Rojas another dong, Ayers another double. Yeesh
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