squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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I mean, I also would like to see the team go 17-7 in a 24 game stretch, but I'm not going to be overly disappointed if they don't reach that level. Winning series is pretty cool with me.
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A fun thing this board does is watch the team win a series with a walk off and then be like ‘well maybe they’ll finally start to play well after this’. Like, they just won! Three of the last four! That counts!
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The five baserunners we have in three innings today, obviously
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Ignore me
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The cubs were projected to win 86 games per zips.   https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-official-and-hopefully-not-too-regretful-2025-zips-projections/ they did the thing where they did the team preview and if you added it all up to a replacement level number you ended up in the low-mid 90s but then the standings came out and they were pretty regressed across the board for playing time considerations.
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Very few people projected them to be a low 90s win team. We played like an upper 90s win team for two months and, depending on how much bad faith you want to bring in when picking the sample size, have played like an 84-89 win team since then. The Brewers running this hot is really starting to break people’s brains. Go look at the dodgers over the last month, or the Phillies, or the Yankees. The astros are 3-7 in their last ten. This stuff happens to everybody. I have a bad taste in my mouth from the failure of the trade deadline like everyone else. But the team is still good.
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Since July 1 the cubs and Mets are an identical 15-11, the padres are a half game better, the Phillies are 12-13, and the dodgers are 11-15. Guess the brewers should just coast to the pennant since all these other teams are Mediocre and nothing can change in the next two months.
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You're better than this.
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We're -188 to win tomorrows game (and therefore the series), so theoretically you can add that to the list. FG has us at between 59% and 64% win probabilities for each game against the Reds, so that looks good too. The Pirates where we miss Skenes didn't make the list? What are we doing here
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This is collectively insane. We're one pitch away from being 16-10 since July 1. We have to settle for 15-11 and people are talking about the Cardinals (the horsefeathers 8-16 in July Cardinals) catching us. Christ.
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Did the wind only blow when the orioles were hitting
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The 2018 brewers went 40-39 in June, July, and August before going nuclear in September. The takeaway being that you can play like this for a stretch, but expecting a three month run is a totally different conversation.
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lol the Venn diagram of people who thought this team would top out at 85 wins back in March and people absolutely livid that they’ve been playing to an 85 win pace in a sample size clearly designed to make them look bad is just one big circle.
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Kyle Tucker going into today has been a league average hitter since July 1. Who do you suggest take those ABs to improve that performance
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If I said the cubs had elite pitching because they’ve given up 4 total runs in the last two games would you think that was a smart opinion
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Need one more hitter to hit the minimum. But otherwise, don't disagree.
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Braves and Mets after this, and then just the Pirates and Reds but they're getting the gauntlet of pitchers in the same way we used to (Heaney, Skenes, Keller, Burns, Greene, Lodolo) going into our 5 game set.
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I'm so excited for that five game series in a couple weeks.
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I was at a rooftop for this game and if you were to tell me the only reason we have the pitch clock is because of the Rooftop Lobby I’d believe you. All you can eat and drink and we were basically cut off 90 minutes in.
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Busch with the rare start against LHP. In a world with Castro, if they think Busch can at least tread water (or Happ/tucker can slot in), might not be much room left for Turner. I think he’s fine for what he is going forward, but also wondering if Amaya, Moises, Castro, and Alcantara is the better October bench.
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Maybe they have some hitting version of Hottovy over there? Feel like we'd be saying the same thing about Flexen and Pomeranz. Vaughn will turn back into what he's always been, a league average hitter who somehow manages to be a uniquely bad defensive first baseman. And the Brewers can't hide him at DH because Yelich is basically unplayable defensively at this point (12 games out there total). He's got 309 games, 1260 PAs at first base since 2023. In all that time he's put up 0.2 fWAR. He sucks, he'll go back to sucking, it's fine.
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We went 8-4 at home in August, with the losing games being: a Pomeranz/Flexen bullpen day start against the Cardinals which featured 5 home runs, the key one being by something called Yohel Pozo, so doubt this was a wind blowing in game A Horton v Crochet game where Horton actually outpitched Crochet but Roberts, Pomeranz, and Pressly all gave up home runs late and we only scored 1 run A Brown/Flexen game against the Royals where they both pretty much imploded (gave up 12 total, six home runs in the game total so also doubt this was a wind blowing in game) Colin Rea getting beat by Seth Lugo, another 6 home run game in total
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Do you think he's going to have a consistent spot/position in the lineup against LHP? Or is it going to be some sort of rotation between Happ, Castro, and PCA in addition to being able to spell some of the other guys. Swanson, Hoerner, Suzuki, Tucker all hit LHP really well, and Turner is basically only there to play first against LHPs.
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Going to be at a rooftop and hoping I'll be able to see the action from there.
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Trust me, I liked it a lot better when I thought Jed was good at his job and Ricketts was the root of all the problems. And like...is Jed bad? To me, no. It's a 94 win team today with locked up, league minimum production, some of it elite, at CF, 1B, 3B, half of our catching platoon, and then Horton, Palencia, Steele, etc on the pitching side. The technical minor league system has taken a hit, but that's mostly because of the graduations. But, man, put the finishing touches on the team you spent (maybe too many) years putting together. The odds of Colin Rea starting a playoff game are not zero, and that should keep him up at night from now until then.
