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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    Yeah he oozes swag. I definitely believe he has what he needs between the ears to be a late inning guy. He just needs to get up from 20 grade command to like 30 grade.
  2. Bertz
    In the very early going Cam Sanders is throwing 45.5% strikes after throwing 41.7% last year. 45.5% is still not a ton of strikes, but it's not bottom of the league mark like last year's number and might be more playable with his primo stuff.
  3. Bertz
  4. Bertz
    I think I saw that he was already throwing to hitters during spring training. So he didn't start with an affiliate but I would expect he's going to make his debut not too deep into the season. May probably?
  5. Bertz
    I believe this matchup is the hardest throwing SP in the league vs. the softest. Last year Bobby Miller was the hardest thrower in the league a smidge above Hunter Greene. Hendricks was the second softest tosser ahead of Adam Wainwright, who obviously retired. This series is going to be rough, just take one of three and combined with the Rockies series you had a nice little 4-2 homestand.
  6. Bertz
    I actually think because he's a year behind the others and right handed Alcantara is more likely to stay. His minor league option status makes that not a slam dunk though. But yeah attrition and trades will clear this up. I expect Jed makes his big trade in July or this coming winter (Jesus Luzardo?) and clears out some of this inventory that way, and then of course others will inevitably fail. I also think because of this situation next winter Jed's in a good position to do a reverse of the Busch trade. Trade one of these guys who looks blocked out for someone more talented but a few years away.
  7. Bertz
    106 MPH and 407 ft according to Statcast
  8. Bertz
    I am very very much of the mind to push back on the idea that guys don't care about the game just because they're not red-asses. But Rendon's on record about it so it's gotta inform how salvageable you think the rest of his Angels' tenure is.
  9. Bertz
  10. Bertz
    From reading various things from Dan Szymborski, it sounds like it's WAY more innings than you think before you can start trusting it. Like 500+ innings. In this case too like Squally pointed out Assad's not actually generating soft contact, he's just stranding a bunch of guys on base. So it's overwhelmingly likely that Assad is not one of those unicorns like Hendricks that can do this year in and year out. Which is fine, even once his ERA catches up to his peripherals he's still very valuable. No one better complain about a SP with a low 4's ERA making the league minimum that still has a couple minor league options.
  11. Bertz
    Sloppy win but hard not to contribute some of that to the weather Sweep is huge, gives the team a bit of cushion to falter during this stretch coming up. Go 5-7 or better during these next 12 and you're at least .500 with one of the Dodgers series and half your west coast games already behind you.
  12. Bertz
  13. Bertz
    Amaya for the second night in a row and the 3rd time through 6 games. Looks like him and Gomes are slated to something much closer to 50/50 this year and I like it.
  14. Bertz
    Yeah Jared Jones might be a thing but otherwise Pitt's early success is really just the Marlins being a mess with the injuries.
  15. Bertz
    Similar to last night. But against a righty should be even more able to capitalize on it.
  16. Bertz
    Going back to August 1st of last year Javier Assad has mostly been a starter and put up a 4.17 xFIP. The 2.62 ERA keeps getting people all gambler's fallacy-y but the evidence keeps piling up that he's a roughly average MLB starter.
  17. Bertz
    Snow isn't sticking at all and the precipitation is supposed to let up by late afternoon. I'd be pretty surprised if they don't get this one in.
  18. Bertz
    Little -> Brown makes a ton of sense. Little takes care of Blackmon and Jones (and maybe McMahon) the first time through, and then Brown can go ~15 batters while only having to face them once.
  19. Bertz
    Sweep tomorrow would be big. The two weeks starting Friday are arguably the toughest stretch of the season. Pick up another win against the Rockies and you could go 5-7 and still come out the other side at .500
  20. Bertz
    Craig before the game implied it would be Brown. My guess is the only reason he didn't confirm is Brown might have given them length tonight if Assad got knocked out early
  21. Bertz
    WOW that was a majestic dong
  22. Bertz
    Keegan Thompson topped out at 92 again tonight
  23. Bertz
  24. Bertz
    Four games is nothing. But every real trend has to start somewhere. Here's a couple early ones worth keeping an eye on: 1. Jordan Wicks' velo and movement on his fastball were way up in his first start 2. Chris Morel's contact #s are WAY WAY WAY up Perusing game-logs I don't believe he's ever had a one strikeout in 17 PA stretch before. On top of that Eovaldi and Gray are guys he previously would have had difficulty with...there really might be something here 3. Michael Busch is doing everything at the plate...with little to show for it Here's the percentile some of Michael Busch's underlying stats would rank last year if he did them over a full season: Contact Rate - 95th Chase Rate - 99th Average Exit Velo - 98th GB Rate - 34th Barrel Rate - 74th Pull Rate - 72nd xWOBA - 98th Literally the only blemish is a couple extra balls on the ground. That .400-something OPS is not going to last.
  25. Bertz
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