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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Alcantara with yet another big game 🥱 Long has gotten really hot recently, good to see. I kind of wonder if his elbow injury in ST contributed any to his early season struggles?
  2. Bertz
    21 whiffs in his three innings here...keep him firmly parked in low leverage for a while but I am feeling it
  3. Bertz
    Good to know Honestly given the quality of his stuff I look at walks allowed as almost as important as runs. 2 in 16 batters isn't good, but it's not bad. And that's before this context. He's also a guy that has run out of steam and gotten wild at the end of a lot of outings, but tonight he had a rough first and then hunkered down and pitched well until he hit his pitch count.
  4. Bertz
    I just looked it up and he's already at a career high in innings because the Mets shoved him into relief way too early. I'd start eying him for the early season Ben Brown role ASAP. Give him a stopover in Iowa of course but if he keeps doing this he should be a big leaguer in weeks not months.
  5. Bertz
    Jace Beck is shoving early, Mule was not as fortunate
  6. Bertz
    Yeah as tough as this matchup is fundamentally individual baseball games never get much past 70/30. Like I saw recently the Pirates lost 7 Paul Skenes starts in a row. Horsefeathers happens.
  7. Bertz
    Yeah I kind of wonder if they expect to use Velasquez tonight. Rea/Velasquez/Murray to get you through tonight, tomorrow you swap out the latter two for Peterson/Wilson and have a relatively rested staff, though Wilson's probably only giving you three or four on Sunday
  8. Bertz
    This weekend is brutal, but after Milwaukee we don't face another good SP until Cincinnati the last series before the ASB. Dustin May and Walker are probably the top dogs in that three series span.
  9. Bertz
    Wing only went one inning, hoping that's an inning management thing and not an injury
  10. Bertz
    The Dodgers won a WS with 1 good SP who came off the IL in mid September, 1 ****** SP who had a well timed dead cat bounce, and a bullpen they rode like hell
  11. Bertz
    Woof IIRC in '24 I believe he went down, started building back up, and then there was a "j/k we're shutting him down again." I seem to remember them alluding to some lessons learned and a better understanding of his neck and how it responds. Hopefully once he's back on the mound he's back on the mound, but yeah decent chance he's done for the year again.
  12. Bertz
    I don't know the exact number, but I think there is 3-4 days of wiggle room for adding a traded/claimed player to your active roster. So I suspect Wilson and Peterson get added to the roster Saturday/Sunday, and Velasquez/Murray will eat some innings tonight and tomorrow before getting swapped out.
  13. Bertz
    There has been way more good news than bad on the pitching front this year on the farm. The problem is that the situation was absolutely dire at the end of last year, so a stack of good news has the pitching on the farm still only up to to "solidly below average." Like OO said the draft is going to impact a lot. If they do a 2022 style draft I think we'd be back in the black. The team has four top 100 picks, add in money that can be shifted around and you can probably give out five or six million dollar bonuses? Do 1-2 hitters and the rest pitchers, plus a few more Coppola/Jerzembeck types at slot in the later rounds, and suddenly you're a bit flush with pitching.
  14. Bertz
    With the x stats I think it's part Wrigley being more neutral this year (so far, feels like August is when it got really bad last year) and part him hitting the ball up the middle less. He's not like gone full Paredes or anything, but he's gone less extreme in the other direction. In 24/25 Dansby pulled about 1/3rd of his barrels, with half going to CF and the rest oppo. This year he's had 14 barrels, 8 (57%) have been pulled and 6 (43%) have been to CF. He hasn't gone oppo with one at all.
  15. Bertz
    Shota's also got a 3.65 xERA. So even if you feel like pitchers control how loud the contact against them is (I mostly disagree, but we'll set that aside) Shota has not been getting hammered like e.g. Taillon.
  16. Bertz
    Yeah RHH 1B is just such a high bar. We've seen it play out with Long, you basically can't stop hitting even for a second. Add in Mathis' durability issues and I like him but he can't be the reason you don't address a crisis like this on the big league team.
  17. Bertz
    Looks like Peterson last pitched on Sunday in long relief. So he's naturally lined up for Saturday, though maybe they give him the extra day and have him go on Sunday given the timing of the trade? We're still going to have to bullpen game it for one of the games this weekend. I would maybe white flag tomorrow's game? Throw out Velasquez and make him just eat innings given you're probably not touching Miz anyway. Then Rea/Peterson each on an extra day of rest Saturday/Sunday and from there the rotation is back to being fairly normal.
  18. Bertz
    I liked Swanson at the time, but even my enthusiasm was "he's better than Bogaerts straight up, and has a decent chance at beating out Correa and Turner on efficiency". Being easily the best contract and arguably the best player straight up 3.5 years in was not on my bingo card.
  19. Bertz
    Dansby Swanson's at 2.1 WAR after yesterday's outburst. He's tied with Aaron Judge, Gunnar Henderson, and William Contreras.
  20. Bertz
    Wow, this is a lot better than I assumed we could do in these circumstances. Peterson's a league average / good #4 type starter. Good stop the bleeding type of move. I would think unless he bombs or by some miracle we get everyone healthy (plus another trade) he's in the rotation for the long haul this year. I like Mathis, and there's probably some level of desperation premium here, but I find it hard to sweat losing our ~15th ranked prospect too much.
  21. Bertz
  22. Bertz
    These two (and Ayers) are so fun
  23. Bertz
    It was a super rough start, but Jostin Florentino appears to have gotten his footing at SB
  24. Bertz
    In his last two months of minor league games, Kevin Alcantara has a 26.8% K rate, 13.7% BB rate, wRC+ in the 140s, and is swatting dongs at a 39 per season pace He's still 23, I don't understand why we've completely written him off.
  25. Bertz
    Bryse Wilson *probably* sucks, but I do find it interesting that both Stuff models love the four seam fastball he threw with the Phillies and hate his cutter. The Phillies are a good pitching dev org so I doubt it's this simple but there appears to be a relatively simple "way more 4s + way fewer Cutters = profit" story just from perusing his Fangraphs page?
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