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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. I'll say even as someone who has A) generally been pro-Dansby and B) thinks much of this fanbase is whiny petulant children, it's worth noting that this was the worst slump of Dansby's Cubs career. And it's not close, and unlike some of the others there wasn't a "but his xwOBA!" excuse I don't blame people for thinking "oh he mighy actually be cooked this time."
  2. So the situation at Iowa is definitely not good, but it's worth noting that the International League has about a 4.85 collectively and Iowa's park is a hitters park on top of that. An ERA starting eith a 4 at Iowa is solid and anything starting with a 3 is frankly doing great.
  3. I would kick Thornton to the curb, continue allocating one spot to the Murray/Ferguson optionable types, and give the Thornton spot to Wicks or Sanders for long relief. We're going to have to white knuckle it with the pen a bit until Palencia is back, but in the meantime I'd like to at least bet on guys who can miss bats.
  4. There's a 27th man in play today in addition to a move for Cabrera, so tbd which this is
  5. Not going to pretend he was good but 9 whiffs in a single inning from Murray is pretty wild. There might be something there.
  6. Will Sanders splitter has a 34% Zone Rate (40% outside of 2-strike counts) 37% Chase rate 52% Whiff Rate Overall 48% Whiff Rate In Zone Open question of whether the splitter is thrown out of the zone so much *because* it's such a good chase pitch or because it's hard to harness, but it's a legit plus pitch. And I bet it'd play up even more with the extra fastball velo (Will averaged 95.2 in the spring breakout game, which feels like a fair expectation for him in relief).
  7. Another good outing today and I'm definitely going to start wondering about Sanders as a big league bullpen option
  8. Tyler Schlaffer is apparently in the. bullpen now? He was not my top choice among mediocre Tenn SPs but I could definitely see it working out. He's exactly the sort of fringey SP that sometimes takes off with a bit of extra juice and a pared down repertoire.
  9. Jose Escobar with two doubles, a single, and a dong. Probably won't get another PA tonight but what a game.
  10. I was just looking at the MiLB app and it looks like Iowa is facing old friend Richard Gallardo tonight
  11. That seems...surprising. Like even with the setbacks something akin to what Matt Boyd did two years ago with Cleveland or what Shane Bieber did last year with Toronto feels like it should be on the table? So I guess I'm wondering which of these rationales is at play: 1. Steele's arm is still not responding like it should. We're not quite in "setback" territory yet but rehab is not going great 2. The team doesn't trust him to produce right off the IL. I listed off two counterexamples but generally guys are rusty off of TJ and August/September might not be the best time to let him work through rust 3. The team is desperate for quality innings, and they'd rather e.g. get him back in early August as a reliever than wait for late August as a SP.
  12. So the Angels are definitely not a lock to act rationally (dumbest team in the league now that the Rockies have entered the 21st century?), but I think there's a healthy amount of that simply being a thing any team would say simply as a negotiation tactic. Give them something MLB ready as a headliner and I assume they'd make a deal.
  13. One thing with Rojas is you can get away with not doing anything for a little while. Keep him in AA until August, give him an MLB cup of coffee or three next year, and you don't reach the "crap or get off the pot" juncture until the '27/'28 offseason. I think, too, Rojas has a shot at having a bat you're happy with from a corner outfielder. He's is on a 25/25 pace with better than average BB and K rates. And he just turned 21. At the same time it's fair to wonder where he's going to play. All three infield spots are locked down, and as a lefty Pedro Ramirez is a more natural compliment to the vets. There's two corner outfielder spots unspoken for, but given timing I presume those are going to be filled this winter by Shaw and a $$$ signing. You've also got Alcantara in the mix and Hartshorn and Conrad hopefully not way behind. It's probably the right time to trade Rojas. If you think he's going to have a special bat or if simply the right deal doesn't come along it's totally fine to hang onto him. But given what the team has in the cupboard I think you need to move Rojas or Shaw for pitching. And given Shaw's here right now already producing, it's tougher to move him unless he's got way more trade value.
  14. Ethan Flanagan's back today too. Good stuff
  15. A silver lining of more or less starting his season in June is the team really doesn't need to worry about managing his innings from here. If we're being aspirational I'd have visions of Trey Yesavage and Cam Schlittler dancing in my head.
  16. Grant Kipp threw 4 innings where the only baserunner allowed was an error. That's great, but the fact that he only went 4 feels less great.
  17. Another good outing for Naz Mule. Keep stacking those up my dude.
  18. He's healthy enough to be back in CF and he appears to have gotten hit again, Kepley should be in Tennessee Tuesday night
  19. The stuff models started kind of liking Thornton before his pat leave. But the preponderance of evidence is that he's the worst pitcher on the 40 man roster
  20. Matt Shaw has 15 homeruns in 332 PAs since last year's ASB. 27 dong pace. 120 wRC+ over that time before today, so call it 122 right now? I'm not super confident with him against some tougher righties, but dude is good and lining up for an everydayish OFer job next year IMO.
  21. I think it's more good than great on the surface (sits 95 it looks like), but coming from a 6'9" frame I presume it's top of the charts extension and such.
  22. Yeah take advantage of him throwing strikes while it's happening. It could leave as quickly as it came.
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