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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    The Padres are going to start absolutely bludgeoning other teams soon. You just cross your fingers and hope this collective funk lasts another three days or that we can win some games 8-6. We're getting the back of their rotation, so the latter is a viable path to winning this series. I'd love to win the first two games, because there's nothing especially flukey looking underneath the hood on Seth Lugo, he might just be legit.
  2. Bertz
    People who take the long view on player performance tend to not breathlessly give updates on a player after every game?
  3. Bertz
    Yeah especially knowing now that they're not punting CF offense as well I'm also pretty content with things back there. SSS but despite the advanced stats liking him much more thdpitching has been way worse with Barnhart behind the plate. I'll be interested to see if that trend continues. Over the course of four weeks that's just noise but if it's still happening mid season it might be worth keeping an eye on.
  4. Bertz
    Feels like Yan Gomes is getting the shaft a bit. I feel like practically every day the Ump Scorecard says the Cubs benefitted, yet Yan has a negative framing score. He also has not allowed a stolen base yet, which this year is a borderline miracle. Like I don't expect him to keep it up, offensively in particular, but he's been kind of great so far? And that's setting aside any pitcher-whisperer stuff you could potentially attribute to him.
  5. Bertz
  6. Bertz
    And with one of the worst farms in baseball. They probably ought to put damn near their entire rotation, including Cease, out there at the deadline.
  7. Bertz
    The other thing about the Pirates is it's not the uber talented young guys doing the damage, it's Conor Joe and Jack Suwinski and 36 year old Andrew McCutchen. If it were O'Neil Cruz, Mitch Keller, and Roansy Contreras leading the charge I'd be a lot more worried.
  8. Bertz
    Despite his tiny ERA, I'm not sure Keegan's been all that good this year? We're in year 3 of his ERA being well south of his peripherals, so it's increasingly looking like he's a legit contact management guy, but still his peripherals are UGLY early on here. The thing I would change is less the leverage of his appearances, and more I'd ley him extend a little further if they're going to give him such ample rest. Like yesterday I would have let him take that game to the house. While his performance is currently pretty meh let's at least use him to get the some rest for the rest of the pen.
  9. Bertz
    I haven't seen any numbers but I believe Made was one of the guys who Bryan Smith said looked jacked when he was there in ST. .300/.440/.500 from a young for his level, plus defensive shortstop is quite something.
  10. Bertz
    Some context here for some of the higher walk rates at Tenn
  11. Bertz
    If Kilian pitches well tomorrow, you'd think he'd be the favorite to take the 5th starter's turn in Miami.
  12. Bertz
    Really great to see Davis with a big game. The swing and miss has been way down, hopefully that stays true while he gets hot.
  13. Bertz
    I feel a little bad that the pitch clock has made it harder for the sideline reporters to do their segments, but like you can't spend a whole horsefeathering half inning in split screen talking to some douche in a pink jacket
  14. Bertz
    It's far from the best story in the early going here, but Madrigal appearing to be fixed is a lot of fun. That's a fun, unique, and most importantly leveragable skill to have on the bench.
  15. Bertz
    I assumed that Amaya would be up for the job offensively at Tenn but yeesh. I assume he'll be at Iowa once he's knocked enough rust off on defense that they'd be comfortable pressing him into MLB service if there were an injury. And wowza Ben Brown
  16. Bertz
    Former 2nd rounder who stalled out as a Quad-A guy that the Cardinals gave up on. Cubs took a flyer on him before the pandemic, he mashed at the Alt Site in 2020 and got a chance once things started going sideways for the big league club in 2021. He used to be completely helpless with anything in the top 1/3rd of the zone, but demolish pitches low. Over the last 15 months he's gone from "worst in the league" to merely "pretty bad" on pitches up. But he's still just as much of a monster on pitches low as ever so we appear to have a legitimate 1st division starter now. tl;dr we finally got our own Max Muncy
  17. Bertz
    The Cubs are currently 2nd in position player WAR behind the Rays. They are 4th in pitching WAR. There's some luck on both sides of the ball (BABIP on the position player side, dongs on the pitcher side), but even if you strip that out it's probably been a top 10 team on both sides of the ball despite a pretty tough schedule to this point.
  18. Bertz
    No that's Jesse Rogers
  19. Bertz
    28.9% strikeout rate I don't get your point here? Because his cutter/slider is in the 80's he's soft tossing now? You know how silly that is right? Is Justin Verlander soft tossing because his curveball is 79? Fulmer had a 3.38 ERA and a 3.09 xFIP before last night's blowup. He had a disaster outing, and we're early enough in the year one of those can nuke your numbers, but he's been quite good.
  20. Bertz
    Fulmer averaged 96 last night and has a Wipeout slider
  21. Bertz
    I'm sure the answer is no, and it probably should be, but I wonder if there's any thought to calling up Thompson with Taillon out. If you piggybacked him and Assad and kept each guy to 10-15 batters I bet it would be pretty effective. And like Thompson's not going to have a ton of bullets available this year anyway, probably topping out around 100 IP? There's not really much opportunity cost if you think he'll be effective.
  22. Bertz
    Swanson's always been good about not chasing too much, but his aggressiveness in the zone has meant that doessn't lead to as many walks as you'd think. The other thing about Swanson right now that feels related is how much lower his launch angle has been so far. Is his swing a little horsefeathered up right now, and as you alluded to the extra patience is a sign he's uncomfortable swinging so much despite the great results so far? Is he intentionally trading power for OBP on a temporary basis, knowing how tough it is to hit dongs in Wrigley in April? Or is this intended to be a permanent change? There were some whispers pre-signing that the team had some swing changes they thought they could make with him, is this all related to that?
  23. Bertz
    Rain should be gone within an hour-ish, and looks like once it's gone it'll stay gone.
  24. Bertz
    Not playing for a week appears to have had no impact on Nelly?
  25. Bertz
    I don't love starters making back-to-back starts against the same team, so I'm pretty okay with this for tonight. I just hope he's not out for too long after. Just 4-5 starts I hope?
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