squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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I love him so much.
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Look, Shaw has been capital B Bad, the expected stats show him as hopefully being mediocre to average, but we're a long ways off from Good. I get that, and Suarez, with all his overperformance, is clearly an upgrade. But if the Cubs are an F1 team with two cars, one of them is the best car in the league but has a crack in the windshield, the other one is middle of the pack at best and a couple wheels are about to fall off. We should probably fix the wheels before we fix the windshield.
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Shaw has started 42 of 45 games since coming up. PCA started 38 of 51 games in a weird middle stretch of the season but got 410 MLB PAs. If your argument is down to....6-7 starts Shaw shouldn't have had, then, sure, I guess? Berti has kinda fallen on his face compared to where he was last year, it might say something about what Craig/the FO sees that they're continually going with the bad in Shaw over the bad in Berti. As an aside, you could do the same thing with Amaya.
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Very good overall game from Swanson. He can certainly get a little streaky too, and that RBI base hit was a great approach, and the plays in the field, anecdotally, have given him a boost in the past.
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Genuine question because I think this might be the crux here. The games that have already been played are gone. All his struggles to date are in the past, his statistics are what they are, the teams record is what it is. Between his stats and his expected stats, what do you think is a better predictive indicator of his future performance?
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Ok what’d they do with their struggling rookie last year
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Fair, and the walk rate is the most important part. But to the original point, it's been trending in the wrong direction (7.0 K/9 last 30 days, 6.77 last 14 days). Looking at the top three pitchers in K/9 from everyone who has thrown an inning this year, Brown is on summer vacation, Hodge is hurt and/or broken, Steele is gone. Boyd is the only starter over 7 K/9, for the Brewers (as an example) it's everyone except Quintana. Again, the walks and defense offset it and have kept the overall performance mostly average. But it definitely stands out.
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Yeah when Busch was consistently 7th that was almost my breaking point to start making those comments. 5th is better, and I don't really want Counsell reacting to one week hot (or cold) streaks. Ian Happ is struggling results wise, everything says he's still the same hitter he's always been, but.....we've leveled up elsewhere. Get the best hitters the most PAs.
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I get your point but also in this sample size it's just kinda modern, offensively depressed baseball. And to calm those nerves: Team average: .254 (12th) Team OBP: .340 (7th) Team Slug: .455 (9th) Total runs: 42 (8th) Offensive fWAR: 2.0 (6th) Is it mostly Michael Busch? Yes. Did they do that thing that the 2024/2025 team does where they just explode in a couple games and then go quiet? Also yes. But even cutting it down to an 8 game sample size, they've been good. It's really just these two games.
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I'm guessing it's somewhat on purpose from a value perspective when you consider how good the defense is. And it's coming with the second lowest walk rate in baseball (behind the Twins), which is pretty imperative if you're going to commit to this. But yeah, some reliever with a 13K/9 rate would be a fun add.
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I mean, these were both two run games going into the 8th inning. That being said, both of those pitchers were bad and besides Busch I don't really feel like anyone is running hot offensively right now, and the rotation feels pretty patched together.
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I never got the certainty that Bregman was going to opt out, and trading for him even in a world where the Sox weren't in a playoff spot would pretty much guarantee that Tucker was walking at YE. Go get pitching. We can figure out how to stopgap third base when every other position on the diamond ranges from solid to elite.
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It becomes way less annoying if you set your sights higher and you appreciate the dodgers six game losing streak keeping the path wide open to a first round bye, which is way more impactful than division winner three vs wild card one. (Ok, done being that guy for the night. Probably)
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So then every team is exposed. Cool, good talk.
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Citing things that happen to every single team in baseball, several times, and using them as your crux for why the cubs, and only the cubs specifically, won’t succeed, is the definition of ‘only my teams’.
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You understand that if it all takes is two games to ‘expose’ a team, it would take anyone here about 3 minutes to ‘expose’ every single team in baseball for those and every other potential issue.
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Oh I have plenty of criticism. See any of the other threads. But you saying these two games are some referendum about the absolute farthest the cubs can go in the playoffs and then referencing the dodgers WHO ARE ON A SIX GAME LOSING STREAK AS WE SPEAK as the team that’s going to make it instead is just meatball garbage and should be called out as such.
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This was the bottom of the dodgers lineup today. the Phillies went an entire series in Houston without scoring a run and were swept by the pirates. This is all in the last 5 weeks. Was that not exposing them?
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Lol, the cubs have lost one whole game in a row, people were saying this game was over when they were down 2 with 8 innings left
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If this is your standard for ‘getting exposed’, the NLCS isn’t going to have any teams in it.
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What happened to buxton?
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I mean....not very high? His first four season in Colorado after the trade, 489 games, 1800+ PAs, he put up 2.8 fWAR combined. He bloomed late, and he's a career league average hitter. Plenty of things to lose sleep over, this one ain't it.
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He's probably cooked but he's also probably a better option than Jeimer was for the 'sign him and see if he catches fire in AAA' conversation.
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Forgot about the option, good call. And yeah, I love the idea of Alcantara for the next two years, but I just don't know if right now is the time to make that splash because I don't think 2025 Alcantara, and the opportunity cost required, is the right use of resources to optimize this year's chances of success.
