squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Cubs 2025 Season Review/Offseason Preview Thread
squally1313 replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
In this plan are you comfortable with the pitching options mostly coming from free agency? Don't think Long gets you anywhere close to the talent level you're looking for. Given the order of operations you'd basically be going into free agency with: Shota - the main question here but the one you have to decide on first. 3/57 seems steep, which means it's out of their hands Horton Boyd on essentially a one year deal (mutual option for 2027 but those rarely vest) Taillon on a one year deal 1.5ish years of Steele Probably Rea on a one year deal Assad/Wicks/Brown/other assorted mediocre innings eaters A likely limited Wiggins, who still has to clear the AAA hurdle That seems low on both high level talent and ability to fill innings past 2026, Shota impacts that and having to make that decision first in the offseason can guide the plan, but him likely having consecutive player options takes the decision out of Jed's hands. I know it's not nearly as easy as it sounds to just trade for a cost controlled starter, but I'm still leaning towards signing a bigger bat and then jettisoning some of the AAA offensive talent for similarly valued arms. -
But you would think facing better pitching would result in an uptick in strikeouts or a decrease in walks, as those are typically the best metrics in determining the quality of pitching.
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Brewers, the regular season, play the game the right way, just relentlessly attack you offense: 9.1% BB rate, 20.3% K rate, .145 ISO... .305 BABIP Brewers, the post-season, least hits over a four game stretch in franchise history offense: 9.0% BB rate, 21.3% K rate, .147 ISO... .231 BABIP It's such a dumb sport why do I like it so much
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Cubs 2025 Season Review/Offseason Preview Thread
squally1313 replied to Brandon Glick's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
A very half assed look at the offense, with somewhat conservative WAR numbers for 2026. PCA 4.5 Busch 3.5 Hoerner 4.0 Swanson 3.0 Happ 2.5 Suzuki 2.5 Kelly/Amaya 2.5 Shaw 2.0 Ballesteros/Caissie 2.0 That right there is 26.5 WAR, which would have put them 9th in baseball this year. That's obviously a good start, but there's not really an clear move there to get that number into the 30s, which three teams, including us, did in 2025. Trading Happ or Suzuki are probably lateral moves at best, going Tucker over Ballesteros/Caissie probably gets you another 3 or so but probably locks you out, budget wise, on a big pitcher. I think you have to find a way to get out of the Taillon contract and do whatever you can, through trades and free agency, to pick up two better starters than him. Horton, Boyd, starter one, starter two, and then some combination of Shota/Assad/Rea/Wicks/whatever. Steele coming back is a bonus, and we've seen enough evidence to justify using the too many starters 'problem' as an excuse to give Boyd/Shota/etc some fake IL visits, long relief stretches, etc. -
Because that doesn’t help his narrative
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The games before then don’t count, obviously
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That’s a bad 2-0 swing
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It’s not a big hand
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This is a way better way to say what I was trying to say earlier
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Happ hit a three home run off their best pitcher literally the last game we played Jesus Christ guys
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I was talking about the bottom of the brewers order but couldn’t figure out how to phrase it. They haven’t scored but they are turning it over to the top without being outs and it’s going to bite us.
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We are wasting outs with this garbage bottom of the order and it’s going to cost us
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Need to keep this here
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The thing about every dude being a .728 ops grinder is that they are going to Do All The Little Things, but they are also going to blatantly steal looks into the pitchers grip and slide high into second, and it’s because they’ve all had to do this just to survive as baseball players. Nobody cared if Kris Bryant or Bryce Harper hustled to first, because they put balls in seats. These guys had to survive on the margins.
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The cubs have undoubtedly had a good season to date but all this glazing at this exact moment feels like loser talk. Go beat down the little brother tonight and then we can memorialize the season before we deal with the dodgers
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Fine. Guess I’ll get another drink.
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Eh. Because it’s the fourth win or go home inning between two teams that have played 1500 innings this year. If not now, when.
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I think flaherty is generally a good dude but between my memories of him as a cardinal and him giving off strong Bryson slash every villain in Disney channel movies ever, I’m fine with it ending here.
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Going to need the cubs to score 13 in the first tomorrow to avoid anything close to the tension in this game
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Man, I have no idea what an ‘up-down’ bullpen session is but I skimmed that tweet earlier, read it as ‘up and down’ and just assumed that was coach speak for ‘we sent him home until next year’
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A (begrudging) plus one here. I'm loathe to change up anything on what has been a good team, probably to a fault, but....we've got 9 rested arms besides him ready to go. If we were in a different spot with the pen, I'd say you have to take your chances with him just from a length perspective, but in a win or go home setting with another day off and a well rested Taillon (and very well rested Shota) (and a potential ROY riding in to save the pitching staff) ready to go on Monday....let's throw the whole kitchen sink at them. No one should see the same guy twice.
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This is so spot on. I remember reading an article over the summer that he took it upon himself to spearhead the team fantasy football and I was momentarily happy to see he actually had a personality trait, and then I realized that 'guy who has the personality of a block of wood' and 'guy who's entire personality is fantasy football' is the same thing.
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I’m very excited to argue with everyone tomorrow (Nico to short, Castro to second? Caleb thielbar to start?), and then to hold my breath for 3.75 hours Saturday, but for tonight I’m just going to enjoy this very good baseball team with four postseason wins.
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Craig had a number of runs they needed to be up to trust Ben brown. Six was not that number, apparently.
