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squally1313

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Everything posted by squally1313

  1. I’m already worried about how frustrated I’m going to be with this game, so I can’t imagine how that might play out for this thread if it goes the way I think it will.
  2. I think part of the idea that we draft low ceiling guys is that, to overly boil it down to two buckets, you're either going to draft high floor or high ceiling (with someone like Horton in both buckets being a rare exception), and the nature of those two types of pitchers is that unless you're a prospect nerd digging into the lower levels, you're going to see more of the high floor guys showing up in Iowa or making appearances in Chicago. The high ceiling guys are just going to hit less, so the 'average' fan sees less of them and thinks they aren't a priority.
  3. We need 6 upgrades, most of them major, to possibly be considered competitive with (checks notes) the two teams that are a game better than us and 27 teams who have an equal or worse record than us.
  4. I'm annoyed too because having less games increases the odds that a lesser team is going to come out on top. We're very good and in any other division we'd have a 3 game (or more) lead. But it's annoying, here wise, to watch the conversation about the (59-40) Cubs be almost entirely negative, what they have to fix, what all their problems are, etc, and then people turn their attention to the (59-40) Brewers and are like 'oh man, these guys are going to be a problem, baserunning, monsters, remember that team from 6 years ago who won more games than we thought'.
  5. Well then they must be really horsefeathers good at hitting RHP then, given their (continued) top of the league overall offensive production. Also good that this Three Headed Monster are all RHP. I mean, ultimately, do what you want. We’re a better team than they are, and we will almost assuredly widen that gap in the trading markets between now and the end of next week. It’s a 60ish game sprint at this point, so anything could happen. But we’re playing at a 96-97 win pace and we’re going to get better. Stressing in July as a fan of the team with the best RD in baseball and a half game off the best record in baseball seems silly. We’ll get there eventually.
  6. Like it’s insane that Matt Shaw or Dansby running cold in RISP situations is supposedly this Achilles heel and our future downfall, but this other team with a clearly and decidedly worse offense is this huge threat because they have 2015 royals vibes or whatever. They let Joey Ortiz and his .587 OPS start every day! Why isn’t that a Serious Problem That Needs To Be Addressed Before They Can Compete?
  7. I posted a picture of their top hitters by PA, posited that there was no one scary in the line up, and stratos said that individual hitters aren’t relevant at all, and that what mattered was the total output of all the hitters of the team, so I responded with the total offensive output of all the hitters on the team, which is definitionally average. At no point did I bring up the overall team, I’ve consistently tried to stick to the parameters of what I originally posted, which is that it’s not a good offense, and you guys keep bringing up other reasons why we should scared.
  8. lol should have added woodruff to the ghosts people are still scared of. Dude has 10 innings in the last year and a half.
  9. I mean, that's great. They're significantly worse offensively than we are. The difference in offensive fWAR between us (22.4, 1st in baseball) and them (15.0, 10th in baseball) is the same as the difference between them and Baltimore (7.6, 23rd in baseball). This isn't a 'are the Brewers good in general' thing. It's a 'are they as good as us' thing. And they just aren't. Our top 8 guys by PAs this year are all above 100 in wRC, and 5 of them (Tucker, Suzuki, PCA, Busch, Kelly) are all AT LEAST 11 points better than the Brewers best hitter (Isaac Collins, 124 wRC, outperforming his xwOBA by 28 points). And yes, I know, Justin Turner and Matt Shaw. But their 368 combined PAs with wRCs of 68 and 71 are also pretty much offset by Joey Ortiz and his 327 PAs of 66 wRC. It's baseball, things happen, the best team always wins. But being scared of a jersey because different players in different years wearing that jersey won some games isn't a logical train of thought.
  10. They are combining for a 101 wRC, 15th in baseball.
  11. Who of these guys am I supposed to be worried about again
  12. Weren’t you also just criticizing what you thought to be a ‘home run or bust’ approach?
  13. That’s fair (was on my phone and just used the CBS scores app vs using FG like normal), I wasn’t trying to imply he was some sort of stud but he’s been fine in his middle of the pen role and when you have like 3.5 starters you’re going to inevitably have to rely on those types of guys in a close spot.
  14. The biggest issue I have, candidly, is you seemingly deciding which sample sizes are appropriate based on what makes the cubs look bad. Have they been bad against LHP? Recently yes, YTD no. And you go option one and say they suck against LHP. Has Pressly been bad? Recently no, YTD…sure. And you go option two and say he sucks.
  15. He hadnt allowed an earned run in literally a month. I understand we all saw him do a few bad things at some point this year, but if we can shrink sample sizes to call out peoples slumps, we should be consistent and say he’s been (‘consistently’) fine for a good stretch here.
  16. Agreed on the bullpen. Getting this many base runners is going to lead to success, whether you call it a lack of clutch or bad sequencing is a different conversation.
  17. The good thing about being consistently negative and pessimistic is that every time something bad happens you get to like, claim sort of credit for being right about it. the bad thing is that, given that we have the best record in all of baseball, it doesn’t happen very often.
  18. Was Kyle Tucker not ‘the top of the market’ or do we need to add a couple more stipulations to trash hoyer still
  19. He currently has a 7.05 FIP after hanging like nine curveballs
  20. This pitcher kinda sucks but PCA slugging against LHPs is checking one of very few unchecked boxes
  21. We keep waiting for the dodgers to do dodgers thing and end up with 107 wins or whatever, but if they want to give us one of those first round bye spots that’d be just fine with me.
  22. Said a slightly different way, given all the reasons that have been laid out, if you aren’t going to give Shaw a day off today, when are you ever going to. I get that it was just the ASB but days off and getting the bench some run still matter.
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